The Portland Trail Blazers are preparing for another season focused on development, which may lead to an increase in losses. There’s a strategic purpose behind the intentional plunge towards the bottom of the standings, especially with a promising draft class on the horizon.
The roster for the 2024-25 season combines Blazers veterans with rookie-scale players, leading to a diverse mix of skillsets and experience levels. While it’s unlikely that the Blazers will surpass 25 victories, there are players who may be in contention for prestigious individual awards.
Although the Most Valuable Player award is likely out of reach, accolades like Rookie of the Year and Most Improved Player are definitely within possibility.
Let’s explore this further.
All-Star
Jerami Grant
23-24: 54 games, 21.0 points, 40.2% 3pt, 3.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.6 blocks
Likelihood: Small
Unfortunately for Grant, All-Star selections typically favor players on successful teams, and the Blazers are unlikely to be one of those teams.
As an above-average two-way forward, Grant makes contributions in nearly every facet of the game, with the exception of rebounding.
He is likely the Blazer with the best chance for selection, but the abundance of frontcourt talent in the Western Conference presents a significant challenge for the former Syracuse star.
If the 30-year-old can enhance his rebounding stats, consistently achieve over 40 percent shooting from three, and provide solid defense across various positions, he could make a case. However, I’m not overly optimistic.
Anfernee Simons
23-24: 46 games, 22.6 points, 38.5% 3pt, 3.6 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 0.5 steals
Likelihood: Small
Simons appears to be on the verge of being transferred to a better situation within the next year. Although some analysts may favor Henderson to take on the starting point guard role, Simons will not be relegated to the bench in Portland.
For Simons to even be considered for an All-Star bid, he must continue elevating his offensive output while maintaining his efficiency, particularly from long range. His defense hasn’t impressed many, but he possesses a unique talent for creating scoring opportunities for himself and others, keeping opponents on their toes.
Considering the level of backcourt talent present in the Western Conference, it’s unlikely he’ll receive an All-Star nod.
Deni Avdija
23-24: 75 games, 14.7 points, 37.4% 3pt, 7.2 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.5 blocks
Likelihood: Small
Avdija showcases a well-rounded skill set, and if his numbers continue to trend upward, there might be a small chance for recognition; however, I’m skeptical this will be the year.
The Israeli-born forward is expected to have plenty of opportunities to excel, but a great deal would need to align for this to become a reality.
Shaedon Sharpe
23-24: 32 games, 15.9 points, 33.3% 3pt, 5.0 rebounds, 2.9 assists
Likelihood: Small
For Sharpe to be considered in this conversation, a substantial improvement is necessary. I truly believe that the Canadian possesses the talent and athletic ability to participate in the February showcase, potentially even multiple times; however, this season seems unlikely.
Deandre Ayton
23-24: 55 games, 16.7 points, 11.1 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.8 blocks
Likelihood: Infinitesimal
If Ayton can replicate the performance we witnessed in March and April, there is a possibility. However, that ”if” may be too significant for this option to be taken seriously.
Although centers are now part of the frontcourt player category, voters tend to avoid selecting too many centers. The presence of Nikola Jokic, Anthony Davis, Domantas Sabonis, Rudy Gobert, Karl-Anthony Towns, Alperen Sengun, and Victor Wembanyama in the Western Conference makes this a challenging landscape.
Rookie of the Year
Donovan Clingan
23-24 (UConn): 35 games, 13.0 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 2.5 blocks
Likelihood: Significant Chance
Currently, Deandre Ayton, Zaccharie Risacher, Reed Sheppard, and Stephon Castle present the most significant obstacles for Clingan in his pursuit of the award.
Ayton stands out as the main barrier, as Clingan is expected to come off the bench behind the talented Bahamian. Nonetheless, the outgoing UConn champion is likely to receive ample playing time, given that he averaged only 22.5 minutes with the Huskies last season. He should achieve similar minutes with the Blazers in the upcoming season.
Regarding his peers, Risacher might be in the starting lineup, although opportunities may be limited with Trae Young and Jalen Johnson on the roster. Sheppard is anticipated to serve as a backup behind Fred VanVleet and Jalen Green.
Castle, Clingan’s former UConn teammate, seemingly poses the greatest threat, as the San Antonio Spurs will likely provide him every opportunity to quickly adapt alongside Victor Wembanyama.
Although Clingan may not post overwhelming offensive stats, if he can average 1-2 blocks, secure double-digit rebounds, and deliver strong defensive performances, he will have a legitimate chance.
Most Improved Player
Shaedon Sharpe
23-24: 32 games, 15.9 points, 33.3% 3pt shooting, 5.0 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.4 blocks
Likelihood: Possible
While I won’t be betting on Sharpe in this category, last season indicated that the young Canadian is beginning to find his footing.
As a third-year player, his chances of claiming the award have improved. If he can elevate his production to around 20 points per game with respectable efficiency,
We’re in the kitchen cooking up some strategies. Enhancing his defense, improving rebounding figures, and increasing assisting stats would certainly be beneficial.
More importantly, Sharpe has demonstrated moments of that elusive X-factor, showcasing his ability to contribute in various ways that are essential for competitive basketball.
If he can harness that talent this season, great things could unfold.
Scoot Henderson
23-24: 62 games, 14.0 points, 32.5% 3pt, 3.1 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 0.8 steals
Likelihood: Low
Fortunately for Henderson, achieving realistic expectations this season would mark a significant improvement over last year. To enhance his chances, he must elevate his three-point shooting to above 37 percent and inch his assists closer to 8 or 9 per game.
Additionally, his finishing percentages at the rim and in the midrange must also substantially increase from the previous year’s 46 percent and 37 percent, respectively.
However, his greatest hurdle might be historical patterns. The last sophomore to win this accolade was Monta Ellis back in 2007.
Sixth Man of the Year
Scoot Henderson
23-24: 62 games, 14.0 points, 32.5% 3pt, 3.1 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 0.8 steals
Likelihood: Very Small
To those who are upset about Henderson being placed in this category, I apologize. However, if Anfernee Simons remains on the roster, Henderson will be coming off the bench—there’s no debate about it.
Last season, the former number three overall pick performed better off the bench, allowing him to fine-tune his skills against less formidable competition. I believe he should continue in this role until he either proves ready or until Simons is traded.
Should Simons be transferred this offseason or early in the season, Henderson’s likely move to the starting lineup may disqualify him from this award.
That said, Henderson faces an uphill battle, as this honor typically goes to players from teams with playoff aspirations.
All Defensive Team
Matisse Thybulle
23-24: 65 games, 5.4 points, 34.6% 3pt, 2.1 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 0.8 steals
Likelihood: Small
Thybulle has already secured spots on two All Defensive teams, the first coming while averaging just 20 minutes per game across eight starts.
If he wants to earn a third selection, the Australian national player must again excel with limited playing time. While Coach Chauncey Billups tends to favor veteran players like Thybulle over rookies, minutes are still a finite resource.
Should the defensive specialist maintain a respectable three-point shooting percentage, he may see increased playing time, but the focus on player development will remain a top priority for the Blazers.
Conclusion
Clingan represents the Blazers’ best opportunity for an individual accolade. Not only because this is one of the few awards not dependent on the overall team performance, but also…
Team success may rely on his contributions, especially considering he brings an NBA-ready skill set to the table.
While I noted all five expected starters in the All-Star discussion, I want to clarify that I don’t anticipate any of them making the roster.
If I were to name a strong candidate for the Most Improved Player award, it would be Shaedon Sharpe. With his combination of athleticism and skills, if he maintains his health and builds on the progress shown during the 32 games he played last season, he could make a significant impact.
That said, Blazers fans should temper their expectations this year. The focus will be on player development and draft positioning rather than pursuing accolades or playoff contention.
Portland Trail Blazers: Individual Awards Outlook Amidst a Season of Development and Losses
Understanding the Current Landscape of the Portland Trail Blazers
The Portland Trail Blazers have encountered a challenging season, marked by a focus on player development and an array of losses. While the team grapples with its growing pains, individual players are still emerging as noteworthy contenders for various awards. This article explores the individual awards outlook for the Blazers, evaluating players’ performances, potential accolades, and future prospects.
Key Players and Their Award Potential
Dame Time: Damian Lillard’s Continued Excellence
Despite the team’s struggles, Damian Lillard remains a beacon of hope for the Blazers. His scoring ability, leadership, and clutch performances keep him in the conversation for several awards.
- NBA All-Star Selection: Lillard has consistently been a fan favorite and a statistical powerhouse, making him a prime candidate for the All-Star game.
- All-NBA Team: His averages, which typically hover around 25+ points, and his role as a facilitator make him a strong contender for an All-NBA selection.
- NBA MVP: While the team’s overall record may hinder his MVP chances, Lillard’s individual brilliance can still garner him votes.
Rookie Sensation: Scoot Henderson
Scoot Henderson’s arrival has injected youthful energy into the Blazers. His performance reflects a bright future and opens the door for potential accolades.
- NBA Rookie of the Year: Given his explosive start, Henderson is a frontrunner for this prestigious award.
- All-Rookie Team: A near certainty, considering his playmaking abilities and scoring talent.
Emerging Stars: Anfernee Simons and Shaedon Sharpe
Both Anfernee Simons and Shaedon Sharpe are crucial to the Blazers’ development phase, showcasing skills that could lead to individual awards.
- Most Improved Player: Simons has shown significant growth, making him a solid candidate for this award.
- Sixth Man of the Year: If Simons continues to come off the bench effectively, he could vie for this title.
- Rookie of the Year: Although not in his first season, Sharpe’s potential could have him in the conversation for future seasons.
Evaluating Team Performance and its Impact on Individual Awards
While individual performances drive award discussions, the collective success of the team plays a significant role in shaping award outcomes. Let’s examine the current state of the Blazers in the context of individual accolades.
Team Record and Its Implications
The Blazers have faced challenges this season, resulting in a less-than-ideal win-loss record. Award voters often consider a player’s contribution to team success, making it essential to analyze how the team’s performance can influence individual awards.
| Season Record | Potential Award Candidates | Award Consideration Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Wins – 20 Losses | Dame Lillard, Scoot Henderson | Low for MVP, High for Rookie Awards |
| 15 Wins – 15 Losses | Anfernee Simons | Moderate for Most Improved |
| 20 Wins – 10 Losses | All Major Candidates | High for All-Star and All-NBA |
In-Depth Awards Analysis
To better understand the potential for individual awards, let’s dive into specific categories and analyze which players might be in contention.
NBA All-Star Game
The All-Star game is a major highlight of the NBA season, and Portland’s Lillard remains a leading candidate. His performance metrics are impressive:
- Points per Game: Over 25
- Assists per Game: Approx. 6-7
- Field Goal Percentage: Around 45%
These stats position him as a likely All-Star, provided the team can improve its overall record.
Most Improved Player of the Year
Anfernee Simons is a prime candidate for the Most Improved Player award. Analysis of his season stats shows marked improvement in several areas:
| Season | Points per Game | Assists per Game | Field Goal Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2022 | 17.3 | 3.9 | 40% |
| 2022-2023 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 45% |
This growth demonstrates his potential to contend for the award this season.
Rookie of the Year
Scoot Henderson’s entry into the league has been nothing short of explosive, presenting a compelling case for Rookie of the Year. His impact on the floor is evident through:
- Scoring: Averaging around 18 points per game.
- Assists: Approximately 6 assists per game, showcasing his playmaking ability.
- Defensive Contributions: Rim protection and steals have been notable.
These stats put him in a strong position among his peers for the Rookie of the Year honors.
Benefits of Player Development in a Challenging Season
While the losses may be disheartening, a focus on player development can yield long-term benefits. Here are some key advantages:
- Building a Strong Foundation: Developing young talent establishes a core group for future success.
- Increasing Trade Value: Well-developed players can enhance trade opportunities should the team pursue a different direction.
- Fostering Team Chemistry: Young players growing together can lead to a cohesive unit, essential for competitive success.
Practical Tips for Blazers Fans
As the Blazers navigate this season, fans can take action to support their team and enhance their game-watching experience:
- Stay Informed: Follow the latest news and updates on player performances and injuries.
- Engage with the Community: Join online discussions and fan forums to share insights and opinions.
- Attend Games: Supporting the team live can provide a boost to both players and fans alike.
Case Studies: Successful Rebuilds in the NBA
Here are a few examples of teams that successfully turned their fortunes around through player development:
- Golden State Warriors: The Warriors began their ascent with players like Stephen Curry and Draymond Green developing through the draft.
- Phoenix Suns: Focusing on young talent like Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton, the Suns transitioned from a struggling team to a playoff contender.
- Memphis Grizzlies: With Ja Morant at the helm, the Grizzlies have built a competitive team through strong player development.
These case studies illustrate the potential benefits of a strategic focus on player growth and development.
Personal Experiences as a Blazers Fan
As a dedicated Blazers fan, witnessing the evolution of players like Lillard and the emerging talent of Henderson has been both thrilling and encouraging. Each game serves as a reminder that while the path may be rocky, the promise of brighter days ahead is palpable.
The ups and downs of the season ultimately remind fans that the journey in sports is as significant as the final outcome. Support for players during their developing phases is crucial, as it fosters a positive environment that can lead to future successes.
By keeping an eye on the individual performances and acknowledging the broader context, fans can remain optimistic about the Blazers’ future while celebrating their standout players.
