The time has come for me to gain momentum in picking games.
Following a sluggish start, my sports betting performance improved last week with an 8-6 record against the spread and 12-2 straight up. This raises my ATS record to 46-43-3 and my straight-up record to 51-41. I’ll take that as a win.
This week showcases several high-profile matchups, including a rematch of the Super Bowl from last February, where the Kansas City Chiefs triumphed over the San Francisco 49ers. This time around, the game takes place in San Francisco rather than a neutral site, giving the 49ers a considerable advantage. But is that enough to sway my pick?
Continue reading to discover my selection along with all of my other sports betting choices. It’s the third Sunday in October, and we should have a clearer understanding of this season — at least it seemed that way for Week 6. Let’s maintain this momentum.
All odds provided by Caesars sportsbook.
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
This marks Sean Payton’s return to face his former team. However, unlike those Saints squads, this Denver team struggles offensively. While they do have a strong defense, they will be missing key corner Patrick Surtain. The Saints will start Spencer Rattler at quarterback after his first appearance last week. I believe he will perform well, leading the Saints to victory over their former coach.
Pick: Saints 23, Broncos 16
Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network, fubo)
This matchup has shaped up to be the underdog game of the week. Both teams are dealing with significant issues, but the Patriots can excuse their struggles due to starting rookie quarterback Drake Maye. As Jacksonville ranks last in passing defense, he may exploit them with some big plays. Still, Jacksonville is the superior team, and I expect Trevor Lawrence to perform a bit better.
Pick: Jaguars 29, Patriots 21
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo try for free)
This is a lengthy journey for Seattle, which comes off three consecutive losses. Their defense has faltered, which spells trouble against a strong Atlanta offense. Expect a high-scoring affair as both quarterbacks display skill. However, it’s Kirk Cousins who will shine brighter for the Falcons.
Pick: Falcons 34, Seahawks 30
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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Bills are coming off a short week after their win over the Jets. In contrast, the Titans are reeling from a disappointing home loss to the Colts. Their offense has struggled to find life for much of the season, whereas the Bills can generate points efficiently. Still, I anticipate that the Tennessee defense will keep the Titans competitive, making this game closer than one might expect.
Pick: Bills 23, Titans 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
What we anticipated as an exciting Ohio matchup has turned out quite differently this season. The Browns’ offense has been dismal, while the Bengals’ defense has faced its share of difficulties. Something must change. I expect Joe Burrow to perform well, and the Bengals’ defense will aim to replicate what other teams have done against the Browns, putting pressure on Deshaun Watson. I’m going with the Bengals in this one.
Pick: Bengals 21, Browns 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This game showcases two of the league’s promising young quarterbacks, C.J. Stroud and Jordan Love. Each is capable of posting impressive passing statistics. The Texans are facing back-to-back road games, which can be challenging. I predict the Packers will come out on top as Love edges Stroud in a high-scoring contest.
Pick: Packers 34, Texans 30
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo try for free)
The Dolphins are returning from a much-needed bye, while the Colts are fresh off a road win against the Titans. The Colts will have Anthony Richardson back at quarterback, and Tyler Huntley will start for the Dolphins. Both teams have struggled defensively against the run, so expect the Colts’ superior running game to make a significant impact.
Pick: Colts 21, Dolphins 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo try for free)
With the Vikings coming off a bye and the Lions riding high after a blowout victory over the Cowboys, this game is critical for division standings. However, the Lions will miss Aidan Hutchinson due to a broken leg, significantly affecting their pass rush. Expect Sam Darnold to excel while throwing to Justin Jefferson. The Lions will also make their mark with Jared Goff’s solid performance. This matchup promises excitement, but I believe the Vikings will take the victory.
Pick: Vikings 31, Lions 26
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo try for free)
Last week, the Eagles didn’t impress in their win over the Browns, while the Giants struggled offensively in their defeat to the Bengals. The Giants’ defense has been performing well, even as the Eagles’ offense falters. With receiver Malik Nabers returning for the Giants, the team will likely see a significant boost. I’m picking the Giants for an upset in this matchup.
Pick: Giants 24, Eagles 20
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Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Rams are returning from a bye week that was crucial for addressing injuries. The Raiders have lost their last two games; while Aidan O’Connell’s introduction at quarterback has slightly boosted their offense, it hasn’t translated into a win. What effects will Davante Adams’ trade have on this team? The Rams are the superior team, and Matt Stafford should outshine the competition at quarterback. Rams take the victory.
Pick: Rams 27, Raiders 19
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This matchup showcases two defenses that are vulnerable against two potent offenses. Expect an offensive showdown between Jayden Daniels and Andy Dalton. I’m betting Daniel will manage to excel, leading Washington to recover from their recent loss to the Ravens.
Pick: Commanders 35, Panthers 27
Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers (-1)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo try for free)
This is an important matchup for both teams, marking a Super Bowl rematch. The Chiefs are coming off a bye week, while the 49ers played last Thursday, which somewhat levels the playing field. The 49ers have faced defensive struggles, a concerning sign when going against Patrick Mahomes. Meanwhile, the Chiefs boast a strong defensive performance. This will be a pivotal factor in their success on the road.
Pick: Chiefs 27, 49ers 23
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo try for free)
The Jets have acquired Davante Adams, who is expected to bolster their offense if he is in the lineup. The Steelers face a quarterback dilemma once more, as Russell Wilson appears to be taking first-team snaps. Regardless of who starts, the Steelers will lean on their running game and defense to dictate the outcome. However, the Jets are poised to return to form defensively against the run, with Aaron Rodgers able to make the plays necessary for a tough road win.
Pick: Jets 23, Steelers 17
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo try for free)
fubo try for free)
This matchup features two of the top teams in the league as they face off. Both teams possess the ability to score rapidly and in large numbers. It could very well be a game where the deciding factor is the final possession. Given that it’s a home game and it’s Monday night, I’m choosing Baker Mayfield to emerge victorious in this high-scoring affair.
Pick: Bucs 34, Ravens 31
Monday, 9 p.m. ET (ESPN+)
The Chargers hit the road for the second consecutive week following their victory in Denver. It’s the Cardinals’ first home game in three weeks. Arizona’s defense is significantly weakened, which has been evident in their recent performances, although they continue to play hard. I’m placing my bet on the Chargers to secure a win with their offensive strength, as Kyler Murray will struggle to keep pace while the Chargers’ defense maintains its strong play.
Pick: Chargers 27, Cardinals 14
Week 7 NFL Betting Picks: Keeping the Momentum Going
Understanding NFL Betting Trends for Week 7
As we dive into Week 7 of the NFL season, understanding the current betting trends can provide bettors with the edge they need. Whether you are betting on spreads, moneylines, or totals, recognizing the momentum of teams is crucial. With teams hitting their stride, it’s essential to analyze recent performances, injuries, and matchups to make informed betting decisions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Team Form: Evaluate how teams have performed in the last few weeks.
- Injury Reports: Check for key player injuries that might impact team performance.
- Home/Away Performance: Analyze how teams perform at home versus on the road.
- Head-to-Head Matchups: Review past encounters between the teams.
Top Betting Picks for NFL Week 7
Here are some of the standout bets for Week 7, taking into consideration the latest performance trends and statistics.
1. New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears
**Betting Pick:** New England Patriots -7
The Patriots have shown significant improvement in their offensive schemes, particularly in their last two games. With the Bears struggling to stop the run, expect the Patriots to exploit this weakness effectively.
2. Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions
**Betting Pick:** Dallas Cowboys -3
The Cowboys’ defense has been stout, and they are likely to pressure the Lions’ offensive line. With Dak Prescott back in form, the Cowboys should be able to cover the spread in this matchup.
3. Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
**Betting Pick:** Tennessee Titans +3
Both teams are evenly matched, but the Titans have the advantage of a strong running game led by Derrick Henry. This will not only help them control the clock but also keep the score close or secure a win.
Analyzing Betting Odds for Week 7
Understanding the odds can greatly improve your betting strategy. Here’s a breakdown of notable games and their current odds:
Matchup | Current Odds | Betting Type |
---|---|---|
New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears | -7 | Spread |
Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions | -3 | Spread |
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts | +3 | Spread |
Betting Strategies to Maintain Momentum
To keep the momentum going in NFL betting, consider these practical strategies:
1. Bankroll Management
Establish a budget and stick to it. Only wager a small percentage of your bankroll on each bet to mitigate risks.
2. Shop for the Best Lines
Different sportsbooks may offer slightly different lines. Always compare odds before placing your bets to maximize potential returns.
3. Stay Informed
Keep up-to-date with NFL news, player injuries, and team performance. This information can greatly influence your betting decisions.
Case Studies: Successful Betting in Previous Weeks
Analyzing past successful bets can provide insights into effective strategies. Here are a couple of examples from previous weeks:
Case Study 1: Week 5 Betting on Underdogs
In Week 5, betting on underdogs proved profitable. Teams like the Miami Dolphins and New York Giants defied expectations, highlighting the importance of potential value in betting against the spread.
Case Study 2: Total Points Betting in Week 6
Week 6 saw a surge in high-scoring games. Betting on overs in matchups between offensive powerhouses like the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs yielded significant returns.
First-Hand Experience: Bettor Insights
Many seasoned bettors emphasize the value of personal experience in betting. Here are a few tips from successful bettors:
- Trust Your Research: One bettor mentioned that their most successful picks came from thorough research rather than gut feelings.
- Learn from Losses: An experienced bettor shared that analyzing losses helped them refine strategies for future bets.
- Follow Trends, Not Teams: Instead of betting with loyalty to favorite teams, focus on performance trends and statistics.
Conclusion: Maximizing Your Betting Potential in Week 7
Week 7 presents exciting opportunities for NFL bettors to maintain momentum. By leveraging key insights, betting strategies, and learning from previous successes, you can improve your chances of winning. Remember to stay informed and adjust your strategies as the season progresses. Happy betting!