On Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park, Dave Dombrowski and Rob Thomson will address the media for nearly an hour, answering questions about the Phillies’ disheartening collapse in 2024, their lackluster performance in the NLDS against the Mets, and how they plan to reverse the downward trajectory they’ve encountered.
While specifics regarding individual players’ futures are not likely to be discussed—in line with the typical approach of modern executives—it’s hard to imagine either of them will be overly diplomatic after this season, which started with World Series aspirations and ended in disappointment.
The Phillies are confronting numerous questions and decisions this offseason. Among them:
How can they revamp the offense?
After largely retaining the same roster from 2023 to 2024, it’s improbable they will do so again, especially with a record payroll and a limited window to achieve success with their current core, including Zack Wheeler, Bryce Harper, Aaron Nola, Trea Turner, and others.
While Harper believes his prime can extend for another decade, and most of the players in the clubhouse will assert that they feel their competitive window remains open, such declarations are typical in sports. Time is unyielding, and while it may be unspoken, it acts regardless. This particular group—comprising Wheeler, Kyle Schwarber, Nick Castellanos, and others who are not under lengthy contracts—might have just seen their best opportunities slip by.
The offense needs a significant overhaul. Problems exist in left field and center field. Johan Rojas is an exceptional defender but likely only fits into a contender’s lineup if the other eight positions are consistently solid. While he is not the major culprit for the disappointing NLDS performance, he represents an obvious starting point for contemplating offensive enhancements in a largely rigid lineup.
The situation regarding Brandon Marsh’s platoon also needs attention. While platoons can be effective—evident in the Mets’ use of Jesse Winker and J.D. Martinez—relying on multiple platoons across several positions invites complications. There were instances when the Phillies deployed three platoons simultaneously this season. Such a strategy demands a lot to work in harmony, often proving more effective in theory than in practice.
If Marsh remains as a platoon outfielder, his counterpart must be someone more successful than Austin Hays. Although Hays’ underwhelming second half was partly due to a kidney infection and hamstring strain, the Phillies can’t merely wait and hope for him to return to form ahead of 2025. Regardless of Hays’ recovery, they need additional outfield support.
What roles will Bohm and Stott have?
Alec Bohm made the All-Star Game this season and exhibited progress, despite a disappointing conclusion to his year. He batted .280, achieved a career-high 44 doubles and a .779 OPS, and excelled with a .300 average with runners in scoring position.
However, he was benched during Game 2 of the NLDS due to a combination of poor performances and responses to those performances. It would have seemed shocking earlier this season to think he would be benched during playoff action, making it hard not to consider what this means for his future. With the Phillies committed to starters at seven positions, reconfiguring the offense will necessitate creative solutions.
After the season ended, Bohm was asked if he felt at a pivotal point in his career.
“No. I know where I’ll be next year,” he responded, suggesting that he would remain in Philly.
Stott, on the other hand, struggled this season, hitting only .200 in 160 at-bats against fastballs clocked at 93 mph or more. Last year, he boasted a .319 average in a larger sample. He faced challenges catching up to sharper pitches, and the Phillies need to swiftly determine whether this issue can be resolved or if it may significantly impact his potential.
Will Hoffman return?
Jeff Hoffman posted an impressive 1.65 ERA heading into the final weekend of the regular season, but then faltered, allowing 10 runs in just 2⅓ innings, contributing to two of the Phillies’ three playoff defeats.
Now a free agent, Hoffman’s performance during the regular season warrants a substantial contract. However, can the Phillies justify spending $12-13 million per year on a three-year deal after witnessing his playoff struggles? Evaluating relievers can be tricky; a few poor outings can overshadow a number of positive performances, especially in high-pressure situations.
The Phillies have much to address this winter, and considering the anticipated salary demand from Hoffman’s camp, it’s uncertain what they’ll decide.
Are defensive changes necessary?
Since his signing with the Phillies, Trea Turner has been among the least effective defensive shortstops in the league. In 2023, he led the majors with 23 errors, and in 2024, he recorded 17 errors in 35 fewer games with a similar fielding percentage.
The nature of the errors varies; some are routine mishaps while others stem from poor throws. Turner remains an exceptional athlete, but shortstop may not be the best fit for him long-term. If the Phillies are serious about assembling the strongest possible roster for 2025, they may need to consider shifting Turner from shortstop.
This would not be an easy decision, especially given that he has just two years left on an 11-year contract. Turner was not brought in for $300 million to play left field, center field, or second base. However, his shortcomings at shortstop might also contribute to better health and performance over the full season.
What about the catching position?
Initially regarded as the best catcher in baseball when acquired from Miami, J.T. Realmuto was re-signed to a five-year, $115.5 million contract that extends through 2025.
However, he no longer occupies that top spot among catchers. While his overall skill set remains solid, his offensive production has declined.
From 2016 to 2022, Realmuto had a batting average of .278 with an .802 OPS, but in the last two seasons, he has fallen to a .258 average with a .757 OPS.
His postseason struggles continued, going 0-for-11 and lowering his playoff batting average to .216 with an on-base percentage of .295.
To ensure his effectiveness in 2025, the Phillies must keep him fresher. After playing 134, 139, and 135 games from 2021 to 2023, he may have reached similar numbers this season if not for a meniscus injury.
It’s essential for the team to find a capable backup for Realmuto, someone who could fill in for 50 games without a significant drop in production. Rafael Marchan, at 25, has shown promise in limited appearances, including a .294 average while filling in for Realmuto this summer.
Given Marchan’s history of injuries in the minors, he should be prepared to take on the backup role. However, if the Phillies decide to leverage him as a trade asset, they will need to look for another backup option.
As spring training approaches, the Phillies will be faced with numerous challenges in the four months leading up to pitchers and catchers reporting to Clearwater. Many of these questions will be posed to Dombrowski and Thomson at the upcoming press conference, arriving much sooner than they would have wished.
Addressing the Fallout: Key Offseason Questions for the Phillies After 2024 Collapse
Understanding the 2024 Season Collapse
The Philadelphia Phillies faced significant challenges during the 2024 MLB season, resulting in a disappointing collapse that has left fans and management pondering critical questions for the offseason. With high expectations at the start of the season, the team’s performance fell short, raising concerns about roster construction, player development, and strategic direction moving forward.
Key Offseason Questions
1. What Changes Should be Made to the Coaching Staff?
One of the most pressing questions is whether changes should be made to the coaching staff. After a season filled with inconsistent performances, management must evaluate:
- Managerial Strategy: Has the current strategy maximized player potential?
- Coaching Effectiveness: Are the hitting and pitching coaches effectively developing talent?
- Player Relations: How well do coaches communicate and connect with players?
2. Who Will Stay and Who Will Go?
Roster decisions will significantly impact the team’s future. Key considerations include:
- Free Agents: Which players’ contracts are expiring, and should they be re-signed?
- Trade Possibilities: Which underperforming players could be traded for fresh talent?
- Prospects to Promote: Are there minor league talents ready to step up?
3. How to Address the Bullpen Issues?
The Phillies’ bullpen was a major concern during the 2024 season. Addressing this requires:
- Evaluating Current Relievers: Which pitchers performed well, and which struggled?
- Targeting Free Agents: Are there reliable free-agent relievers available?
- Development Focus: Can the team improve its current pitchers through better training and conditioning?
4. What Upgrades are Needed in the Starting Rotation?
The starting rotation’s depth and performance must be reassessed. Key factors include:
- Injury Management: How can the team better manage pitcher health?
- Trade Options: Are there aces on the market to strengthen the rotation?
- Young Talent: Which prospects could be ready for a promotion to the big leagues?
5. How Will the Lineup be Reconfigured?
With offensive struggles evident, reconfiguring the lineup could provide a spark. Considerations include:
- Power Hitting: Which players can provide the much-needed power boost?
- On-Base Skills: Are there players who can help improve on-base percentage?
- Defensive Versatility: How can the lineup be optimized for better defense without compromising offense?
Potential Solutions and Strategies
1. Targeting Free Agents
The free-agent market offers a chance to revamp the team. Areas to target include:
- Starting Pitching: Look for consistent performers who can anchor the rotation.
- Infield Depth: Seek versatile infielders to enhance bench strength.
- Strong Bullpen Arms: Invest in experienced relievers to stabilize the bullpen.
2. Emphasizing Player Development
Maximizing the potential of existing players is crucial. This requires:
- Minor League Focus: Enhance training programs in the minors to prepare players for the big leagues.
- Analytics Utilization: Implement data-driven approaches to improve player performance.
- Mentorship Programs: Create mentorship opportunities between veterans and younger players.
3. Strengthening Team Chemistry
Building a cohesive team environment can lead to improved performance. Strategies include:
- Team-Building Activities: Organize events to foster relationships off the field.
- Communication Enhancements: Encourage open dialogue between players and coaches.
- Leadership Development: Identify and promote players who can take on leadership roles.
Fan Engagement and Community Support
Involving fans and the community can be a powerful motivator for the team. Considerations include:
- Interactive Events: Host fan events that allow for player interaction.
- Season Ticket Promotions: Offer incentives for renewing season tickets.
- Community Outreach: Strengthen ties with the local community through charity events and engagements.
Case Study: Successful Offseason Makeovers
Examining other teams that successfully navigated challenging seasons can provide valuable insights. Consider:
Team | Year | Key Moves | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|
Chicago Cubs | 2016 | Added pitching depth, improved lineup flexibility | Won World Series |
Houston Astros | 2017 | Invested in analytics, bolstered bullpen | Won World Series |
Boston Red Sox | 2018 | Key free-agent signings, enhanced player development | Won World Series |
Applying Lessons Learned
The Phillies can glean important lessons from these franchises, focusing on strategic investments and player development to foster a winning culture.
First-Hand Experience: Insights from Players
Gathering insights from current and former players can shed light on what needs to change. Players often emphasize the importance of:
- Team Culture: A positive and motivating environment enhances performance.
- Communication: Clear communication from management leads to better player-coach relationships.
- Preparation: Adequate preparation and training can make a significant difference during the season.