Just before the season commenced, the Dallas Cowboys signed Dak Prescott to a four-year, $240 million contract extension. This decision concluded a protracted and complicated negotiation process that stemmed initially from franchise tags imposed during the 2020 and 2021 seasons, where the quarterback remained steadfast. For the second time in a row, Prescott outplayed Jerry and Stephen Jones in negotiations, securing the most lucrative contract in professional football.
At first glance, it may appear this solidifies the quarterback situation until the contract’s expiration at the end of the 2028 season. However, this might not be the case, which could be beneficial. Prescott undoubtedly belongs to a select group of quarterbacks capable of playing at an MVP level when provided with the right support. Nonetheless, he has yet to lead a team to postseason success, so Dallas should keep the possibility of enhancing the position open. In light of this, the Cowboys might find inspiration in the drafting strategies of the Green Bay Packers and Atlanta Falcons; if a player they see as a franchise-altering talent becomes available, they should act decisively.
It’s easy to argue in favor of using a first-round pick on an immediate impact player. For instance, the Packers kept Jordan Love on the bench for three years without clinching a second championship ring under Aaron Rodgers. Similarly, the Falcons signed Kirk Cousins this spring and subsequently selected Michael Penix two months later; only time will tell if an earlier acquisition would have served them better.
Additionally, one could contend that the Cowboys have missed the mark on their first-round picks over the past two seasons with Mazi Smith and Tyler Guyton. Hopes now rest on the possibility that experience will transform these underperformers into valuable players, but currently, they are not contributing to the team’s success. This rationale could support a shift in strategy on various fronts.
In this scenario, let’s consider that Dallas is in it for the long haul, as they have already acknowledged their position in a mild rebuild. Selecting a quarterback in the first round to sit for at least one or two years would allow Prescott the opportunity to reshape his narrative. Despite having a no-trade clause again, this merely provides him with control over the destination and does not preclude the possibility of a trade.
Should the Cowboys find success in 2025 or 2026, they would possess a seasoned first-round quarterback on a rookie contract, offering several years of team control to trade. Conversely, if they struggle, a fresh start would be beneficial for all involved, and even without a trade, there would be financial relief from moving on as soon as 2026, with significant savings beginning in 2027.
There’s little reason to dismiss the possibility and certainly no advantage in avoiding exploration of this pathway in a mock draft scenario come mid-October.
Below is a projection for a 2025 NFL draft simulation for the first three rounds, executed on Pro Football Focus.
As of Week 7, the Cowboys’ current draft order projection, based on their 3-3 record, places them at No. 16.
Sep 28, 2014; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys executive vice president Stephen Jones on the field before the game against the New Orleans Saints at
AT&T Stadium. Dallas secured a victory over New Orleans with a score of 38-17. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
The Dallas team has various needs to address and, as usual, will need to carefully consider their free agency strategies… just kidding. What they really need to focus on is their availability projections. If they are looking to fill two positions that require equal attention, and one has more top-tier talent while the other is saturated, it is likely more beneficial to select a prospect from the top-heavy position.
Currently, Dallas is seeking a running back, wide receiver, defensive end, and defensive tackle. Depending on the performance of their younger players, they might also require assistance at the safety position, in addition to strengthening linebacker depth. Furthermore, as mentioned earlier, they shouldn’t dismiss the possibility of selecting a quarterback if a highly talented one presents themselves.
BOULDER, COLORADO – APRIL 27: Travis Hunter #12 of the Colorado Buffaloes warms up before their spring game at Folsom Field on April 27, 2024, in Boulder, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
- New England Patriots: WR/CB Travis Hunter, Colorado
- Cleveland Browns: QB Jalen Milroe, Alabama
- Jacksonville Jaguars: DT Mason Graham, Michigan
- Carolina Panthers: CB Will Johnson, Michigan
- Los Angeles Rams: WR Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona
- Tennessee Titans: Safety Malaki Starks, Georgia
- Cincinnati Bengals: DT Kenneth Grant, Michigan
- New Orleans Saints: WR Luther Burden III, Missouri
- Arizona Cardinals: Edge Nic Scourton, Texas A&M
- Las Vegas Raiders: RB Ashton Jeanty, Boise State
- NY Giants: OT Will Campbell, LSU
- Miami Dolphins: QB Cam Ward, Miami
- NY Jets: WR Isaiah Bond, Texas
- Seattle Seahawks: CB Benjamin Morrison
- Denver Broncos: WR
- Emeka Egbuka
Apr 27, 2024; Boulder, CO, USA; Colorado Buffaloes quarterback Shedeur Sanders (2) prepares to pass during a spring game event at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Originating from Dallas, the quarterback stands at 6 feet 2 inches and weighs 215 pounds, having been in the limelight from a young age.
Here are some strengths highlighted in Pro Football Network’s early 2024 scouting report:
- Possesses good overall size and a solid frame for the quarterback position.
- Demonstrates arm strength capable of delivering velocity to the deep third and outside the numbers.
- Adept at dissecting defenses on seam and crossing patterns with high-velocity throws.
- Exhibits quick-twitch movements in the pocket, generating instant torque and velocity when releasing the ball.
- Has shown proficiency in accurately planting his front foot to execute quick passes seamlessly.
- Displays strong pre-snap autonomy, effectively identifying blitzes and adjusting protections.
- Can preemptively recognize single-high safeties and manipulate them with his gaze.
- Adept at processing changes in coverage and identifying leverage advantages post-snap.
- Quickly works through progressions from left to right and finds his check down options.
- Displays ability to anticipate windows over the middle, connecting with receivers on sit routes.
- Exhibits solid pocket navigation skills, sidestepping rushers while keeping his eyes downfield.
- Maintains shoulder level while navigating to stay in phase with the play.
- Demonstrates generally good accuracy, consistently hitting the target despite occasional footwork flaws.
- Flashes high-level accuracy and situational precision on vertical throws.
- Measured decision-maker and adept game manager who seldom places the ball in jeopardy.
Oklahoma State Cowboys running back Ollie Gordon II (0) carries the ball during a college football game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys (OSU) and the West Virginia Mountaineers at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Okla., Saturday, Oct. 5, 2024.
Standing at 6 feet 2 inches and weighing 225 pounds, he is a phenomenal athlete.
According to The Draft Network:
Ollie Gordon II has a unique combination of size, speed, and strength that marks him as a top-tier prospect who appears to be on the verge of reaching his peak potential as a primary ball-carrier for an NFL team. He primarily operates in the quarterback’s hip pocket in shotgun formation or directly behind in the pistol setup. His exceptional performance in 2023 showcased him as one of the finest ball-carriers in the country, with a skill set that should transition smoothly to the next level.
At the onset of each play, Gordon demonstrates an impressive balance of patience and an eagerness to exploit even the narrowest openings. At his size, his capability to redirect, execute jump-cuts, and evade defenders in confined spaces is an ‘elite’ attribute. He can burst through even the tightest lanes and closes the gap to linebackers rapidly. Gordon employs long strides after the exchange to cover ground both toward and across the line of scrimmage. His elevated hips provide defenders a significant target area below the waist. However, he adeptly avoids low tackles by lifting his feet in crowded situations. Throughout his demanding schedule in 2023, which included 285 carries, ball security was put to the test; however, this remains a strength for him (only two fumbles).
MANHATTAN, KS – NOVEMBER 25: Wide receiver Jayden Higgins #9 of the Iowa State Cyclones catches a touchdown pass against safety Colby McCalister #20 of the Kansas State Wildcats in the second half at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium on November 25, 2023 in Manhattan, Kansas. (Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images)
Standing at 6-foot-4, he possesses impressive route-running skills.
Excerpt from The Draft Network:
After transferring from Eastern Kentucky to Iowa State, Jayden Higgins quickly established himself as the team’s top wide receiver. He excels on inside-breaking routes, utilizing his powerful frame to outmuscle defensive backs for the catch.
When faced with press coverage, Higgins demonstrates quickness in short areas and a burst that allows him to freeze defenders who use a soft press technique. He effectively displaces defenders to create a clear route for himself. Higgins is particularly skilled at navigating the horizontal plane on slants, crossers, posts, and dig routes, especially in the middle of the field. His body positioning and understanding of leverage provide him the edge to box out defenders. Notably, Higgins shows impressive hip fluidity, allowing him to sink and accelerate out of breaks—something rare among larger receivers. Few 6-foot-4 receivers can adeptly run option routes from the slot, but Higgins manages to do so effortlessly.
In zone coverage situations, Higgins excels at recognizing coverage dynamics, pacing, and showcasing football intelligence. He effectively finds and settles into soft spots in the coverage, offering a significant target for the quarterback.
Navigating the Future: Should the Dallas Cowboys Consider Drafting a Quarterback?
The Current State of the Dallas Cowboys’ Quarterback Position
The Dallas Cowboys, one of the most storied franchises in the NFL, have faced a highly scrutinized quarterback situation in recent seasons. With Dak Prescott as the incumbent starting quarterback, it’s crucial to analyze his performance, injury history, and future potential. As the team aims for another Super Bowl run, the question arises: should they consider drafting a quarterback in the upcoming NFL Draft?
Dak Prescott’s Performance: An Overview
Dak Prescott, who was drafted in 2016, has had a rollercoaster career filled with highs and lows. Here are some key highlights:
- Pro Bowl Appearances: Prescott has made multiple Pro Bowl selections, showcasing his talent and ability to lead the team.
- Injury Concerns: Prescott suffered a devastating ankle injury in 2020 and has faced other health issues that raise questions about his durability.
- Playoff Performance: Despite his regular-season success, Prescott’s playoff performances have often been criticized, leading to calls for change.
Recent Statistics
| Season | Games Played | Passing Yards | Touchdowns | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | 1,856 | 9 | 4 |
| 2021 | 17 | 4,449 | 37 | 10 |
| 2022 | 12 | 2,860 | 23 | 15 |
Evaluating the Pros and Cons of Drafting a Quarterback
Pros of Drafting a Quarterback
- Insurance Policy: Given Prescott’s injury history, a high-potential quarterback can serve as a reliable backup or future starter.
- Development Opportunity: Drafting a young QB allows the team to cultivate talent over time, ensuring a seamless transition when needed.
- Increased Competition: Introducing competition can elevate Prescott’s performance while also pushing the drafted quarterback to improve.
Cons of Drafting a Quarterback
- Resource Allocation: Investing a high draft pick in a quarterback may divert resources from other critical positions.
- Pressure on Prescott: A new quarterback could create unnecessary pressure on Prescott, affecting team dynamics.
- Need for Immediate Impact: The Cowboys should focus on positions that can contribute immediately to win now.
Potential Quarterback Candidates in the 2024 NFL Draft
The upcoming NFL Draft is teeming with quarterback talent that could pique the Cowboys’ interest. Here are a few players worth considering:
- Caleb Williams (USC): Widely regarded as the top QB prospect, Williams has an arm that can make all the throws and elite mobility.
- Drake Maye (North Carolina): Maye combines size and athleticism, showing promise as a dual-threat quarterback.
- Michael Penix Jr. (Washington): With a powerful arm and impressive experience, Penix could be a solid developmental project.
Case Studies: Teams that Successfully Drafted Quarterbacks
Examining successful teams that have drafted quarterbacks provides valuable insights into the benefits of selecting a QB early in the draft.
Case Study 1: Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs acquired Patrick Mahomes in the 2017 Draft, allowing him to learn behind veteran Alex Smith before taking over. This strategic move paid off with Mahomes leading the Chiefs to multiple playoff appearances and a Super Bowl victory.
Case Study 2: Green Bay Packers
When the Packers drafted Aaron Rodgers in 2005, he sat behind Brett Favre for three years. This investment not only groomed Rodgers into a Hall of Fame quarterback but also provided the team with a smooth succession plan.
Benefits of Drafting a Quarterback for the Cowboys
- Future-Proofing the Franchise: Building a pipeline of talent at the quarterback position ensures the team remains competitive in the long run.
- Cap Flexibility: With a rookie quarterback, the Cowboys can potentially save significant salary cap space, enabling them to strengthen other roster areas.
- Fan Engagement: Drafting a highly touted quarterback can reignite fan excitement and maintain interest in the franchise.
Practical Tips for the Dallas Cowboys
If the Cowboys decide to draft a quarterback, here are some practical tips to ensure success:
- Conduct Comprehensive Scouting: Invest time in analyzing quarterbacks during the college season, focusing on their abilities, decision-making, and leadership qualities.
- Evaluate Fit within the Offense: Ensure that the drafted quarterback aligns with the Cowboys’ offensive scheme for a smoother transition.
- Provide a Supportive Environment: Create a culture that fosters growth, including mentorship from Prescott and the coaching staff.
First-Hand Experience: Insights from NFL Executives
In discussing the importance of drafting a quarterback, several NFL executives emphasize the need for teams to be proactive. One prominent executive stated:
“A strong quarterback can elevate the entire team. It’s not just about finding a good player; it’s about securing the future of your franchise.”
Conclusion
As the Dallas Cowboys contemplate their future, the decision to draft a quarterback hinges on various factors, including Dak Prescott’s performance, potential draft prospects, and overall team strategy. A well-timed investment in a quarterback can yield significant returns, ensuring the franchise remains competitive in the fast-evolving landscape of the NFL.
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