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In Part 1 of this offseason’s inaugural Mailbagg, we tackled some overarching inquiries regarding the issues that plagued the latter phases of the Farhan Zaidi era and examined how baseball operations will evolve under the leadership of president of baseball operations, Buster Posey.
I understand. I’m still acclimating to it as well.
In Part 2, our focus will shift to more detailed questions concerning roster requirements and priorities. What will the infield composition be? How proactive will they be during free agency? Is it even reasonable to have expectations for a Juan Soto acquisition? Or a reunion with Blake Snell? Let’s get started:
Realistically, how long would it take to transform the Giants’ farm system into one of the best? — Tony C.
I must clarify my perspective regarding the framing of this question. What does ”one of the best” signify for you? I believe we in the media, along with fans and readers, often become overly fixated on farm system or prospect rankings. Championship flags aren’t determined by the assessments of Baseball America or MLB Pipeline. While organizational rankings hold some value in illustrating how the industry perceives a team’s minor league assets, I am not convinced they carry the same weight they once did. This shift in significance is mainly due to the rarity of top prospects being traded these days. If those prospects are never leveraged to acquire other valuable players, then how much does the industry’s perception of them truly matter?
However, if your interpretation of “one of the best” refers to a functional farm system capable of sending valuable and effective players to the majors, I would argue that the Giants are already achieving this to a degree. Last season alone, we witnessed contributions from Kyle Harrison, Hayden Birdsong, Landen Roupp, Patrick Bailey, Heliot Ramos, Tyler Fitzgerald, Ryan Walker, and others. What the Giants have yet to do is cultivate a star franchise player. Some of their unusual first-round selections have likely hindered the development of higher-ceiling talent within the system. Nevertheless, Bryce Eldridge has the potential to emerge as that type of player in the near future.
Had the pipeline been more robust, Farhan Zaidi might have been more proactive in trading prospects to meet the needs of the major-league roster. However, I’m uncertain if this assumption holds true. The entire industry displays a noticeable tendency towards risk aversion, and Zaidi has appeared somewhat conservative even amidst these wider trends.
The Giants’ farm system, by no means, is failing. Yet, under Posey’s leadership, it will be intriguing to observe the potential shifts in priorities. For example, will they slow down the pace of promotions?
We’ve seen Zaidi retain prospects while their trade value diminished. I can hardly remember a significant prospect-for-major-leaguer trade in which we surrendered anything resembling a top prospect. The Dodgers and Padres have engaged in this practice for years. Under Zaidi, the farm system hasn’t developed into the pipeline we all hoped for; still, even teams with weaker systems take risks on trades occasionally. The Giants, however, have not. With Posey taking charge, is there a chance he may be more inclined to make impactful moves than Zaidi? Perhaps going all in on acquiring a controllable talent or outbidding other teams for a free agent. — Tanner T.
Tanner’s question aligns perfectly with this topic. I can’t refute your description. As for my impression of Posey, I find it somewhat unclear. On one hand, he seems to value how star players contribute not just to on-field performance, but also to the entertainment value and excitement they bring. Yet, it’s clear that Posey is dedicated to player development, believing that team building is more sustainable via the farm system. He understands the unique blend that can emerge when rosters feature players who have grown together in the minors.
Will this perspective make Posey more cautious or more daring regarding trades involving prospects? It’s one of many questions likely to be answered as time unfolds, through actions rather than words.
Do we need a complete rebuild, or are the Giants simply a starting pitcher, a middle infielder, and a power-hitting corner outfielder/first baseman away? — Peter C.
If they don’t manage to sign Juan Soto (unlikely) or retain Blake Snell (also unlikely), I find it hard to believe that the Giants could orchestrate an offseason that results in 86 or more wins according to any projection system. A great deal would need to go right in the upcoming season. However, every year, it appears that most teams are just a few astute decisions away from becoming surprise contenders in this third wild card era (with the exception of you, White Sox). Whether it’s their young pitching, a full season from Jung Hoo Lee, or the bullpen, there are numerous assets on San Francisco’s major-league roster that rebuilding teams typically lack.
Have you been able to ascertain if Posey intends to patiently rebuild through drafting and player development, or will he pursue an all-out effort to win immediately? Based on Johnson’s remarks, it seems they’ve concluded that their current approach of trying to win while rebuilding simultaneously is unfeasible. Or do they believe they can achieve this with a different strategy? — Justin D.
This is the $237 million (plus) question. It’s imperative to evaluate them by their actions rather than their words. I would be surprised if they decide to surpass the luxury tax threshold for a second consecutive season, which could lead to stricter penalties. However, I also doubt they will start unloading significant payroll commitments and start a complete overhaul. It seems likely
the offseason. From your article, it appears that some individuals within the organization were displeased with his decision to opt out. Is that accurate, and can we say that Buster is likely the kind of person who would be critical of such a choice? — Daniel M.
Snell has expressed his affection for his time in San Francisco and would be open to re-signing with the team. I’ve characterized him as refreshingly unique: a player who treats everyone with respect, whether it’s a clubhouse worker or a security personnel, rather than just his teammates. He mentioned that he chose to skip his last start because there was nothing significant at stake for either team and that he relied on the guidance of those closest to him. However, if he truly desired to stay with the Giants, I believe he may not have received the best counsel.
The Giants exceeded the luxury tax threshold to secure his contract. They forfeited a draft pick to bring him on board. His rotation appearances up to mid-May resulted in a winless run for the team. They compensated him with $30 million for just 20 starts. While it is reasonable for Snell to avoid risking injury late in the season, it is equally understandable that the Giants might have reservations about the value they received from their investment — particularly when the most entertaining pitcher in the NL during the second half of the season chose to prioritize his future contracts over his obligations to his current team. (Additionally, the team had to fully utilize their pitching staff during that game, leading to Landen Roupp being sent down and losing a day of service time.)
If the market for Snell aligns closely with what he anticipated last offseason, I find it hard to believe that the Giants will remain in contention.
It appears the Giants are preparing for a trade. Which young players from the Giants are most likely to be considered as key components in this trade (Marco Luciano, Camilo Doval, Luis Matos, Brett Wisely, Kyle Harrison)? — Brian R.
Luciano seems to be the immediate thought, particularly if he transitions to the outfield, where the Giants have limited room on the depth chart. Regarding Doval …
Do you believe the Giants should non-tender Michael Conforto, Mike Yastrzemski, and LaMonte Wade, Jr.? None of them delivered the expected run production for corner outfielders and a first baseman. — Garrett S.
Michael Conforto is now a free agent, so there’s no decision to be made there. I anticipate that the Giants will extend contracts to all of their arbitration-eligible players. (More insights on those choices are available here.) I wouldn’t rule out the possibility that some of these players — including Wade Jr. and Doval — could be included in a trade package. Yastrzemski, being the most costly of the arbitration-eligible players, has substantial value for the Giants because of his strong performance in right field. I believe that Posey and Zaidi share a mutual appreciation for what Yastrzemski contributes to the team and the clubhouse.
Juan Soto…future Giant? (Emma Corona / MLB Photos via Getty Images)
Juan Soto? — Andrew T.
He is a game-changing offensive talent, and acquiring him would likely cost over $500 million. Without a doubt, his addition would enhance the Giants’ run production. While he may not reach 40 home runs in San Francisco, he could potentially walk 150 times within the lineup. This raises an important question: what actual value does such a player bring to a team lacking formidable hitters behind him to capitalize on his opportunities? (For comparison, Wade managed a .380 on-base percentage and scored 45 runs.)
What strategies do you foresee Posey employing regarding the catching position, particularly the backup catcher? Tom Murphy holds a team option for the upcoming season, Curt Casali will be a free agent, and Blake Sabol was behind the plate in Sacramento. — Casey R.
Murphy is guaranteed a salary of $4 million next year. The club option, valued at $4 million with a $250,000 buyout, extends to 2026. However, Murphy’s position on the opening day roster isn’t guaranteed. There is a significant possibility he could be traded this winter. Even if he finds himself in the spring roster in Scottsdale, he will likely need to fight for his spot. I also anticipate that the Giants will look to bring in considerable competition.
Is the Jordan Hicks “experiment” going to persist? Although he remained a starter longer than initially anticipated, it seems the strain on his shoulder exceeded expectations. Furthermore, given how heavily the bullpen has been relied upon in recent years, could it be beneficial to confine him to a bullpen role? — Sarah H.
His future will hinge on his condition in spring training. The bullpen was always considered a backup option. In reality, Hicks might be most useful as a swingman for a team inclined to adopt unconventional pitching strategies. However, I’m uncertain if the Giants will pursue that direction in 2025.
Casey Schmitt appeared to make significant advancements as the season concluded. Will he be given a chance to play shortstop or second base next year? — David P.
It’s difficult to respond before the Giants finalize their roster changes, but Zaidi has expressed a desire to acquire a shortstop that would allow for a competition between Fitzgerald and Schmitt at second base. I concur that Schmitt finished last season on a positive note. He demonstrated increased pull power, and if he can surpass league-average hitting, his exceptional defensive abilities would render him a valuable asset.
Will the Giants seek a shortstop, allowing Fitzgerald to move around in 2025, or can Fitzgerald establish himself as the long-term everyday shortstop? — Andrew B.
The scouting community regards Fitzgerald as a borderline average shortstop. Nonetheless, I believe he possesses the physical attributes to exceed those expectations significantly. Playing alongside a third baseman like Matt Chapman should prove beneficial. Ideally, the Giants should look to strengthen their shortstop position
Although Teaga will be eligible for the draft, his participation was restricted to just 21 games at High-A Eugene due to his recovery from surgery aimed at relieving thoracic outlet syndrome. Last year, the Giants chose not to protect outfielder Grant McCray, who ultimately went unselected. Therefore, it’s difficult for me to believe that Arteaga would be taken in this Rule 5 draft.
(Top photo of Snell: Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images)
Assessing the Giants’ Offseason Needs: Roster Questions and Future Directions Under Buster Posey
Overview of the Current Roster
The San Francisco Giants are entering a pivotal offseason as they look to solidify their roster for the upcoming season. Under the leadership of Buster Posey, who has transitioned from player to a key figure in the organization, the Giants are focusing on strategic improvements. Here’s a breakdown of the current roster situation.
Key Areas of Concern
- Pitching Depth: Starting and relief pitching has been inconsistent, necessitating a focus on adding reliable arms.
- Offensive Production: The Giants struggled with run production last season, indicating a need for power hitters.
- Defensive Stability: Addressing defensive lapses is crucial for improving overall performance.
Evaluating Pitching Needs
Pitching is often the backbone of a successful MLB team. For the Giants, assessing their pitching needs involves analyzing both the starting rotation and bullpen.
Starting Rotation Analysis
The Giants must evaluate their current starters and consider potential acquisitions. Key factors include:
- Injury History: Several starters have had injury issues, raising concerns about their reliability.
- Performance Metrics: Analyzing ERA, WHIP, and strikeout rates can offer insights into which pitchers to retain or pursue.
- Younger Talent: Investing in younger pitchers from the minor leagues could provide long-term benefits.
Relief Pitching Improvements
The bullpen’s inconsistency has been a recurring theme. Key considerations include:
- Veteran Presence: A reliable veteran in the bullpen can provide stability and mentorship for younger pitchers.
- Lefty Specialists: Finding a strong left-handed reliever could help neutralize opposing left-handed hitters.
- Data-Driven Decisions: Utilizing analytics to identify undervalued relief options in the free-agent market.
Addressing Offensive Gaps
Offensively, the Giants have room for improvement, particularly in their approach to hitting and run production.
Power Hitting Needs
To enhance their offensive capabilities, the Giants should consider the following:
- Acquiring Sluggers: Targeting free agents or trade candidates known for their power could provide much-needed run support.
- Developing Young Talent: Fostering young hitters from the minor leagues to step up in the majors.
- Improving On-Base Percentage: Focusing on hitters with high OBP can create more scoring opportunities.
Defensive Efficiency
A strong defense can significantly impact a team’s success. The Giants need to focus on:
- Positioning: Ensuring players are well-positioned and understand defensive schemes.
- Fielding Drills: Conducting rigorous fielding practices to reduce errors and improve overall fielding percentage.
- Adding Defensive Specialists: Targeting players known for their defensive prowess could shore up weaker positions.
Future Directions Under Buster Posey
As the Giants look to the future, Buster Posey’s vision for the team will be instrumental in shaping the roster.
Emphasis on Player Development
Under Posey’s leadership, the Giants are likely to place significant emphasis on player development. This includes:
- Training Facilities: Upgrading training facilities to attract and develop talent.
- Scouting Investments: Enhancing scouting efforts to identify top prospects both domestically and internationally.
- Analytics Integration: Utilizing advanced analytics to tailor training programs for individual players.
Cultivating a Winning Culture
Buster Posey’s experience as a champion will be vital in creating a winning culture. Steps to achieve this include:
- Leadership Development: Encouraging current players to take on leadership roles to foster a positive environment.
- Community Engagement: Enhancing the connection with fans to build a supportive home-field advantage.
- Resilience Training: Implementing programs that focus on mental toughness and resilience under pressure.
Case Studies of Successful Offseasons
Analyzing successful offseason strategies from other teams can provide valuable lessons for the Giants. Here are a few notable examples:
Case Study: Atlanta Braves
The Braves made significant moves in their offseason, focusing on:
- Identifying key free agents to bolster their lineup.
- Investing in their farm system to ensure a pipeline of talent.
- Prioritizing pitching depth which led them to a successful postseason run.
Case Study: Houston Astros
The Astros’ approach involved:
- Strategic trades that filled specific needs without sacrificing future potential.
- Strong emphasis on analytics to inform player choices.
- Creating a competitive atmosphere that cultivated talent.
Practical Tips for Fans
As fans, staying engaged during the offseason is essential. Here are some practical tips:
- Follow the Rumors: Keep up with trade and free-agent rumors to understand potential roster changes.
- Engage on Social Media: Join discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit to share insights and opinions.
- Attend Offseason Events: Participate in team events or watch parties to connect with fellow fans and support the team.
Conclusion
With the offseason in full swing, the San Francisco Giants face crucial decisions that could shape their future. Under Buster Posey’s guidance, the focus will likely be on building a robust roster that can compete at the highest levels. By addressing pitching depth, enhancing offensive capabilities, and fostering a winning culture, the Giants can position themselves for success in the seasons to come.
