Assessing the abilities of over 5,000 prospects at various development stages across 30 organizations is a challenging task to execute with accuracy. However, since the beginning of MLB Pipeline’s biannual farm system rankings prior to the 2015 season, clubs that have secured the No. 1 position have displayed a remarkable pattern of success almost immediately thereafter.
The Cubs (before 2015), Red Sox (mid-2015), Dodgers (before 2016), and Braves (before 2017) all transformed their prospect talent into World Series victories. The Brewers (mid-2016), White Sox (mid-2017), and Rays (from pre-2021 to pre-2021) have achieved franchise records for consecutive playoff appearances, with four, two, and five (and still ongoing) respectively.
The Padres (from pre-2018 to mid-2019) are nearing their third postseason appearance in five years, a feat they have never accomplished before. The Orioles (from mid-2021 to pre-2024) recorded 101 victories last year and have the potential to lead the American League in wins for the second consecutive season.
Tampa Bay ascends back to the No. 1 spot in our most recent system rankings, which reflect long-term Major League value. This assessment considers impact talent, depth, the proximity of players to the Majors, and achieving a balance between position players, pitchers, and their respective ceilings and floors. The numbers within parentheses denote where prospects rank on our updated Top 100 Prospects list.
1. Tampa Bay Rays
2024 preseason rank: 6
2023 midseason rank: 7
2023 preseason rank: 6
2022 midseason rank: 8
Top 100 prospects: Junior Caminero, 3B/2B (No. 2); Carson Williams, SS (No. 6); Xavier Isaac, 1B (No. 21); Brayden Taylor, SS/3B/2B (No. 50)
Tampa Bay’s system is already enhanced by top-tier talent in the players mentioned above, making it one of just two organizations with four prospects in the top 50 of the updated list (the Cubs being the other). Additionally, they featured the Minor League leader in both batting average and stolen bases in Chandler Simpson and have several promising young pitchers like Gary Gil Hill and Santiago Suarez, along with solid hitters including Brailer Guerrero, Tre’ Morgan, and Dominic Keegan. The club’s proactive strategy to expand its system during the Trade Deadline set it apart, resulting in the richest farm system in baseball. Highlighted by Aidan Smith, Dylan Lesko, and Brody Hopkins, eight of the Rays’ Top 30 prospects joined the organization through trades in July.
2. Minnesota Twins
2024 preseason rank: 15
2023 midseason rank: 17
2023 preseason rank: 19
2022 midseason rank: 23
Top 100 prospects: Walker Jenkins, OF (No. 4); Brooks Lee, INF (No. 16); Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF (No. 22); Luke Keaschall, 2B/OF (No. 67); Zebby Matthews, RHP (No. 87); David Festa, RHP (No. 89)
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The Twins not only boast three players in the top 25, but they also rank among just five teams with six players included in the Top 100. They are successfully uncovering elite talent from their first-round selections and significant international signings, along with later-round finds. Matthews and Festa exemplify this trend, and the Twins consistently discover major league pitching talent at nearly every level of the Draft. This depth, coupled with the high-caliber players at the top, renders their system both deep and robust.