The NFL’s Week 3 schedule for the 2024 season is packed with exciting matchups, and we have everything you need to know as the weekend approaches.
Our team of NFL Nation reporters highlights the crucial elements of each game, while analytics writer Seth Walder offers daring predictions for every matchup. The ESPN Research team presents an essential statistic and a betting insight for each contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) delves into the data with game projections. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody identifies key fantasy football X factors, and three analysts—Kalyn Kahler, Moody, and Walder—share their final score predictions for every game. All the information you need is right here to prepare you for an action-packed NFL weekend.
Let’s examine the complete Week 3 lineup, featuring the rising Vikings taking on the Texans and the Ravens squaring off against the Cowboys in Dallas. The action wraps up with two “Monday Night Football” games—the Jaguars visiting the Bills (7:30 p.m. ET) on ESPN and the Commanders facing the Bengals (8:15 p.m. ET) on ABC/ESPN+. (Game times listed are for Sunday unless specified otherwise.)
Jump to a matchup:
NYG-CLE | GB-TEN | CHI-IND
HOU-MIN | PHI-NO | LAC-PIT
DEN-TB | CAR-LV | MIA-SEA
BAL-DAL | SF-LAR | DET-ARI
KC-ATL | JAX-BUF | WSH-CIN
Thursday: NYJ 24, NE 3
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: CLE -6.5 (38.5 O/U)
Giants storyline to monitor: The Giants are determined to prevent an 0-3 start for the fifth time in the past 12 seasons. New York has previously finished 7-9 in 2013, 3-13 in 2016, 6-10 in 2020, and 4-13 in 2021. It’s vital for the locker room to maintain a positive atmosphere before it’s too late. Players are expressing frustration over the current losing streak. “Personally, I’m upset because I hate losing with a passion,” stated defensive lineman and captain Dexter Lawrence II. — Jordan Raanan
Browns storyline to monitor: Following a promising performance in their Week 2 victory against the Jaguars, can the Browns’ offense capitalize against a struggling Giants defense on Sunday? New York has allowed the highest number of explosive plays in the league at 20, while the Browns have generated nine explosive plays so far (ranking them 22nd in the league). — Daniel Oyefusi
Stat to remember: Quarterback Deshaun Watson of the Browns has gone 14 consecutive games without surpassing 300 passing yards, marking the longest stretch of his career (he has not reached 300 yards since joining the Browns in 2022), and this is the second-longest ongoing streak in the NFL, following Aaron Rodgers’ 24 games.
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Bold prediction: Darius Slayton, the Giants wide receiver, will record a pass of over 30 yards. This season, Slayton has executed vertical routes 56% of the time, ranking him second among qualifying wide receivers, while the Browns have implemented the least two-high coverage of any team. — Walder
Injuries: Giants | Browns
Fantasy X factor: Wan’Dale Robinson, a wide receiver for the Giants, has solidified his role as New York’s No. 2 receiver. Malik Nabers gained attention with his 18 targets in the game against the Commanders, marking the highest for a rookie since Puka Nacua’s 20 in Week 2 of the previous season. Nonetheless, Nabers faces a challenging match-up against Browns cornerback Denzel Ward in Week 3. This scenario may lead quarterback Daniel Jones to prioritize Robinson, who thrives in open space and excels at gaining yards after contact. Refer to Week 3 rankings for more. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Browns have a record of 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Giants 21, Browns 17
Moody’s pick: Browns 20, Giants 13
Walder’s pick: Browns 19, Giants 16
FPI prediction: CLE, 64.7% (average margin of victory: 6 points)
Matchup must-reads: Hyatt: ‘My chance will come and when it does, I will be ready.’ … Njoku is set to miss his second consecutive game … The Browns’ offense became bigger and improved in their Week 2 victory.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: TEN -2 (37.5 O/U)
Packers storyline to watch: Should Packers quarterback Jordan Love return from his knee injury, expect running back Josh Jacobs to play a significant role in the offensive strategy once more. Jacobs achieved over 100 yards from scrimmage in each of the first two games. If he manages another 100-yard game, he would become the first Packers running back to accomplish this feat in the first three games of a season since Ahman Green in 2004. The Packers are confident that Jacobs can handle a high volume of carries. “It’s always a valuable asset, especially if they can manage it,” remarked running backs coach Ben Sirmans. “He has shown to be that kind of player.” — Rob Demovsky
Titans storyline to watch: Turnovers have continued to elude the Titans, despite new defensive coordinator Dennard Wilson’s focus on them. During the first two games, the Titans’ defense has yet to secure a takeaway. With a turnover differential of minus-4, they sit at the bottom of the league rankings, while the Packers lead with a plus-4 differential. This week, the Titans’ defense dedicated significant practice time to disrupting the ball. “The key to obtaining takeaways lies in your technique, getting to the ball, and being aggressive at the point of contact,” Wilson stated. “If you aim to be a competitive defense in this league, securing the ball is essential.” — Turron Davenport
Stat to know: DeAndre Hopkins, the Titans wide receiver, has caught at least one pass in 164 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the NFL.
Bold prediction: The Packers will average fewer than 4.0 yards per carry from their running backs. I am skeptical that Malik Willis’s run-heavy strategy will succeed for a second time. — Walder
Injuries:
Packers | Titans
0:48
Calvin Ridley’s Week 3 fantasy preview
Examine some of Calvin Ridley’s statistics as he heads into his Week 3 contest against the Packers.
Fantasy X factor: Titans running back Tony Pollard. I’m sticking with Pollard for the second consecutive week, but allow me to explain. He faces a Packers defense that allowed 33.2 fantasy points to Saquon Barkley in Week 1 and 15.5 to Jonathan Taylor in Week 2. Pollard has received more than 19 touches in both of his last two games. Meanwhile, Titans quarterback Will Levis has made two game-costing errors in as many weeks. Pollard has significant top-10 potential in Week 3. See Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The under has come through in all four of Willis’ career starts (he holds a 3-1 ATS record). Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Packers 17, Titans 15
Moody’s pick: Packers 21, Titans 14
Walder’s pick: Titans 22, Packers 19
FPI prediction: GB, 54.2% (by an average of 1.4 points)
Matchup must-reads: How Jacobs led the Packers to victory without Love … Titans coach stands by ‘feelings’ following viral criticism of Levis
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: IND -1.5 (43.5 O/U)
Bears storyline to watch: The Bears have a golden chance to kickstart their struggling run game against a Colts defense that has allowed an NFL-high of 237 rushing yards per game over two weeks. Aside from QB Caleb Williams’ 44 rushing yards, mostly gained on scrambles against the Texans, other Bears rushers averaged only 1.6 yards per carry. Establishing the run will be crucial for the Chicago offense to create play-action opportunities and regain the rhythm that was absent in Weeks 1 and 2. — Courtney Cronin
Colts storyline to watch: Colts QB Anthony Richardson has displayed an aggressive playing style over the past two games, yielding mixed results. His completion rate of 49.1% ranks last among starting quarterbacks, but he leads the league with 13.7 air yards per attempt. This matchup could favor Richardson, as the Chicago defense has conceded a league-high of 12 explosive pass completions in two weeks. — Stephen Holder
Stat to know: Taylor has accumulated 41 career rushing touchdowns, just one short of matching Marshall Faulk for fourth place on the franchise’s all-time list.
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Bold prediction: Bears cornerback Jaylon Johnson will make an interception. Johnson has continued his impressive performance, allowing only 0.3 yards per coverage snap, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. Meanwhile, Richardson is facing a minus-10% completion percentage above expectation. — Walder
Injuries: Bears | Colts
Fantasy X factor: Bears running back D’Andre Swift. Williams has had a rocky start to his rookie season, scoring less than 10 fantasy points in each of his first two games. The performance of the Bears’ offensive line has not aided his cause. Establishing a robust running game might alleviate some pressure on the quarterback, making Week 3 an ideal opportunity for improvement. The Colts’ defense has shown weakness against the run, allowing 159 rushing yards to Joe Mixon in Week 1 and 155 to Jacobs in Week 2. Check out the Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The last four road games for the Bears have seen totals go under. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Colts 21, Bears 14
Moody’s pick: Colts 24, Bears 17
Walder’s pick: Bears 24, Colts 20
FPI prediction: IND, 52.7% (by an average of 1.1 points)
Matchup must-reads: Moore regrets displaying emotions following loss to Texans … Offensive challenges persist for Colts and Richardson … Bears’ offensive line has left Williams feeling banged up
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: HOU -2 (46.5 O/U)
Texans storyline to watch: The Texans’ offense will encounter a Vikings defense that ranks sixth in the NFL for blitzing frequency. However, Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud boasts a passer rating of 117 against blitzes through the first two weeks. This matchup of blitz against offense will play a crucial role in determining the winner in Week 3. — DJ Bien-Aime
Vikings storyline to watch: The Texans (12.5%) and Vikings (11.8%) lead the NFL in sacks per dropback following significant changes in their pass defenses this offseason. Houston signed long-time Vikings linebacker Danielle Hunter, while the Vikings brought in Jonathan Greenard and Blake Cashman from the Texans. Additionally, the Vikings allocated leftover cap room to sign linebacker Andrew Van Ginkel from Miami. In total, Minnesota committed $13.3 million in 2024 cap space to its new trio, slightly less than Hunter’s $13.7 million figure in Houston. Moreover, the recent draft pick swap allowed the Vikings to acquire rookie pass rusher Dallas Turner. — Kevin Seifert
Stat to know: Vikings QB Sam Darnold has thrown two touchdown passes in each of the first two games this season, yet has never achieved multiple TD passes in three consecutive games throughout his career.
Bold prediction: Texans defensive end Will Anderson Jr. is projected to have a game with multiple sacks. He is having an outstanding season with a 31% pass rush win rate (seventh best) and has a 48% probability of registering at least one sack, according to my sack model. Despite his success, Darnold continues to take sacks at an average rate of around 7%. — Walder
0:35
The Texans-Vikings matchup might see a scarcity of points.
Tyler Fulghum elaborates on why he is opting for the under in the Texans’ game against the Vikings.
Injuries: Texans | Vikings
Fantasy X factor: Texans wide receiver Stefon Diggs. Diggs makes his return to Minnesota following his trade from the Vikings after the 2019 season. He faced off against the Vikings while playing for the Bills in the 2022 season, where he recorded 12 receptions for 128 yards. This season, he has amassed only 70 receiving yards so far, yet ranks second on the Texans with 12 targets. I believe in the revenge game narrative, and I anticipate Stroud will prioritize targeting him during his homecoming. See Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Texans are 1-4 ATS in September under coach DeMeco Ryans. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Vikings 23, Texans 21
Moody’s pick: Texans 26, Vikings 23
Walder’s pick: Texans 24, Vikings 17
FPI prediction: HOU, 54.2% (by an average of 1.7 points)
Matchup must-reads: Stroud discusses postgame dialogue with Williams … Darnold no longer permitting mistakes to snowball? … Ryans: Hit that injured Mixon ‘definitely’ hip-drop
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: NO -2.5 (49.5 O/U)
Eagles storyline to monitor: The Eagles’ defense is currently among the league’s worst across various statistical measures after two games, sitting last in yards permitted per rush (6.4), ranked 30th for pressure percentage (24%), and 31st in yards allowed per play (6.9). They are set to face a Saints team that has racked up 91 points in two games, including 44 against a solid Cowboys defense in Week 2. If defensive coordinator Vic Fangio’s group fails to find stability, the situation could worsen. — Tim McManus
Saints storyline to monitor: In 2023, the Saints found it challenging to defend against mobile quarterbacks, yielding 5.4 yards per carry, which placed them at the bottom of the league. Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts ranks 24th among all rushers this year, with an average of 4.5 yards per carry. This game presents New Orleans with its first significant challenge of 2024 to determine if they can contain Hurts, who exceeded 140 rushing yards in each of his games against the Saints during the 2020 and 2021 seasons. — Katherine Terrell
Stat to know: Hurts is just one rushing touchdown away from tying Steve Young for the third most by a quarterback in NFL history.
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Bold prediction: Saints quarterback Derek Carr is projected to attempt at least 33 passes—10 more than his previous maximum attempts.
in a game this season. Although New Orleans has favored a run-heavy strategy, primarily due to their success, they will likely seek to exploit their passing efficiency against an Eagles team that struggles to pressure the quarterback. This presents a unique opportunity. Furthermore, I anticipate a closely contested match. — Walder
Injuries: Eagles | Saints
Fantasy X factor: Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert. With wide receiver A.J. Brown sidelined due to a hamstring injury, DeVonta Smith may see an increase in targets, but Goedert shouldn’t be overlooked. In Week 2, he recorded only four targets and 6.8 fantasy points; however, he has been logging significant playing time, running as many routes as Smith. The Saints allowed six receptions and 10.3 fantasy points to Cowboys tight end Luke Schoonmaker last week. Goedert has the potential to perform even better, especially given the high point total expected in this matchup. See Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Saints have surpassed their two spreads by an average of 32.5 points per game, marking the highest cover margin through two games in Super Bowl history. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Eagles 34, Saints 31
Moody’s pick: Saints 27, Eagles 21
Walder’s pick: Saints 30, Eagles 28
FPI prediction: NO, 50.9% (by an average of 0.7 points)
Matchup must-reads: Kelce is gone, yet the tush push remains — will it still succeed? … How Carr’s offseason reset revitalized the Saints’ strong start
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PIT -1.5 (35.5 O/U)
Chargers storyline to watch: The Chargers are featuring the NFL’s leading rusher, J.K. Dobbins, who has amassed 266 yards and averages 9.9 yards per carry. However, the Steelers boast one of the league’s top run defenses, permitting only 153 yards across two games, the fourth lowest in the NFL. “Let’s discover what we’re capable of,” stated coach Jim Harbaugh. — Kris Rhim
Steelers storyline to watch: With quarterback Russell Wilson still out due to a persistent calf injury, the Steelers are starting Justin Fields for the third consecutive week. Fields will be protected by rookie first-round pick Troy Fautanu, who is making his second career start after taking over the right tackle position from 2023 first-round pick Broderick Jones. Fautanu and left tackle Dan Moore Jr. will face considerable challenges against one of the league’s most formidable pass-rushing duos, Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack, as well as a Chargers defense that has allowed a league-best average of only 6.5 points per game over the first two weeks. — Brooke Pryor
Stat to know: Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has recorded fewer than 200 passing yards in three straight games dating back to last season; this is the longest such streak in his career and the longest by a Chargers quarterback since Philip Rivers in 2012 (four games).
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Bold prediction: Fields will throw at least two interceptions. I envision the Chargers catching the Steelers off guard by focusing on the passing game early, allowing Herbert to establish a lead. Once they put the Steelers in pass-heavy situations, the Chargers’ defense will capitalize. — Walder
Injuries: Chargers | Steelers
Fantasy X factor: Steelers wide receiver George Pickens. Pickens and Fields are beginning to find their rhythm, and I anticipate a strong performance in Week 3. Although Pickens managed only 4.9 fantasy points against the Broncos in Week 2, a 51-yard catch and touchdown were nullified by penalties. Nonetheless, he leads the Steelers in targets, receiving yards, and air yards. Pickens is set for a breakout game against the Chargers, providing fantasy managers with the performance they’ve been waiting for. See Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Steelers have covered the spread in four consecutive September games (2-0 ATS this season). Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Chargers 21, Steelers 13
Moody’s pick: Steelers 20, Chargers 19
Walder’s pick: Chargers 26, Steelers 16
FPI prediction: LAC, 51.4% (by an average margin of 1 point)
Matchup must-reads: The Chargers’ debated shift to a run-first offense is showing results … Analyzing what’s effective — and what isn’t — for Fields
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: TB -6.5 (40.5 O/U)
Broncos storyline to follow: The Broncos’ offense must step up to prevent an 0-3 start, which requires finding a balance for rookie QB Bo Nix. Nix ended Week 2 with 88 dropbacks, the third highest in the league, and the Broncos have faced challenges protecting him amid such a high volume of passing plays. It will be even more challenging to shield Nix this Sunday, as right tackle Mike McGlinchey (knee) is on injured reserve, leading to Alex Palczewski’s first start. — Jeff Legwold
Buccaneers storyline to follow: The Bucs are missing several key players, including defensive tackles Calijah Kancey (calf) and Vita Vea (knee), All-Pro safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot), and right tackle Luke Goedeke (concussion). With Lions DE Aidan Hutchinson accumulating 4.5 sacks last week, Justin Skule and the right side of the offensive line might face another tough matchup. — Jenna Laine
Stat to note: Nix has a 35% completion rate, 1.3 yards per attempt, and a 0-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio when under pressure this season (with the Bucs ranking as the second most blitz-heavy team in the NFL this season).
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Bold prediction: Buccaneers cornerback Zyon McCollum is projected to allow no receptions on no more than three targets. After two weeks, McCollum is placed second among outside corners, allowing only 0.3 yards per coverage snap (minimum of 50 coverage snaps), and has been targeted just 10% of the time, which is the third fewest, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. — Walder
Injuries: Broncos | Buccaneers
Fantasy X factor: Baker Mayfield, the quarterback for the Buccaneers, should be a focal point. The Broncos display a moderate defense in terms of fantasy points allowed per game to quarterbacks. Geno Smith recorded 17.8 fantasy points in Week 2, but I expect Mayfield to exceed that. In his last two games, Mayfield has achieved 19 or more fantasy points and is likely to target wide receiver Chris Godwin, who should perform well against Broncos slot cornerback Ja’Quan McMillian. These are the crucial X factors to monitor in this matchup. Check out the Week 3 rankings. – Moody
Betting nugget: Underdogs with a spread of six points or more are 8-0 against the spread this season. Underdogs of seven points or more have a record of 3-0 outright. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Broncos 17
Moody’s pick: Buccaneers 27, Broncos 14
Walder’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Broncos 16
FPI prediction: TB, 69% (averaging a margin of 7.9 points)
Matchup must-reads: Payton accepts responsibility for the Broncos’ struggling offense… Will the Bucs achieve a 3-0 record for the first time since 2005?… Vea is dealing with an MCL sprain and will be listed as ‘day-to-day’
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LV -5 (39.5 O/U)
Panthers storyline to follow: The Panthers face numerous issues beyond the decision to bench quarterback Bryce Young in favor of veteran Andy Dalton. Although Young and the offense struggled with only one touchdown and 13 points over two games, the defense has also faltered, allowing 73 points. This unit has particularly struggled against the run, ranking 31st in the NFL by allowing an average of 199.5 rushing yards per game. The silver lining for the Panthers is that the Raiders rank last in rushing, averaging just 49 yards per game. — David Newton
Raiders storyline to watch: Rookie tight end Brock Bowers has quickly become quarterback Gardner Minshew’s reliable target, and that trend is expected to continue against the Panthers. Carolina has allowed a total of 10 receptions for 103 yards and two touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Bowers has set records for the most catches (15) and the most receiving yards (156) by a rookie tight end in his first two NFL games. — Paul Gutierrez
Stat to note: Dalton made one appearance as a starter for the Panthers last season, recording 361 passing yards with 34 completions, which ties for the second-most in franchise history.
Bold prediction: Diontae Johnson of the Panthers will achieve over 80 receiving yards. I had strong expectations for Johnson this season—and I am confident he will fulfill them.
After the first two challenging weeks with Young out of the lineup (five receptions for 34 yards), I believe Johnson can excel in this offense. His percentage of go routes and deep fades has been reduced significantly from his time in Pittsburgh (from 18% to 8%), which is beneficial for a skilled route runner like him. With Dalton now throwing to him, I expect to see positive outcomes. — Walder
Injuries: Panthers | Raiders
1:55
Mel Kiper criticizes the Carolina organization for ‘mishandling’ Bryce Young.
Mel Kiper Jr. harshly criticizes the Panthers’ organization and owner for their mismanagement of Bryce Young since the onset of his career last season.
Fantasy X factor: Raiders running back Zamir White. Coach Antonio Pierce has expressed his desire to revitalize the Raiders’ run game, which is crucial as they currently rank last in rushing yards per game. As a result, the team has had to rely heavily on the passing game, leading to nine sacks already this season. This week presents a prime opportunity for White and the offensive line, as they will face a Panthers defense that ranks at the bottom in run stop win rate (25.5%). Carolina allowed 22.0 fantasy points to Alvin Kamara in Week 1 and 20.1 to Dobbins in Week 2. Check out the Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Over the last two seasons, the Panthers are 2-8 against the spread on the road and 0-10 outright. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Panthers 21, Raiders 20
Moody’s pick: Raiders 28, Panthers 16
Walder’s pick: Panthers 26, Raiders 20
FPI prediction: LV, 62.3% (by an average of 4.9 points)
Matchup must-reads: Exploring what Dalton brings to the Panthers in the absence of Young … Analyzing how a Lamar Jackson interception changed the game for the Raiders … The implications of benched Young for Dalton in Carolina.
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: SEA -4 (41.5 O/U)
Dolphins storyline to watch: Miami possesses the receivers necessary to support QB Skylar Thompson, who is starting in place of Tua Tagovailoa (concussion), even in a tough road matchup. Nevertheless, the Dolphins have had difficulty establishing their passing game without Tagovailoa. In the two games where Thompson started and finished, neither Jaylen Waddle (eight catches, 88 yards) nor Tyreek Hill (nine catches, 92 yards) made a significant impact. If Seattle focuses on shutting down De’Von Achane and Miami’s run game, Thompson and his teammates will need to capitalize through aerial attacks. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Seahawks storyline to watch: With Thompson as the Dolphins’ quarterback, Seattle’s shaky run defense is likely to be tested again. The Seahawks were impressive in Week 1, limiting Denver’s running backs to just 2.6 yards per carry. However, against New England, they surrendered 185 rushing yards, a performance that left coach Mike Macdonald feeling frustrated. — Brady Henderson
Stat to know: Since the beginning of Tua Tagovailoa’s rookie season in 2020, the Dolphins hold a record of 33-20 in games he started, compared to 7-9 in games helmed by all other quarterbacks.
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Bold prediction: The Seahawks will secure a defensive touchdown. The Seahawks’ defense ranks fourth in EPA allowed per dropback, leaving me doubtful that Thompson can avoid a significant error for very long. — Walder
Injuries: Dolphins | Seahawks
Fantasy X factor: Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf. Despite facing a challenging matchup against cornerback Christian Gonzalez, he delivered a standout performance against the Patriots in Week 2, accumulating 14 targets and 28.9 fantasy points. Set for another impressive showing against a Dolphins secondary prone to struggles against fast receivers, Metcalf may thrive. Miami’s defense includes experienced veterans, yet they have been lacking pressure on quarterbacks due to their rookie pass rushers not stepping up. QB Geno Smith is likely to capitalize on this. Check the Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Seahawks have yet to cover the spread in their last four games as favorites (0-2 ATS this season). Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Seahawks 24, Dolphins 14
Moody’s pick: Seahawks 24, Dolphins 21
Walder’s pick: Seahawks 27, Dolphins 10
FPI prediction: SEA, 66.9% (by an average of 6.8 points)
Matchup must-reads: Dolphins place Tua on IR after latest concussion… QB Smith carries the 2-0 Seahawks… What to understand about Tua’s concussion, IR status — and upcoming steps
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: BAL -1 (48.5 O/U)
Ravens storyline to monitor: Baltimore seeks enhanced efficiency from its offense, which leads in total yards per game (417.5) but ranks only 14th in points (21.5). The Ravens have an opportunity to improve against the Cowboys, who have given up 92 points in their last two home games, marking the highest total for a two-game span at home since 1960. — Jamison Hensley
Cowboys storyline to monitor: After conceding 190 rushing yards to New Orleans, it could be a challenging week for Dallas’ run defense facing Derrick Henry and QB Lamar Jackson. Last week, Henry amassed 79 of his 84 rushing yards in the second half against the Raiders, while Jackson had a notable 25-yard run in the fourth quarter. However, the Cowboys have a solid record of 12-2 following a loss since 2021, and they haven’t lost two consecutive home games in the same season since 2020, the first year of coach Mike McCarthy. — Todd Archer
Stat to know: The Cowboys are 1-
The Ravens hold a 5-0 record against their opponents, which marks their most unfavorable history in the franchise.
Bold prediction: Henry is expected to achieve his first 100-plus rushing yards game as a Raven … albeit in a loss. Dallas sits at the bottom in EPA designed carry, which may impact the game, but I’m forecasting QB Dak Prescott and his team will secure a victory in the air during overtime. — Walder
0:39
Tyler Fulghum explains his reasons for liking the Ravens against the Cowboys.
He discusses why he favors the desperate 0-2 Ravens over the Cowboys.
Injuries: Ravens | Cowboys
Fantasy X factor: Keep an eye on Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. He is in a favorable position this week. Prescott and Lamb are likely to target the struggling Ravens’ secondary, which has allowed the highest number of receiving yards in the league (576). Lamb has recorded seven or more targets and achieved 13 or more fantasy points in consecutive games. He has the potential to exceed those figures against the Ravens. Refer to Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Cowboys have a 7-1 ATS record as home underdogs since 2018, with a 4-1 ATS record under Coach McCarthy. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Cowboys 33, Ravens 30
Moody’s pick: Ravens 30, Cowboys 28
Walder’s pick: Cowboys 29, Ravens 23
FPI prediction: BAL, 53.6% (by an average of 1.3 points)
Matchup must-reads: Assessing the Ravens’ early season struggles … Could we witness a 70-yard field goal from Cowboys K Aubrey? … The Cowboys’ defense continues to struggle against Shanahan’s coaching tree.
4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: SF -7 (44.5 O/U)
49ers storyline to watch: Both teams are facing major injuries, with the Rams missing their top two receivers (Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua) and the Niners without their most versatile offensive players (RB Christian McCaffrey and WR Deebo Samuel Sr.). The quarterbacks must step up, with the Rams’ Matthew Stafford looking to break free from his 1-8 history against the Niners, while the Niners’ Brock Purdy aims to maintain his 8-0 record against NFC West rivals, including playoffs. — Nick Wagoner
Rams storyline to watch: Niners coach Kyle Shanahan has a 10-4 regular-season record against Sean McVay and the Rams. A win on Sunday would mark Shanahan’s 11th victory against McVay, the highest by any coach over another since they assumed their roles in 2017, according to ESPN Research. The Rams edged out victory in their previous encounter in Week 18 last season, a matchup where both teams rested key players in anticipation of the playoffs. — Sarah Barshop
Stat to know: Since the introduction of Total QBR by ESPN in 2006, there have been 145 QB
Purdy has started at least five games within the division, boasting the second-highest QBR among those quarterbacks, second only to Peyton Manning.
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Bold prediction: Rams rookie linebacker Jared Verse will manage to sack Purdy, despite the anticipated game scenario. I am fully invested in Verse – he currently ranks ninth in pass rush win rate at the edge position — and Purdy’s sack rate is a staggering 10.5% this year. — Walder
Injuries: 49ers | Rams
Fantasy X factor: 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk. He has experienced a sluggish start to the season, partially due to his holdout during training camp and preseason. However, he faces a Rams defense that has allowed the most receiving yards to wide receivers. In Weeks 1 and 2, Jameson Williams (24.4 points) and Marvin Harrison Jr. (29.0 points) posted remarkable fantasy performances against the Rams. With Samuel sidelined, Aiyuk is expected to receive numerous targets. Check the Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Since 2022, the 49ers hold an impressive 9-3 record against the spread in division games. Read more.
Kahler’s prediction: 49ers 28, Rams 17
Moody’s prediction: 49ers 34, Rams 19
Walder’s prediction: 49ers 30, Rams 17
FPI prediction: SF, 63.9% (averaging a margin of 5.3 points)
Essential matchup reads: Purdy’s leadership capabilities will face a significant test … Can the Rams recover from their 0-2 start with a depleted roster? … What the 49ers miss most about McCaffrey’s presence in the offense
4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: DET -3 (51.5 O/U)
Lions storyline to follow: Pro Bowl TE Sam LaPorta has had a sluggish start in his second year due to a hamstring injury sustained during training camp; however, Lions QB Jared Goff indicated plans to increase his involvement. “His touches will come; I know he knows that, and it’s just a matter of time,” Goff said. LaPorta has recorded only six catches for 58 yards over the first two games. — Eric Woodyard
Cardinals storyline to observe: The Cardinals rank second in the league for scoring, averaging 34.5 points per game after scoring 41 against the Rams in their last game, whereas the Lions’ defense allows only 20 points per game this season. Detroit’s run defense has proven formidable, giving up just 76.5 rushing yards and 3.3 yards per carry, both sitting at fourth in the league. Meanwhile, Arizona ranks fourth in rushing yards per game this season and fifth in rushing yards per play. While the teams battle in their ground game, Marvin Harrison Jr. aims for a consecutive 100-yard game. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to consider: Harrison’s 130
receiving yards during the first quarter last week exceeded the total amount his father recorded in an entire game as a rookie for the Colts in 1996.
Bold prediction: Goff is set to top the league in QBR for Week 3. Although it’s a limited sample size, quarterbacks who have faced Arizona possess the third-best QBR this season. We are aware of Goff’s potential within this offense, despite his current QBR being only 37 (!). — Walder
Injuries: Lions | Cardinals
0:37
Is Jameson Williams a legitimate fantasy WR1?
Field Yates and Daniel Dopp explore the early fantasy success of Lions WR Jameson Williams.
Fantasy X factor: Lions running back David Montgomery. This week, Montgomery finds himself in an excellent position against the Cardinals. The anticipated game is expected to yield over 50 points, indicating a high-scoring affair. A tight spread hints it will be a closely contested matchup. Montgomery has recorded over 15 touches and more than 16 fantasy points in his last two games. Thanks to the Lions’ formidable offensive line, he should continue to excel. Furthermore, he has accumulated 15 rushing touchdowns over his last 16 regular-season games in Detroit. Refer to the Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Cardinals QB Kyler Murray holds a 26-15-1 ATS record throughout his career as an underdog. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Cardinals 31, Lions 28
Moody’s pick: Lions 34, Cardinals 30
Walder’s pick: Lions 40, Cardinals 31
FPI prediction: DET, 49.9% (by an average of 0.2 points)
Matchup must-reads: Campbell admits to clock error against the Bucs, focuses on the future… The evolving chemistry between Murray and Harrison… Lions WR St. Brown avoids significant injury in Bucs defeat
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: KC -3.5 (46.5 O/U)
Chiefs storyline to watch: While quarterback Kirk Cousins and the Falcons’ passing attack have yet to impress this season, could this be their opportunity for a breakout performance? The Chiefs have shown vulnerability against the pass, allowing more yards per game (256.5) than nearly all teams except for the Ravens. Aside from Trent McDuffie, the cornerback performance has been inconsistent, and the pass rush has been hit or miss, apart from a crucial strip sack and touchdown return last week. — Adam Teicher
Falcons storyline to watch: The Falcons’ secondary has permitted the seventh-fewest passing yards (339) in the league, employing zone coverage 76% of the time under the new defensive coordinator Jimmy Lake. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has thrived against zone defenses—accumulating the highest yardage (16,486) and passing touchdowns (75) in the NFL since 2018. Additionally, the Falcons have struggled to exert effective pressure on quarterbacks, potentially setting them up for a tough defensive battle. — Marc Raimondi
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Key Stat: This Sunday, Mahomes could break the record for the most wins in the first 100 starts of a career. He is making his 99th career start, and with 76 wins, he is currently tied with Tom Brady and Roger Staubach for the most wins by a quarterback since 1950.
Bold Prediction: The Chiefs are expected to secure a victory by more than 14 points. While Cousins delivered an impressive final drive against the Eagles, it’s essential to remember the overall performance in that game. Considering the short week and Kansas City’s strength, this matchup may not be as close as some might think. – Walder
Injury Report: Chiefs | Falcons
Fantasy X Factor: Chiefs running back Carson Steele. Fantasy managers are keenly observing the Chiefs’ running back lineup with Isiah Pacheco (fibula) out of action. The team has added Kareem Hunt to the practice squad, and Steele alongside Samaje Perine will manage the backfield in Week 3. Pacheco has recorded 17 or more touches in each game thus far. Steele had an impressive preseason, accumulating 87 yards on 11 carries. He’s likely to take charge on early downs and short-yardage situations against the Falcons. See Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting Insight: The Falcons have a 2-8 record against the spread in their last 10 prime-time games. Read more.
Kahler’s Prediction: Chiefs 30, Falcons 24
Moody’s Prediction: Chiefs 28, Falcons 13
Walder’s Prediction: Chiefs 30, Falcons 14
FPI Prediction: KC, with a 58.2% chance (by an average of 3 points)
Essential Matchup Reads: Chiefs state RB Hunt has matured since his release… London reflects on the gun celebration following the win against the Eagles… Kelce attributes the slow start to himself.
Monday, 7:30 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: BUF -5 (45.5 O/U)
Jaguars Storyline to Monitor: Receiver Christian Kirk, who has recorded 1,924 receiving yards with the Jaguars since 2022, has only been targeted seven times in the first two games this season. Both coach Doug Pederson and QB Trevor Lawrence voiced that this figure is inadequate. He has averaged seven targets per game over the last two seasons. “We’ve got to ensure he’s involved this week, and I trust that it will happen,” Lawrence remarked. — Mike DiRocco
Bills Storyline to Monitor: The Bills will be missing starting nickel corner Taron Johnson (forearm) and middle linebacker Terrel Bernard (pectoral).
In this matchup, the defense demonstrated solid performance in Week 2, even with Bernard exiting during the game. The effectiveness of the unit, now featuring various backups, will be put to the test against the Jaguars. In their encounter last season, Jaguars RB Travis Etienne had an impressive outing, rushing for 136 yards and two touchdowns, which included a 35-yard rushing score. However, Etienne has struggled to exceed 52 rushing yards in his first two games this season. The performance of backup linebackers Dorian Williams and Baylon Spector, along with backup nickel corner Cam Lewis, will be crucial in limiting the Jaguars’ ground game and is definitely worth monitoring. — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to know: The Jaguars are tied with the Panthers for the worst record in the NFL (1-7) since Week 13 of the previous season. Five of those losses were decided by just one score (eight points or fewer).
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Bold prediction: Foyesade Oluokun is expected to lead the league in combined tackles during Week 3. Given that Buffalo has focused heavily on the run and is likely to be in a winning position, this will likely lead to an increase in rushing attempts. Oluokun ranked seventh in tackles per run snap last season. — Walder
Injuries: Jaguars | Bills
Fantasy X factor: Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir stands out as a key player. Leading the Bills with eight targets, eight receptions, and 96 receiving yards, he is a strong option against a Jaguars defense that has surrendered the second-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season. With his efficiency and potential for an expanded role, Shakir could have a significant impact. Check out the Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Jaguars hold a 13-21-1 record against the spread in prime-time games since 2000. Read more.
Kahler’s pick: Bills 24, Jaguars 21
Moody’s pick: Bills 30, Jaguars 21
Walder’s pick: Bills 24, Jaguars 16
FPI prediction: BUF, 66% (by an average of 6.6 points)
Matchup must-reads: Exploring why the Jaguars rank in the bottom 10 of NFL offenses … The duality of Coleman: the whimsical yet analytical Bills WR
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN+ | ESPN BET: CIN -7.5 (47.5 O/U)
Commanders storyline to watch: Washington has allowed 373 yards to opposing receivers in its first two games, placing them 28th in the NFL. The Commanders’ corners have struggled with consistency and now face the challenge of defending against WRs Ja’Marr Chase and potentially Tee Higgins. Cornerback Benjamin St-Juste has performed best among the group, so he is likely to cover Chase frequently in man coverage. A critical factor for Washington will be their tackling; they have conceded six pass plays of 20 yards or more, with 97 of the 154 yards on those plays occurring after the catch. —
John Keim
Storyline to monitor for the Bengals: Cincinnati’s injury-plagued defensive line will face one of the premier rushing offenses in the NFL. Washington ranks third in rushing EPA and fifth in the percentage of carries resulting in 10 or more yards (18.5%). The Commanders’ Brian Robinson Jr., coming off a career-best 133 rushing yards in Week 2, will be up against a Bengals interior that is struggling with injuries and recently signed veteran Lawrence Guy Sr. to bolster their depth in the center. — Ben Baby
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Stat worth noting: This marks the third meeting in “Monday Night Football” history between quarterbacks who have won the Heisman Trophy. Moreover, it is the inaugural encounter between two Heisman winners from the same university (Jayden Daniels and Joe Burrow from LSU).
Bold prediction: Robinson will achieve 50 rushing yards after contact. So far in two games, Robinson has been averaging 3.1 yards after contact per carry, which ranks third in the NFL. Additionally, he has 63 rushing yards above expectation, putting him second in the league according to NFL Next Gen Stats. — Walder
Injury reports: Commanders | Bengals
Fantasy X factor: Chase. The Commanders have surrendered the highest number of fantasy points to wide receivers, while Chase has recorded just 11 targets and 19.7 fantasy points as Week 3 approaches. The chemistry between Chase and Burrow is undeniable, making this matchup an excellent opportunity to rekindle that connection. The Bengals are eager to avoid an 0-3 start, and targeting their top playmakers is crucial. In regular-season matches where Chase receives nine or more targets with Burrow at the helm, he averages 25.2 fantasy points. Check out Week 3 rankings. — Moody
Betting insight: Burrow boasts a 4-0 record outright and a 3-1 ATS on MNF, with all four games going under the total points line. Read more.
Predictions from the analysts:
Kahler’s pick: Bengals 28, Commanders 21
Moody’s pick: Bengals 34, Commanders 20
Walder’s pick: Bengals 27, Commanders 23
FPI prediction: CIN, 63.9% (by an average of 5.4 points)
Must-read matchup insights: QB Daniels displayed composure in his first NFL victory … Pool report: Chase directed ‘abusive language’ towards an official
# Week 3 NFL Matchups: Key Insights, Predictions, and Fantasy X-Factors to Watch
As Week 3 of the NFL season approaches, fans and fantasy football enthusiasts are gearing up for a thrilling lineup of matchups. This week presents several intriguing games, each with unique storylines and potential fantasy implications. In this article, we’ll dive into key insights, predictions, and fantasy x-factors to keep an eye on as the action unfolds.
## Key Insights for Week 3 Matchups
### AFC Matchups
#### Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
– **Team Form**: The Ravens have shown a potent offense with Lamar Jackson at the helm, while the Patriots are still finding their identity under new leadership.
– **Defense Analysis**: Baltimore’s defense has improved, but they face a challenge against a disciplined Patriots squad known for capitalizing on mistakes.
**Prediction**: Ravens win by a narrow margin, but expect a high-scoring affair.
#### Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills
– **Offensive Firepower**: The Dolphins’ offense has been explosive, highlighted by Tyreek Hill and Tua Tagovailoa’s connection. Meanwhile, the Bills continue to assert dominance with Josh Allen.
– **Defensive Matchup**: The Bills’ defense will look to limit Miami’s big plays, making this an exciting chess match.
**Prediction**: Bills edge out the Dolphins in a close one.
### NFC Matchups
#### Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
– **Quarterback Battle**: Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are still two of the league’s elite quarterbacks, making this matchup a must-watch.
– **Injury Updates**: Pay attention to injury reports, as both teams could be missing key players.
**Prediction**: Packers take the win, thanks to a strong second half.
#### San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams
– **Rivalry Renewed**: This classic NFC West rivalry is always competitive, with both teams looking to establish early dominance.
– **Key Player Performance**: Watch for standout performances from both defenses, especially Nick Bosa and Aaron Donald.
**Prediction**: 49ers win in a defensive showdown.
## Fantasy X-Factors to Watch
### Quarterbacks
- **Lamar Jackson (Ravens)**: A dual-threat quarterback capable of big performances, Jackson is a must-start against a Patriots defense that may struggle to contain his running ability.
– **Josh Allen (Bills)**: Allen’s arm strength and mobility make him a top-tier fantasy QB this week, especially against a vulnerable Dolphins secondary.
### Running Backs
– **Dolphins Backfield (Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane)**: Miami’s two-headed monster could exploit the Bills’ run defense if they focus on short passes and runs.
– **Aaron Jones (Packers)**: If he plays, Jones has the potential for a breakout game against a Tampa Bay defense that has shown some weaknesses.
### Wide Receivers
– **Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)**: Don’t underestimate Hill’s ability to make game-changing plays. He remains a top option in any fantasy lineup.
– **Cooper Kupp (Rams)**: Kupp’s connection with Matthew Stafford means he’ll be a focal point in their passing game, making him a high-value start.
### Tight Ends
- **Mark Andrews (Ravens)**: With Jackson’s ability to extend plays, Andrews is in line for a big game against the Patriots.
– **George Kittle (49ers)**: Kittle can exploit the Rams’ secondary and is always a top target in pivotal moments.
## Benefits of Analyzing NFL Matchups
1. **Strategic Advantage**: Understanding team matchups allows fantasy players to make informed decisions, leading to successful lineups.
2. **Identifying Trends**: Analyzing previous performances helps in predicting future outcomes and player performances.
3. **Injury Impact**: Staying updated on injuries can give you a leg up on your competition, allowing for timely roster adjustments.
## Practical Tips for Fantasy Players
– **Monitor Injury Reports**: Always check the latest injury updates leading up to game day to ensure your lineup is optimized.
– **Consider Matchup Strength**: Look at how opposing defenses have performed against specific positions to find potential mismatches.
– **Utilize Waiver Wire**: Keep an eye on emerging players who could provide significant value based on their upcoming matchups.
## Case Studies: Previous Week Performance
| Player | Team | Week 2 Performance | Fantasy Points |
|——————-|——————|——————–|—————–|
| Lamar Jackson | Ravens | 300 Yards, 3 TDs | 30 |
| Tyreek Hill | Dolphins | 150 Yards, 2 TDs | 29 |
| Aaron Jones | Packers | 90 Yards, 1 TD | 18 |
| George Kittle | 49ers | 75 Yards, 1 TD | 15 |
*Note: Fantasy points are based on standard scoring formats.*
## First-Hand Experience: Insights from Fantasy Experts
Many fantasy experts emphasize the importance of matchup analysis. They suggest that understanding a player’s historical performance against a specific defense can provide key insights. For instance, if a running back has consistently performed well against a particular team, that trend could likely continue, making them a valuable starter.
### Community Feedback
Fantasy football forums are buzzing with discussions about Week 3 matchups. Users are sharing their predictions and debating the potential impacts of player injuries. Engaging with the community can provide additional insights and help refine your strategies.
## Conclusion
As Week 3 of the NFL season unfolds, it’s crucial to stay informed and make strategic decisions based on matchups, player performances, and injury reports. Whether you’re participating in a fantasy league or just enjoying the games, these insights and predictions will enrich your viewing experience. Be sure to leverage the information provided here to enhance your strategies and stay ahead in your league. Enjoy the week’s action!
