The following article is a joint effort by writers from MLB.com and Yahoo Sports, collaborating this season to address various baseball topics.
In Major League Baseball, fortunes can shift rapidly.
A prime example is the Royals. After suffering 106 losses in 2023, their aggressive off-season moves, progress from young talents like superstar shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., and a few fortunate breaks suggest a strong likelihood of postseason play in 2024.
Of course, not all examples are quite as extreme. However, in 2023, half of the 12 playoff teams, including both World Series contenders, did not participate in the postseason the previous year. It is nearly guaranteed that at least four playoff berths will change from ’23 to ’24.
Considering this trend, we tasked six writers from MLB.com and Yahoo Sports with selecting teams that are currently out of contention but show the most promise for reaching October by 2025. The 13 teams with postseason odds below 1% as of Wednesday were available for our review: Rays, Rangers, Cardinals, Giants, Reds, Pirates, Blue Jays, Nationals, A’s, Angels, Rockies, Marlins, and White Sox.
Here’s a breakdown of our selections and the reasons behind them.
This forecast places considerable confidence in the Pirates’ starting rotation — but what’s not appealing about that group? You’re likely aware of the potential National League Rookie of the Year, Paul Skenes. Alongside him, fellow rookie Jared Jones stands out as a pair of genuine aces. Mitch Keller, the wise veteran at age 28, is lined up to be the Opening Day starter in 2024 and has delivered another commendable season. Additionally, you may have overlooked the noteworthy performance of right-hander Luis L. Ortiz, who is listed among the top 20 starters by pitcher run value since taking a spot in the Bucs’ rotation on July 7. Bailey Falter might not remain in the rotation for next season, but he has performed consistently at a league-average level this year (100 ERA+ this season).
ERA+), making them a strong option for the No. 5 spot.
With this pitching staff as the bedrock of the franchise, the Pirates can still thrive even without a high-powered offense. Although Pittsburgh has struggled offensively throughout the season, Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds are solid foundational players. Andrew McCutchen is aware that he’s still capable and aims to make a comeback in 2025. The team hopes to see improved performances from Ke’Bryan Hayes and Bryan De La Cruz, both of whom will turn 28 next season. Additionally, catcher Joey Bart, the No. 2 pick in the Giants’ 2018 draft, seems to have unlocked his power potential with Pittsburgh, belting 13 home runs in 68 games.
There is indeed significant pressure on those pitchers. However, if they can maintain their health while the hitters progress, the Pirates will likely be contenders this time next year.
— Brian Murphy (MLB)
Maybe it’s just the excitement of watching Kumar Rocker and Jacob deGrom pitch on consecutive days this week. Nevertheless, how can anyone not feel enthusiastic about the Rangers heading into 2025?
The Rangers of next year promise to blend established stars who previously led the team to a World Series victory with emerging young talent. Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, and Adolis García will serve as the lineup’s backbone. Wyatt Langford, Evan Carter, and Josh Jung will be another year older and another year improved. Rocker looks formidable, and with just a bit of luck, his former college co-ace, Jack Leiter, might also find his rhythm. Oh, and deGrom is back, showcasing his status as the world’s best pitcher when he’s healthy.
The best-case scenario for the 2025 Rangers? This squad could surpass the 2023 World Series champions in terms of performance. They have the potential to be a dominant force and are a strong playoff pick.
— David Adler (MLB)
3. Cincinnati Reds
The Reds are much closer to playoff contention than many fans may realize, and they could be poised to make an impact in 2025.
Consider this: they are averaging 4.37 runs per game this season, ranking eighth in the NL. Every team above them is currently in the playoff hunt as the season reaches its climax. On the pitching side, Cincinnati boasts a team ERA of 4.05, again placing them eighth. Additionally, every team with a better record is still competing for a postseason spot.
What’s more, despite facing injuries with starters Hunter Greene, Andrew Abbott, and Nick Lodolo, Cincinnati’s team WHIP of 1.25 ties for sixth in the NL, and their 1,261 strikeouts rank sixth as well. Their opponents’ batting average of .238 also ties for fourth in the league. These pitching assets—led by legitimate Cy Young candidate Greene—could make 2025 very exciting if health is on their side.
Offensively, the Reds are in the top 10 for runs scored and home runs. Thanks largely to the electrifying Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati ranks second in the league for stolen bases. There are also four regulars—De La Cruz, Jeimer Candelario, Spencer Steer, and Tyler Stephenson—who have reached or are on track to finish with 20 or more home runs, solidifying a strong offensive group.
The Reds have faced unfulfilled playoff ambitions over the last few seasons. However, with their core players starting to gel and the potential for a strategic addition or two during the offseason, October aspirations might soon turn into October realities.
— Jason Foster (MLB)
4. Toronto Blue Jays
There’s no denying that the Toronto Blue Jays have been one of the most disappointing teams of 2024. Nevertheless, I am pleased that they didn’t view their lackluster first half as an excuse to dismantle their roster completely and embark on a full-blown rebuild. Their trade deadline strategy, which involved offloading expiring contracts while retaining both Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, indicated a desire to rebound in 2025. There remains considerable talent within the team, suggesting that the Jays will indeed make a comeback. Trading numerous veterans also created opportunities for several promising second-half performances from players expected to play significant roles in 2025, including right-hander Bowden Francis, infielder Spencer Horwitz (.834 OPS), and trade acquisitions Joey Loperfido and Will Wagner.
The team’s future largely depends on Bichette regaining his form and the front office effectively addressing a bullpen that ranked among the worst in baseball. Given Bichette’s track record and the injuries he encountered this year, I’m willing to excuse his performance this season. Furthermore, fixing a bullpen is typically more feasible than overhauling a starting rotation, and Toronto’s starting staff is in good condition as they move forward. If they can secure an additional bat or two this winter to support their MVP candidate Guerrero and a hopefully revitalized Bichette, I can certainly envision this team competing for a wild-card spot at this time next year.
— Jordan Shusterman (Yahoo Sports)
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5. Tampa Bay Rays
Unless there’s a miraculous surge in late September, this marks Tampa Bay’s first season finishing below .500 since 2017 and their first October spent on the sidelines since 2018. No other organization exemplifies the phrase “showing resilience” quite like they do in baseball.
“Sustainable winning” is a mantra that the Rays embody more than any other team.
Nonetheless, Tampa’s underwhelming performance in 2024 was not entirely unforeseen. A wave of injuries among starting pitchers—Jeffrey Springs, Shane McClanahan, Drew Rasmussen, and Shane Baz—all contributed to a difficult beginning. Wander Franco, the extraordinarily gifted 23-year-old shortstop poised to be the franchise’s face, is unlikely to return to Tampa Bay after facing charges of sexual abuse and exploitation in the Dominican Republic. The disappointing first half of the season resulted in the trades of the Rays’ top two position players: Randy Arozarena and Isaac Paredes.
However, as is often the case, the future looks promising beneath the dome of Tropicana Field. Top-five prospect Junior Caminero has showcased his significant potential over a 30-game span as a 21-year-old, and he may be poised for a breakout season next year. Expectations are also high for the rotation in 2025, with a full season from Baz (who had a 3.28 ERA this year in 60 1/3 innings), continued growth from Taj Bradley, and the return of McClanahan. Although the offense currently ranks 28th in MLB for runs scored, there’s hope for the emergence of additional contributors—something the Rays have always excelled at… right?
— Jake Mintz (Yahoo Sports)
6. Oakland A’s
A year ago, discussions surrounding the Oakland A’s mirrored those about the Chicago White Sox. However, the A’s possess a young core that appears to be advancing in their development—an advantage the Sox lack. Oakland has excelled in identifying talented players seeking second chances and maximizing their potential. Players like Brent Rooker, JJ Bleday, and Shea Langeliers have seized their opportunities to shine.
With the emergence of young stars like Lawrence Butler, Oakland has the potential to take significant strides in 2025. Since July 1, this year’s A’s have performed as one of the best teams in baseball, and if they can maintain that momentum into the next season, their inaugural year outside of Oakland could see them contending for a postseason berth.
— Russell Dorsey (Yahoo Sports)
From Bottom to Contenders: Predicting Which MLB Teams Will Make a Postseason Leap by 2025
Understanding the Current MLB Landscape
The MLB postseason has seen its fair share of surprises and underdogs rising to the occasion. As teams gear up for the next few seasons, several franchises currently at the bottom of the standings have the potential to turn their fortunes around by 2025. Here, we’ll take a close look at the teams likely to make a postseason leap, analyzing their strategies, player development, and management decisions.
Key Factors in Team Improvement
Before diving into the specific teams, it’s crucial to understand the factors that contribute to a successful turnaround in Major League Baseball.
- Player Development: Investing in farm systems to cultivate homegrown talent.
- Strategic Trades: Acquiring key players to fill gaps.
- Management and Coaching: Bringing in experienced staff who can lead young rosters.
- Financial Flexibility: Having the budget to sign free agents when necessary.
Teams Poised for a Postseason Leap
1. Baltimore Orioles
The Baltimore Orioles have been in rebuilding mode for several years, but recent drafts have bolstered their farm system.
- Key Players: Adley Rutschman (C), Gunnar Henderson (3B)
- Prospects: Grayson Rodriguez (P) is emerging as a top-tier pitcher.
- Management: The new analytics-driven approach is yielding positive results.
2. Chicago Cubs
With a strong history and a solid fan base, the Cubs are investing in their future.
- Recent Acquisitions: Dansby Swanson (SS) and Marcus Stroman (P) provide a balanced roster.
- Young Talent: Players like Seiya Suzuki offer upside and potential for growth.
- Coaching Staff: David Ross has shown adaptability as a manager.
3. Kansas City Royals
The Royals have a history of quick rebuilds, and recent trends suggest they might be on the right path again.
- Emerging Stars: Bobby Witt Jr. (SS) is a cornerstone for the future.
- Farm System: A deep pool of pitching prospects adds to their potential.
- Financial Commitment: A willingness to spend in free agency could accelerate their progress.
Potential Challenges Ahead
While the aforementioned teams have the tools to succeed, they will face several challenges:
- Injury Management: Keeping players healthy is critical, especially for young talents.
- Competitive Division Rivalry: Strong division rivals can complicate playoff aspirations.
- Consistency: Maintaining performance levels over a full season is essential.
Case Studies: Recent Turnarounds
Examining teams that have successfully transitioned from bottom dwellers to postseason contenders can provide insight into the process:
| Team | Year of Turnaround | Notable Players | Key Strategies |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 2018 | Ronald Acuña Jr., Ozzie Albies | Player Development, Strategic Trades |
| San Diego Padres | 2020 | Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado | Bold Acquisitions, Heavy Investments |
| Boston Red Sox | 2021 | Xander Bogaerts, Rafael Devers | Strong Coaching, Key Free-Agent Signings |
Benefits of Early Prediction
Identifying which teams could leap into postseason contention by 2025 carries several advantages:
- Fan Engagement: Increased interest in teams as they build towards success.
- Investment Opportunities: Insight into potential franchises for investors or sponsors.
- Fantasy Baseball Strategy: Recognizing emerging players for fantasy leagues.
Practical Tips for Fans
If you’re a fan of any MLB team, here are some practical tips to stay engaged with your team’s journey:
- Follow Minor League Progress: Keep an eye on top prospects in the farm system.
- Engage with the Community: Attend games, join forums, and engage on social media.
- Stay Informed: Read up on management decisions and trade rumors.
First-Hand Experience: Fan Perspectives
Fans who have experienced their teams’ transformations into contenders often share similar sentiments:
“Witnessing my team build from the ground up was a rollercoaster of emotions, but seeing young talent flourish made it worth it!” – An enthusiastic MLB fan.
Conclusion
Predicting which MLB teams will make the postseason leap by 2025 involves looking at a combination of factors, including player development, management strategies, and financial flexibility. While teams like the Baltimore Orioles, Chicago Cubs, and Kansas City Royals show promise, challenges remain. Fans can stay engaged and informed as they watch their teams strive for success.
