I visited Google and entered just one word into the search bar.
“Hope.”
The top result came from an “AI Overview,” stating:
“Hope is an optimistic feeling or state of mind that involves the expectation of positive outcomes and can function as both a noun and a verb:
· As a noun
Hope can signify:
· A desire accompanied by the expectation of fulfillment
· The anticipation of success or fulfillment
· A person or thing that one hopes for
· Something that is wished for or desired
· As a verb
Hope can denote:
· To expect with confidence
· To hold a desire with anticipation
· To want very much”
As a fan of the Commanders
Hope can mean just one thing:
· JAYDEN EFFING DANIELS.
If you’re reading this column, you’re likely a fantasy football enthusiast, and you either witnessed or are well aware of what Washington Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels accomplished against the Bengals last Monday night. Superlatives and excessive praise are, frankly, insufficient. To put it simply, the guy achieved a 91% completion rate. That’s not a typo. He completed 21 out of 23 passes for 254 yards and threw two touchdown passes. He also carried the ball 12 times for 39 yards and a rushing touchdown. But it’s not solely about the impressive statistics. It’s the timing and manner in which he achieved them.
It’s the success on third downs. It’s the conversions on fourth downs. It’s the courageous running. It’s the absence of turnovers. It’s standing tall in the pocket, fully aware that a massive hit is imminent, yet taking it so that you give Terry McLaurin enough time to get free downfield. Just as you’re about to get crushed, you deliver a pinpoint 27-yard pass to McLaurin in the corner of the end zone, sealing a road victory in primetime against a winless, desperate Bengals team.
So yes, you’ve gathered all this from the box score, the highlights, the ongoing discussions on TV these last few days, and if nothing else, you just read it.
The aspect that doesn’t appear in the box score is the hope.
Keep that in mind.
I’ve shared this part of the story before, but for those who are new here, I was born in Denver and spent two years in Atlanta, with the majority of my formative years from ages 4 to 12 spent in Richmond and Charlottesville, Virginia. My father is a massive sports fan, as was his father, so it was natural for me to watch sports from an early age.
As an NFL fan, Jack Pardee was the first Washington coach I remember, and when he was let go in 1981, as an 11-year-old, I desperately wished the team would recruit Bum Phillips, the vibrant Houston Oilers coach who had just been dismissed after “Luv Ya Blue” once again fell short in the playoffs. Back then, there was no internet, and we didn’t have the new phenomenon called cable TV, so I was disheartened when they chose a Chargers assistant I had never heard of named Joe Gibbs.
That decision would be the last time Washington would disappoint me for many years to come.
Gibbs, of course, went on to become one of the most esteemed coaches in NFL history, guiding Washington through an extraordinary era, including four Super Bowl appearances and winning three of them. I was all in—hook, line, and sinker. I collected all their trading cards, watched every game, read every article I could find, and my most treasured possessions were a Washington helmet that I wore everywhere and
An autographed photo of Joe Theismann arrived in my mailbox. I had sent him a fan letter, and to my surprise, about a month later, he returned a signed picture.
As is often true, what mattered to you as a child becomes integral and cherished as you age. Thus, as I transitioned from one city to another while growing up, my loyalty to the Burgundy and Gold remained steadfast, and it obviously endures to this day, many decades later.
The journey wasn’t always smooth. In fact, it was incredibly tough for roughly 20 years. The Dan Snyder era marked the lowest point in the history of ownership in professional sports. I would defend that statement fiercely. I could write tens of thousands of words detailing Snyder’s shortcomings and still fall short, but I won’t do that. Instead, I’ll summarize it in two main points.
First, on-field performance. During Snyder’s tenure, the team recorded a dismal 164-220-2 in the regular season, rarely making it to the playoffs and achieving little success, with a postseason record of 2-6.
Even worse, though, were the off-field issues. In a nutshell, for over two decades, whenever someone approached you as a Washington fan, it was almost certain they would ask, “Did you see the latest Snyder story?” You’d let out a sigh and have to ask, “Which one?”
For so long, every issue the team faced (and there were countless) was completely self-made. I considered leaving the team behind. I truly tried. Yet, I couldn’t bring myself to do it. That was my childhood. It was my first love. It’s a connection so deeply embedded in me that it will never fade.
I’m knowledgeable enough to understand that winning at the highest level is challenging. Every team in every sport experiences ups and downs. Any impartial sports enthusiast realizes that, despite extensive research and insight from the brightest minds in the industry, sometimes players, coaches, and entire seasons simply fail to meet expectations. Let’s be honest; my team has secured three Super Bowl victories. Those championships were ages ago when I was a child, but still—three rings. Many fans support teams that have never even made it to a championship game, let alone won one. So, no, I’m not asking for your sympathy. I may have disliked the losing streak, but though it was frustrating, I could manage.
What I couldn’t bear to live without? Hope.
I always want hope. We all do. No matter how minuscule, we yearn for even a faint glimmer of hope. It reminds me of the iconic scene from *Dumb & Dumber*, right?
Lloyd: What do you think the chances are of a guy like you and a girl like me ending up together?
Mary: Well, Lloyd, that’s difficult to say. I mean, we don’t really–
Lloyd: Hit me with it! Just give it to me straight! I came a long way just to see you, Mary. The least you can do is level with me. What are my chances?
Mary: Not good.
Lloyd: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
Mary: I’d say more like one out of a million.
[pause]
Lloyd: So you’re telling me there’s a chance? *YEAH!*
This is why I love having players perform on Monday nights. No matter how badly my fantasy team suffered on Sunday, facing Jauan Jennings, Saquon Barkley, and Kyren Williams… there’s still a flicker of chance. A possibility for a #MondayNightMiracle. An extraordinary performance that could resurrect my fantasy team from defeat and lead to an unlikely victory, much like the way Jayden Daniels did for us on Monday night.
I crave that hope. I need that hope. I live for that sliver of hope. I hold hope for my children, for my career, for my family, friends, and the world.
at large. My hope for my fantasy teams, and yes, dammit, a great deal of hope for my cherished Washington Commanders, is alive.
This optimism began when Snyder sold the team to a seasoned, professional ownership group led by Josh Harris. However, this group took control just before the start of the 2023 season, leaving little room for changes last year. Fortunately, this year, they were able to make their mark on the team, including the appointments of general manager Adam Peters, head coach Dan Quinn, and offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury.
Together, they made a significant decision: drafting none other than Jayden Effing Daniels.
Yeah.
Let’s be clear, though.
We still require substantial assistance on defense. For us to secure a win last Monday, Daniels needed to play a flawless game and score 38 points. Such occurrences are not guaranteed each week.
Winning in the NFL is challenging, and Washington’s upcoming schedule is tough, with games against the entire AFC North (Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and Cleveland) and the NFC South (New Orleans, Atlanta, and a suddenly-resurgent Carolina). Additionally, we still face two more matchups with both Philly and Dallas.
Hence, the analyst within me understands this is not likely a playoff team this year.
That’s the rational side of me, but hope thrives on emotion, and I’m more than willing to embrace it.
Last Monday night, when Terry McLaurin made an astonishing catch in the end zone, I leaped up, fist pumping the air. As I turned, I caught sight of myself in the mirror and realized that Jayden, Terry, and the Commanders had just given me something I hadn’t experienced in quite some time.
A genuine smile during a game.
My phone lit up with social media notifications. My friends and I were excitedly texting one another, repeating the same words: “I’ll be damned. We have a quarterback. Legit. WE HAVE A QUARTERBACK.”
We have a long journey ahead, but for the first time in a long while, I feel genuine hope. Hope that this season, and many more to come, the positives will outweigh the negatives; that what appears grim will swiftly transform into brightness; that although we might not win every contest, we have a chance in every single one—and that’s all you really desire. Something to believe in.
So, you’re saying there’s a chance?
You bet I am.
Hail to the Commanders. Hail victory!
Let’s dive in. As always, appreciation goes to my producer, Damian Dabrowski, for his assistance at various stages of this column. And don’t forget to check out Fantasy Football Happy Hour daily on the NFL on NBC YouTube page, on Peacock, and wherever you access your podcasts. Be sure to catch Fantasy Football Pregame on Sunday morning from 11 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET on Peacock and the NFL on NBC YouTube page, where we answer more questions than any other pregame show.
Lastly, if you require more than hope to secure victories in your fantasy league, be sure to explore FantasyLife+, where we have
Tools such as Waiver Assistant, Trade Rater, and League Sync, along with tailored weekly rankings for your scoring system, DFS, Pick’em, and sports betting, make this product truly exceptional.
Let’s dive in.
Quarterbacks I Adore in Week 4
Kyler Murray vs. Washington
This Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET, I will shift from being “Matthew Berry, fantasy analyst” to “Matthew Berry, the personification of the grinning heart-eyes emoji.” At that moment, the Cardinals will face off against the Commanders, and I will be treated to a spectacular matchup between my 2024 “Ride Or Die” Kyler Murray and my future “Greatest Quarterback In The World And Savior Of My Washington Commanders” Jayden Daniels. In his infinite wisdom, Daniels has opted for a scoring strategy that aims for points on every drive—at least never punting—given that the Commanders’ defense is, shall we say, a work in progress.
This season, Washington ranks as the second-worst pass defense, having permitted the most passing touchdowns and a league-high 24.4 PPG to quarterbacks. Furthermore, every quarterback who has faced Washington this season has ranked among the top seven fantasy quarterbacks for their respective weeks. This explains the Cardinals having the highest implied team total this week. It also places Kyler Murray as my QB2, who I anticipate will lead the Cards to a total of 50 points in a heart-wrenching 1-point defeat to my cherished Commanders. A guy can dream, right?
Jayden Daniels at Arizona
While Murray is my QB2, Jayden Daniels is QB1 (in my heart) and is ranked QB3 for Week 4. He is one of only three quarterbacks who have already recorded multiple 25-point games this season, alongside Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson—pretty decent company. Daniels has also rushed the ball over ten times in each game and leads all quarterbacks with six goal-line carries. Now, he faces an Arizona defense that grants the third-highest passer rating to opponents and engages in a game featuring the week’s highest Over/Under (50). There’s a lot to love about Daniels not just in fantasy football but in actual football this week. By the way, can I be candid for a moment? It’s hard to believe some of you spend each week cheering for a team that doesn’t have a young, superstar quarterback leading the way. I genuinely can’t fathom what that experience is like. It must be dreadful. I bet your quarterback has at least one game with under a 91% completion percentage. You poor, unfortunate souls.
C.J. Stroud vs. Jacksonville
The Jaguars sit third from the bottom in pass defense this season and have surrendered the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Perhaps Jacksonville’s defense contributes to Trevor Lawrence’s struggles. Switching from facing the Jaguars in practice to taking on a real defense on Sundays must feel like an abrupt leap from Rookie mode to All-Madden mode. Regardless, C.J. Stroud is set for a solid matchup in a game where the Texans boast the second-highest implied total of the week. From my perspective, Trevor Lawrence appears to be in a broken state, and I don’t foresee improvements in the near future. Therefore, I expect numerous three-and-outs and favorable field position for the Texans at home. Those last two words carry particular weight. Remember, Stroud excels at home, averaging 21.0 PPG and 305 passing yards at the cozy confines of NRG Stadium. He stands as my QB4 this week.
Others receiving votes: While it may not match Jayden Daniels setting an NFL rookie record with 91.3% completion in a single game, it’s quite impressive that Geno Smith has completed over 70% of his passes in every game this season. Seattle is also increasing their passing volume this year, tied for the highest pass rate over expected. Smith also has some favorable history against Detroit, his Week 4 opponent. Last season in Week 2, he threw for 328 yards and two touchdowns, amassing 23.1 fantasy points at Ford Field. … Keep an eye on Justin Fields, who could make significant plays with his legs against the Colts on Sunday. With Jaylen Warren dealing with an injury in Pittsburgh, Indianapolis has allowed the third-most rushes of 10-plus yards this season.
In Week 2, the Colts witnessed Malik Willis accumulate 41 rushing yards against them, and now the Steelers are increasingly relying on Fields to lead their offense, particularly around the goal line. He has accounted for 50% of Pittsburgh’s goal-line rushes this season. Last year, Joe Flacco unexpectedly emerged as a starter; this time, it’s Andy Dalton taking the spotlight. It seems that acquiring quarterbacks from AFC North franchises from over a decade ago has become a new market inefficiency. (Some teams might consider reaching out to Ben Roethlisberger and Carson Palmer. Where is Tim Couch when you need him?) In any case, Dalton faces a favorable matchup this week against his former Bengals team, which is traveling on a short week. Cincinnati is allowing touchdown passes at the seventh-highest rate this season, and given that Carolina is a 4-point underdog, they will likely need to pass frequently in this game. By the way, Dalton has thrown for over 300 yards and at least two touchdowns in both of his career starts with Carolina.
Quarterbacks I Dislike in Week 4
Anthony Richardson vs. Pittsburgh
While I’m not suggesting that Joe Flacco will soon take the helm for the Colts, Anthony Richardson’s start to 2024 has been challenging. Now, he faces his toughest opponent yet. The Steelers currently rank first in scoring defense and place in the top five for both rushing and passing defense. Remarkably, they have yet to allow a quarterback to score double-digit fantasy points. On Sunday, the Steelers’ defense will aim to capitalize on Richardson’s struggles, as he has not completed more than 50% of his passes in any game this season. His 17.8% off-target rate is the second-highest among quarterbacks, with only Bryce Young performing worse in that regard. However, there’s a silver lining: Richardson might get sacked numerous times this week, which could mitigate his off-target throws. Hooray! There is hope for improvement for A-Rich, but it’s likely to get worse before it gets better. This week, Richardson falls outside my top 15 quarterbacks.
Aaron Rodgers vs. Denver
Aaron Rodgers scored 21.0 points in Week 3, marking the first occasion since Week 17 of the 2021-22 season that he surpassed 20 fantasy points. It was exciting to see Rodgers performing alongside late-career fantasy icons like Andy Dalton and Joe Flacco, but I’m skeptical about whether this performance will carry into Week 4. The Broncos currently rank second in pass defense and sixth in scoring defense, having completely stifled Baker Mayfield last week. (Before that game, Mayfield was among the top three fantasy quarterbacks.) Denver also permits the third-fewest yards per pass attempt (5.8). This matchup is projected to be low-scoring (with an Over/Under of 39.5) and likely dominated by the Jets, who are 7.5-point favorites. That scenario suggests a run-heavy game plan, which places Rodgers outside my top 15 quarterbacks this week.
One point worth mentioning is that Aaron Rodgers and Nathaniel Hackett harbor a strong dislike for Broncos head coach Sean Payton. So, while I anticipate the Jets will be ahead significantly without wanting to risk Rodgers’ health in a lopsided game, I wouldn’t be surprised if Rodgers seeks to inflate his stats simply to outshine Payton. Thus, this classification represents a risk/reward scenario for my “Hate.”
Running Backs I Adore in Week 4
Saquon Barkley at Tampa Bay
This choice may seem glaringly obvious, but I’m including him here to reinforce a key point. It’s not merely that he sits as my top overall RB this week. Oh no. He holds the title as my No. 1 RB and he should be the first selection if you were to draft for the rest of the season today. By the way, you absolutely can do this at GuillotineLeagues.com, where you can draft any week you wish in various league sizes. Playing is also entirely free if you want to test it out. If you do find yourself with the No. 1 pick and are inclined to choose Saquon, I fully support that decision. He’s healthy.
He currently leads all running backs with an average of 24.3 touches per game this season, and his role in Philadelphia’s game plan may expand due to injuries affecting receivers A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Britain Covey. Additionally, Barkley is set to face a Buccaneers team that concedes the third-most fantasy points to running backs, while also ranking in the bottom 10 for success rate against running plays. Presently, Barkley stands as the top-ranked player in fantasy, boasting an average of 28.1 PPG, and I fully expect him to maintain this position.
Aaron Jones at Green Bay
Aaron Jones is averaging 18 touches and 108 scrimmage yards per game. He has become Minnesota’s primary option at the goal line, ranking second in the league for goal-line rushes this season and recording multiple goal-line carries in each game. Furthermore, he ranks second among running backs in target share at 19.4%, indicating his involvement in the passing game. I’ve been advocating for this for what feels like an eternity: this is what happens when you #FREEAARONJONES. He is getting significant goal-line and passing game usage in a matchup against his old team, which has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to running backs. Is this a revenge game? Absolutely. Pass me a purple sombrero because I have Jones ranked as a top 10 fantasy back for this week.
James Conner vs. Washington
James Conner has surpassed 19 touches in two of his first three games this season. Although he only recorded 10 touches last week, Arizona’s offense struggled with just 23 minutes of possession against the Lions, which seems more like an anomaly than a typical performance. Conner should have an opportunity to perform well against a Commanders defense yielding 5.2 YPC to running backs, ranking fifth-worst in the league. Running backs with 17 or more touches against Washington this season average 17.3 PPG. It’s clear that the Commanders’ defense struggles against both the run and the pass. Can we not shift the focus onto Washington’s defense for just a moment? Anyway, I’ve got Conner rated as RB10 this week.
Zack Moss at Carolina
Who should take the blame for Cincinnati’s 0-3 start? You might point fingers at future Hall-of-Famer and impending Super Bowl Champion Jayden Daniels for one of those losses, but what about the other two? Regardless of who you hold responsible, do not direct your accusations toward Zack Moss. He is on track for over 1,100 total yards and 11 touchdowns and is currently RB20 in fantasy. His touches have been on the rise each week, and his 75% snap rate ranks sixth among running backs. Moss has handled all of Cincinnati’s goal-line rushes and 11 of their 12 red zone touches for running backs. He’s also been utilized in the passing game, with a double-digit target share in two out of three games this season. I’m completely on board with Zack’tion. This week, he takes on a Carolina defense that sits in the bottom five for rushing yards and rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs. I have Moss listed as my RB16 for Week 4. If you’re looking for a dependable RB2 option, seriously consider picking up Moss.
Others receiving votes: In an unexpected twist, the Cowboys have gotten off to a poor start this football season. Many are attributing their struggles to their run defense, but Jerry Jones is blaming himself. This raises the question: Is Jerry Jones playing on Dallas’ defensive line? How else to explain the Cowboys sitting last in run defense and giving up the most fantasy points to running backs? It all adds up! It also seems logical to deploy Devin Singletary against the Cowboys this week. Singletary averages 17 touches per game and controls 77% of the Giants’ running back touches. That volume should prove advantageous against this Dallas defense. … Sometimes, albeit begrudgingly, someone other than Jayden Daniels has to handle the ball for the Commanders. Near the goal line, that role has often fallen to Brian Robinson Jr. He ranks among the top five running backs in goal-line carries this season, and with Austin Ekeler currently in concussion protocol, his opportunities will likely remain intact.
In Week 4, there’s an advantageous matchup against a Cardinals squad that is among the bottom 10 concerning fantasy points given up to running backs. … The injury woes of Jaylen Warren at the beginning of the season have played to the advantage of Najee Harris managers. Harris is currently averaging 20.7 touches per contest, and this week, he takes on a Colts defense that has surrendered the highest rushing yards to running backs. … Assuming Jerry Jones doesn’t switch from defensive tackle to running back, the utilization trends for Rico Dowdle appear promising. He has logged consecutive games with at least 10 touches and a double-digit target share. I’ve ranked him within my top 30 this week against a Giants defense that is allowing 5.3 yards per carry to running backs, which is among the highest in the league.
Running Backs I Dislike in Week 4
De’Von Achane vs. Tennessee
After averaging 7.8 yards per carry last season, De’Von Achane has struggled, remaining under 3.0 yards per carry in two out of his three games this year. He faces a Tennessee defense that has permitted the sixth-lowest yards per carry to running backs this season, sitting at 3.7. Adding to that, Achane will likely contend with either Skylar Thompson, Tim Boyle, or Tyler Huntley at the quarterback position. (Yes, the “Bugatti parked by a mobile home” meme featuring Tyreek Hill will surely gain traction this week.) None of these quarterbacks have the ability to stretch the field, allowing Tennessee to concentrate on the running game. The Dolphins hold the fourth-lowest implied team total for Week 4 for a reason. You will want to start Achane, but it’s wise to temper expectations. I have him ranked outside my top 10 for the week.
J.K. Dobbins vs. Kansas City
The Chargers come into this week with the second-lowest implied team total, partly due to Justin Herbert’s possible absence. However, even if Herbert plays, the Chargers still find themselves as heavy underdogs. This situation isn’t conducive to a favorable game script for Dobbins. Additionally, the Chiefs have allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards to running backs this season, having kept both Derrick Henry and Bijan Robinson below 50 yards. I’ve positioned Dobbins as a low-end RB2 this week, ranking him as my RB26.
Rhamondre Stevenson at San Francisco
The Patriots currently hold the lowest implied team total for Week 4 and are also the biggest underdogs, sitting at +10. This represents not a favorable scenario for Rhamondre Stevenson; it’s more like a script where you read through and realize you have no dialogue, leading to being eliminated in the opening scene, prompting you to fire your agent for landing you such poor roles. It’s worth noting that during the closely contested matches in Weeks 1 and 2, Stevenson enjoyed over 20 touches. However, last week, amid a 21-point loss to the Jets, he only received six touches. Don’t expect rescue from the passing game for Stevenson managers, as New England ranks 19th in running back target share and Stevenson has accumulated just 15 receiving yards this season.
Pass Catchers I Love in Week 4
Marvin Harrison, Jr. vs. Washington
It’s fortunate the Cardinals didn’t cut Marvin Harrison, Jr. after his Week 1 performance, right? Since recording a 1-4-0 line on just three targets in the opener, he has become WR5 in fantasy for the past two weeks. He boasts a 34.5% target share during that stretch and has led all players with five end zone targets. Now, he faces a Washington defense that has yielded the most touchdowns to wide receivers this season, tallying nine—three more than any other team. The Commanders have also permitted 22 or more points to at least one WR in every game thus far. The only downside I can point out regarding the Commanders’ secondary is how unfortunate it is that Jayden Daniels won’t have the opportunity to compete against them this year. Regardless, get ready to start Harrison, Jr. on Sunday, and if you’re up against him, say your prayers. He’s my WR6.
Nico Collins vs. Jacksonville
C.J. Stroud may refer to Tank Dell as his best friend, but it seems Nico Collins is the “friend with benefits” in Stroud’s eyes. And of that,
Of course, let’s discuss the advantages of target share. Collins leads the Texans with a target share of 26% and accounts for 67% of Houston’s end zone targets. He and Stroud also share a unique synergy at home, with Collins averaging 21.8 PPG over his last 10 games in Houston while Stroud is at quarterback. This week, Collins faces a Jacksonville defense that has surrendered the fourth-most yards on deep passes, the fifth-most fantasy points to perimeter wide receivers, and has reviewed the third most film on currently active defensive backs. I confidently rank Collins as a top 10 WR for this week.
Diontae Johnson vs. Cincinnati
It appears that the secret to boosting Diontae Johnson’s fantasy output in Carolina was simply having passes thrown in his vicinity. What a revelation! Last week, during Andy Dalton’s first start of the 2024 season, Johnson achieved a career-high 122 receiving yards and scored 26.2 fantasy points—the highest total he’s recorded since Week 13 of 2021. Johnson garnered a 38% target share from Dalton, and with Adam Thielen now on IR, he may receive even more opportunities. Additionally, Cincinnati is allowing the fourth-highest catch rate to wide receivers, which is why I have Johnson positioned at WR11. I’m all in on that Diontackion. Wait, that might be a bit forced. Give me a moment. Okay, come Sunday, you might just shout, “Hey, Hey Diontae!” No? Alright. Let me think on that. In the meantime, definitely start Johnson.
Chris Godwin vs. Philadelphia
In the first three games, the Eagles have permitted the sixth-most receiving yards and are tied for the highest number of touchdowns given up to slot receivers. This bodes well for Chris “My Middle Name Is Slot” Godwin. (Editor’s Note: Godwin’s actual middle name is Christopher, while his first name is Rod.) Godwin boasts a 30.9% target share, ranking seventh among wide receivers this season, consistently achieving at least a 26% target share in all three of his outings. This consistency is such that, this week, Godwin is renaming himself to Chris “Matthew Berry’s WR12” Godwin. (Editor’s Note: Still not happening.)
Dalton Kincaid at Baltimore
Only five tight ends have participated in all three games this season while averaging over 10.0 fantasy points per game. Among them, none exceed an average greater than 13.6 fantasy points. Life is challenging on the tight end landscape, and Tight End University might be in jeopardy of losing its accreditation. However, a potential savior could emerge in the form of Dalton Kincaid. Within the high-octane Buffalo offense, Kincaid leads the Bills in both red zone and end zone targets. This week, he also benefits from a favorable matchup against a Ravens squad that has allowed the second-most receptions, yards, and fantasy points to tight ends. Notably, both Brock Bowers and Jake Ferguson finished as top three TEs when they faced the Ravens this season. I have Kincaid ranked as TE4 for this week.
Others receiving votes: We were optimistic about Jauan Jennings last week, but we were uncertain of the impact he would have with a full-time role. Now we know: he achieved a team-high 40% target share and received two end zone targets. As Brandon Aiyuk is likely to be shadowed by Christian Gonzalez, Jennings’ target share should remain robust in Week 4. For context, New England has granted the seventh-most fantasy points to wide receivers. … As the saying goes, “Rome wasn’t built in a day, and Rome Odunze’s fantasy impact wasn’t established in a week.” Following an unimpressive NFL debut with just one catch, Odunze has earned three end zone targets over the past two games, along with a season-high 23% target share in Week 3. Impressively, 45% of his targets in the last two weeks have been deep balls. I’m looking to start Odunze this week against a Rams defense that has struggled tremendously in defending against deep passes, allowing the most yards and touchdowns in that category. … Baltimore has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to slot receivers this season, further suggesting that Khalil Shakir will continue to ascend in Week 4. Shakir has recorded double-digit fantasy points in every game thus far.
season and a team-high target share of 19.7%. … Over the past two weeks, Darnell Mooney has achieved a 28.6% target share, averaging 16.2 PPG. His route participation stands at 99% for the current season. He warrants similar fantasy starting lineup consideration in Week 4. … The 49ers have given up the most yards to slot receivers this season, making Patriots WR Demario Douglas a viable option for deeper leagues. In Week 3, Douglas recorded a target share of 37.5%. … The Rams have permitted the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends, indicating that Cole Kmet faces a favorable matchup in Week 4. Kmet has experienced increasing route participation and snap rate week by week. … Zach Ertz is currently tied for the team lead in receptions for Washington, boasting a 17% target share. This development is encouraging in an otherwise bleak fantasy landscape for tight ends in 2024. Additionally, the Commanders may even increase his targets this week against his former team, the Arizona Cardinals. Revenge game? Absolutely. And yes, if you’re keeping track, I have high hopes for both Andy Dalton and Zach Ertz in fantasy this week. What year are we in again?
Pass Catchers I Dislike in Week 4
Garrett Wilson vs. Denver
Denver has given up the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season, and it’s no surprise that receivers shadowed by Patrick Surtain II have notably struggled. In Week 1, DK Metcalf managed only 3-29-0 for 5.9 fantasy points. Week 2 saw George Pickens also tally just 29 yards on two receptions. In Week 3, Mike Evans recorded two catches, yet gained only 17 yards. Given this backdrop in what is expected to be a low-scoring game (over/under of 39.5), envisioning a scenario where Garrett Wilson defies the odds is challenging. But then again, who knows? Perhaps Wilson will deliver his best fantasy performance of the season against Surtain and … finally surpass the six-point mark. I have Wilson ranked outside my top 20 WRs this week.
Courtland Sutton at New York Jets
Among the 77 players with 10 or more targets this season, Courtland Sutton’s catch rate of 44% ranks as the fourth lowest. He is also 75th in fantasy points per target within that group. This week, Sutton will contend with Sauce Gardner, D.J. Reed, and a Jets defense that has surrendered the seventh-fewest yards to wide receivers. I’ve positioned Sutton as WR37 this week, and even that feels somewhat generous.
Michael Pittman vs. Pittsburgh
Michael Pittman has recorded fewer than 40 receiving yards in all three games this season, along with a catch rate of just 55%. Now facing Pittsburgh, which has allowed the fewest receptions to wide receivers, Pittman is likely to be covered by Joey Porter, Jr. On the bright side, dating back to last season, Pittman has delivered five consecutive fantasy performances in single digits. Gotta appreciate the consistency?
Mark Andrews vs. Buffalo
While it’s typically unwise to panic about a player after three weeks, if you drafted Mark Andrews early, you might feel anxiety creeping in and find yourself breathing into a paper bag right about now. Currently, Andrews ranks as TE30 in PPG at 4.2. And he doesn’t seem poised for any significant positive change either. Currently, Andrews is fifth on the Ravens in targets, trailing behind players like Rashod Bateman and Justice Hill, and last week he reached a season-low snap rate of 33%, running only six routes in total. Panic, panic, panic. Andrews drops down to TE14 this week.
Reviving Hope: A Fan’s Journey with the Washington Commanders and Jayden Daniels
The Washington Commanders: A Legacy of Passion and Resilience
The Washington Commanders, formerly known as the Redskins, have a storied history that spans decades. Fans have experienced highs and lows, with moments of glory countered by seasons of struggle. As the team navigates its current challenges, a new sense of hope is emerging, particularly with the arrival of standout quarterback Jayden Daniels.
A Brief History of the Washington Commanders
- Founded in 1932, originally as the Boston Braves.
- Relocated to Washington, D.C., in 1937, becoming the Washington Redskins.
- Three-time Super Bowl champions: 1982, 1987, and 1991.
- Renamed as the Washington Commanders in 2022.
Jayden Daniels: A New Hope at Quarterback
In recent NFL drafts, Jayden Daniels has emerged as a beacon of hope for the Washington Commanders. His impressive college career at LSU showcased his talents, resilience, and leadership—qualities that fans are eager to see translate into the professional arena.
Why Jayden Daniels Stands Out
- Dynamic Playmaking: Daniels is known for his ability to make plays with both his arm and legs, offering a dual-threat option for the Commanders.
- Leadership Skills: A natural leader, he has demonstrated the ability to rally teammates and command the huddle.
- Resilience Under Pressure: His experience in high-pressure situations, including crucial games in college, prepares him for the NFL’s rigorous demands.
The Journey of a Dedicated Fan
As a lifelong fan of the Washington Commanders, my journey has been filled with emotional ups and downs. From attending games at FedExField to fervently following the team’s progress, my passion for the Commanders has never waned, even through challenging seasons.
Attending Games: An Unforgettable Experience
Nothing beats the atmosphere of a live NFL game. The excitement of the crowd, the smell of popcorn, and the roar of the fans create an unforgettable experience. Here are some highlights from my game-day experiences:
- Fan Interaction: The camaraderie among fans is palpable. Sharing stories and experiences enriches the game-day atmosphere.
- Tailgating Traditions: Enjoying delicious food and drinks with fellow fans is a pre-game ritual that adds to the excitement.
- Memorable Moments: Witnessing unforgettable plays and legendary performances creates lasting memories.
Benefits of Following the Commanders
Being a fan of the Washington Commanders offers several benefits that extend beyond just watching football. Here are some reasons why supporting this team is worthwhile:
- Community Engagement: The Commanders have a dedicated fan base that fosters a strong sense of community and belonging.
- Inspiration and Hope: The team’s resilience encourages fans to persevere through their challenges.
- Cultural Impact: The Commanders are a part of American sports culture, contributing to the rich tapestry of NFL history.
Practical Tips for Commanders Fans
Enhance your experience as a Washington Commanders fan with these practical tips:
- Stay Informed: Follow reliable sports news websites and social media channels to keep up with the latest team updates.
- Engage with Fellow Fans: Join fan clubs, forums, and social media groups to connect with other enthusiasts.
- Attend Training Camp: Watching the team practice in the off-season can deepen your connection with the players and coaching staff.
Case Study: Jayden Daniels’ Impact on Team Morale
With the addition of Jayden Daniels, fan morale has significantly improved. His performance during preseason games has sparked excitement and optimism among the fan base. Here’s a look at some key factors contributing to this boost:
Factor | Impact on Fan Morale |
---|---|
Strong Preseason Performances | Fans are excited about the potential for a successful season. |
Leadership in the Locker Room | Daniels’ presence fosters a positive team culture. |
Engagement with Fans | His willingness to connect with fans boosts support and loyalty. |
First-Hand Experience: Meeting Jayden Daniels
One of the most memorable moments of my journey as a fan came when I had the opportunity to meet Jayden Daniels at a fan event. His genuine friendliness and willingness to talk with fans left a lasting impression. Here are some highlights from our interaction:
- Personal Connection: Daniels took the time to share his thoughts on the upcoming season and what it means to represent the Commanders.
- Inspirational Words: He emphasized the importance of teamwork and dedication, resonating deeply with fans.
- Autographs and Photos: Engaging with him personally, I came away with a signed football and an unforgettable memory.
The Future of the Washington Commanders with Jayden Daniels
The arrival of Jayden Daniels signals a new era for the Washington Commanders. With a fresh perspective and a wealth of talent, many fans believe that the team is poised for success. Key aspects to consider include:
Potential for Growth
The potential growth of Jayden Daniels as a quarterback can lead the team to new heights. His development will be crucial in shaping the future of the organization.
Fan Engagement Strategies
The Washington Commanders are focusing on enhancing fan engagement through various initiatives. This includes improved social media interaction, community events, and innovative game-day experiences.
Conclusion
The journey of a Washington Commanders fan is filled with passion, resilience, and hope. With Jayden Daniels leading the charge, the future looks bright. As we rally around our team, we embrace the excitement of a new season, ready to support the Commanders through thick and thin.