For years, amidst fan festivals, T-shirt giveaways, and light-up bracelets that enhance opening nights across the NBA, an unspoken truth looms over each season’s tipoffs.
Most teams celebrating their fall renewals will likely not have a shot at victory come spring.
During a “good year” in the 2000s and 2010s, perhaps five teams per season could honestly evaluate their chances at the start and believe they could lift the Larry O’Brien Trophy in June. The situation was even more restrictive in the 1980s and ’90s, a time when the league was largely dominated by five teams over a span of two decades.
This dominance benefited the league’s business in several ways, but from 1999 to 2007, Tim Duncan or Shaquille O’Neal represented the Finals in eight of nine years. From 2007 to 2020, either LeBron James or Kobe Bryant appeared in the Finals 12 out of 13 years (sadly, they never faced off). You might also remember the Golden State Warriors, who reached six Finals between 2015 and 2022, while the Cleveland Cavaliers made it to the Finals four straight years from 2015 to 2018.
This brings us to the present day. Parity has swept through the NBA, bringing a refreshing change. This season, a significantly larger number of teams will start with genuine hope of winning compared to ten years ago. And the reasons for this optimism are valid.
While the historic Boston Celtics are the reigning champions, preparing to raise their banner No. 18 and receive their rings on opening night, last June marked the sixth consecutive season a different team celebrated under the confetti.
According to ESPN BET, eight teams begin the season with championship odds of 13-1 or better. Prior to the 2017-18 season, which ultimately marked the end of the dynasty era, only two teams had such favorable odds.
Throughout this six-year period of transformation, some legacy teams won championships—the Warriors, Celtics, and Los Angeles Lakers—but there were also unforgettable and unique championship parades in Milwaukee, Toronto, and Denver.
This season presents several major storylines to track. The newly-formed Philadelphia 76ers could be contenders, provided they manage to play together on the court. The ongoing rise of the Oklahoma City Thunder, bolstered by the arrival of top-tier role players, is noteworthy. Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves are also making their mark. Former champions, the Milwaukee Bucks and Denver Nuggets, face the task of reclaiming their momentum with franchise players in their prime. And, notably, there are LeBron and Bronny James on the Lakers.
However, perhaps the most significant storyline is that this diverse group believes they can challenge the Celtics.
The 2024-25 NBA regular season kicks off with the New York Knicks facing the Celtics (7:30 p.m. ET) and the Timberwolves going up against the Lakers (10 p.m. ET) on Tuesday. But before we dive in, let’s preview all 30 teams, their current standing, and what to expect ahead of the NBA’s 79th season.
— Brian Windhorst
Note: Team rankings reflect where our panel members (ESPN’s Kendra Andrews, Tim Bontemps, Jamal Collier, Michael Wright, Tim MacMahon, Dave McMenamin, Ohm Youngmisuk, Chris Herring, and Kevin Pelton) believe teams rank as the season begins.
ESPN
Jump to a team:
ATL | BOS | BKN | CHA | CHI | CLE
DAL | DEN | DET | GS | HOU | IND
LAC | LAL | MEM | MIA | MIL | MIN
NO | NY | OKC | ORL | PHI | PHX
POR | SAC | SA | TOR | UTAH | WAS
BPI’s overall ranking: 2
Chances to make playoffs: >99.9%
Projected wins: 56.0
When we last saw them: After years
After coming close in previous seasons, the Celtics finally secured banner No. 18 with an impressive playoff run, culminating in a five-game triumph over the Dallas Mavericks. The offseason additions of Jrue Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis have transformed Boston into a powerhouse, allowing them to achieve a league-leading 64 wins and a playoff record of 16-3. During the summer, Boston focused on maintaining its roster by extending contracts for Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, and Sam Hauser, following Holiday’s extension in April. The most significant news of the offseason, however, was the Grousbeck family’s decision to put its controlling stake in the team up for sale. This move has cast uncertainty over the team’s short-term future, which is poised to surpass $500 million in combined payroll and luxury taxes for the 2025-26 season.
Biggest strength and weakness: Boston boasts numerous strengths, with 3-point shooting being among the most notable. In their opening preseason games in Abu Dhabi, the Celtics averaged over 50 attempts per game, and it wouldn’t be surprising if they break the NBA records for both makes and attempts this season. While there are few evident weaknesses, the health of their centers is a concern. Al Horford is in his 38th year, and Porzingis is sidelined at least until December due to offseason surgery. The Celtics will likely require both players to successfully defend their championship. — Tim Bontemps
Celtics in NBA Rank:
Jayson Tatum (5)
Jaylen Brown (14)
Jrue Holiday (36)
Derrick White (39)
Kristaps Porzingis (46)
Al Horford (96)
Number to watch: Scoring and clutch net efficiency
Last season, the Celtics outscored their opponents by an average of 10.7 points per game, marking the fifth-best differential in NBA history. Additionally, they achieved a perfect 6-0 record in clutch-time situations, boasting a remarkable plus-46.9 net efficiency—the first team to accomplish this feat in a single postseason since play-by-play statistics started being tracked in 1997.
Best bet: Celtics win division (-145)
The Celtics were overwhelmingly successful last season, clinching the Eastern Conference title with a remarkable 14-game lead in the regular season and finishing the playoffs with a 16-3 record. Although other teams like the Knicks and 76ers made notable offseason acquisitions, the disparity between the Celtics and these rivals is substantial enough to classify Boston as a strong favorite to win the Atlantic Division again. The offseason moves by competitors have adjusted the lines to nearly even money, presenting excellent value in favor of the Celtics. — Andre Snellings
Fantasy: Do draft … Derrick White
Many fantasy managers may overlook that White ranked 36th in ESPN fantasy points and was 24th on the Player Rater. He exemplifies how fantasy scoring can accumulate beyond traditional categories by including assists, 3-pointers, and blocked shots. Interestingly, he outperformed his more celebrated teammate, Jaylen Brown, in scoring last season. — Eric Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 1
Chances to make playoffs: 97.3%
Projected wins: 51.2
When we last saw them: The Thunder’s “breakfast” season—an analogy crafted by general manager Sam Presti to illustrate the early stages of their rebuilding process—transformed into a breakout success. Following a three-year absence from the playoffs, Oklahoma City emerged as the youngest No. 1 seed in NBA history and advanced to the Western Conference semifinals, giving them confidence that they have established the foundation for a long-term competitive team, highlighted by MVP runner-up Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the last two Rookie of the Year runners-up, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren. Additionally, the Thunder enhanced their already well-rounded roster in the offseason by bringing in two quality role players, Alex Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein, without tapping into their reserves of first-round draft picks.
Biggest strength and weakness: Identifying a weakness on this roster is challenging. Presti addressed the Thunder’s most apparent flaw—ranking 28th in rebounding rate last season—by acquiring Hartenstein. Although he will miss at least the first month of the season, the reigning…
Coach of the Year Mark Daigneault will soon have the possibility of fielding two talented 7-footers in a jumbo lineup, ensuring that OKC consistently has a rim protector on the court. Presti traded the one starter, guard Josh Giddey, who was a questionable fit, for the elite glue player with championship experience, Alex Caruso. Last season, the Thunder joined the Celtics as the only teams to be ranked among the top five in both offensive and defensive ratings, and Oklahoma City could potentially improve on both fronts this coming season. — Tim MacMahon
Thunder in NBA Rank:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (4)
Chet Holmgren (32)
Jalen Williams (44)
Alex Caruso (59)
Luguentz Dort (85)
Isaiah Hartenstein (88)
Number to watch: Gilgeous-Alexander’s production
He averaged 30.1 points with a shooting percentage of 54% and recorded 2.0 steals, becoming the third player in history to achieve those averages, joining the ranks of Michael Jordan and Stephen Curry.
Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander to score 50+ points in any regular-season game (+130)
Only Luka Doncic (33.1) and Joel Embiid (34.1) are projected to have a higher points per game average than Gilgeous-Alexander (32.0). His career high stands at 44 points, yet he enjoyed six games with 40 or more points last season. As the primary offensive playmaker for the Thunder, there’s a strong possibility he will finally surpass 50 points this season. — Eric Moody
Bold fantasy prediction: Chet Holmgren becomes a fantasy superstar
The transformation from an unknown player to a rotation member is always an exciting progression. The remarkable leap from that stage to stardom can heavily influence fantasy outcomes and affect real NBA teams’ success. However, the transition from star to superstar is the rarest of all. This season will witness Holmgren making that leap. My bold claim is that he will rise to – while not quite at Wemby’s level — a new statistical tier characterized by dominant defense and an evolving offensive skill set that could become increasingly lethal with the added talent surrounding him. He stands as the only player who can be compared to San Antonio’s remarkable center regarding block rate potential, and the talent of his teammates will allow him opportunities for direct handoffs, efficient cut-and-lob plays, and spot-up 3-point attempts. Essentially, this is the last season in likely a decade where you’ll be able to draft Chet outside the first round. — McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 19
Chances to make playoffs: 64.6%
Projected wins: 40.6
When we last saw them: Even without star forward Julius Randle and center Mitchell Robinson, who were sidelined due to surgery, the Knicks were on the verge of advancing to the Eastern Conference finals while facing the Pacers at Madison Square Garden in Game 7. However, everything collapsed in every possible way: OG Anunoby, attempting to return prematurely from a hamstring strain, struggled to move from the outset, and star guard Jalen Brunson fractured his shooting hand later in the contest. By that moment, the unfortunate New York team lacked the personnel necessary to defeat Indiana, let alone challenge the eventual champion Celtics in the following round.
Biggest strength and weakness: The team’s offense, which occasionally faltered last season when opponents focused on limiting Brunson, should be invigorated this season with the significant acquisition of Karl-Anthony Towns. The combination of Brunson and Towns will pose a formidable challenge: Should the defensive priority be to collapse on Brunson’s driving ability, or should it focus on staying with Towns when he positions himself on the perimeter? Regardless, the Knicks will benefit from improved floor spacing. New York’s depth has undeniably taken a hit with the departure of Randle and Donte DiVincenzo in the trade for Towns. Randle, a two-time All-NBA selection, was one of the toughest competitors on the team, and DiVincenzo, whose contract is among the best in the league, recorded the third-most three-point attempts.
-pointers in the NBA for the 2023-24 season. Due to the physical style of play under coach Tom Thibodeau, depth is crucial for the Knicks, particularly at the wing positions. Speaking of wings, they may boast the league’s top defensive tandem in Anunoby and Mikal Bridges. However, questions about rim protection persist, especially concerning Towns, who primarily played power forward in Minnesota. This represents a notable adjustment for him, particularly with Robinson, the backup center, out for the initial months. – Chris Herring
Knicks in NBA Rank:
Jalen Brunson (12)
Karl-Anthony Towns (30)
Mikal Bridges (38)
OG Anunoby (51)
Josh Hart (61)
Mitchell Robinson (82)
Key focus: Defense of Bridges and Anunoby
In the last three seasons, Bridges has recorded a 42.9% field goal percentage as the contesting defender, which ranks as the fifth lowest among 50 players who contested at least 2,500 shots. Joining Bridges on the wing will be Anunoby. The Knicks achieved a record of 20-3 in Anunoby’s 23 appearances, compared to 30-29 in the games he missed due to injury or pre-trade circumstances.
Best bet: Brunson to average over 26.5 points (-125).
Last season, Brunson averaged 28.7 points, significantly surpassing the 26.5 mark. He was the primary focus of the Knicks’ offense, primarily functioning off the dribble with high usage rates. Despite the notable trades the Knicks made this offseason, the overall scoring and playmaking quality of their offensive lineup has not dramatically altered. In fact, with DiVincenzo no longer on the roster, Brunson may need to take on an even larger role. — Snellings
Fantasy: Consider drafting … Josh Hart
Hart can be challenging to include in roto/categories formats since he does not score frequently and offers few 3-pointers. However, for those needing to fill specific positions, having a guard that rebounds at such a high level is invaluable. As a result, Hart often goes undrafted in many leagues. — Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 6
Chances to make playoffs: 81.6%
Projected wins: 46.3
Last season’s performance: The Nuggets, who captured the 2023 NBA championship, faced elimination in the second round after a Game 7 loss on their home floor to the Timberwolves. Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and their teammates appeared both physically and mentally exhausted from their title defense efforts but aim to reclaim their spot at the top of the Western Conference. They will attempt this without key player Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who departed in free agency to join Orlando. However, Denver has brought in Russell Westbrook to provide an essential spark and veteran leadership off the bench.
Major strength and weakness: The Nuggets will continue to lean on their best player, Jokic, who was recently named the No. 1 player in ESPN’s top 100 and won the MVP award. Last season, he ranked in the top five for total points, rebounds, and assists. With coach Michael Malone mentioning that Murray experienced “funny” sensations in his knee prior to a preseason game against Phoenix, Jokic might need to carry an even bigger load early in the season. The team’s championship aspirations hinge on Murray’s health and the performance of their bench, especially after Christian Braun moved into the starting lineup. As a result, Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, and Dario Saric must undertake the challenging task of providing effective minutes during Jokic’s rest periods. — Ohm Youngmisuk
Nuggets in NBA Rank:
Nikola Jokic (1)
Jamal Murray (31)
Aaron Gordon (49)
Michael Porter Jr. (89)
Key focus: Jokic’s offensive dominance
Last season, the Nuggets outscored opponents by 682 points while Jokic was on the court, but were outscored by 251 points when he sat. This marks the second consecutive season that Jokic led the NBA in plus/minus.
Best bet: Western Conference No. 5 Seed (+800)
Although Jokic is a three-time MVP who has stepped up for the former champions when needed, even he cannot do it all on his own. Murray looked
Battered during the Olympics and facing immense pressure with his new contract extension, he finds himself in a challenging situation. Another hurdle is the stiff competition within the Western Conference. Teams like the Kings, Mavericks, Timberwolves, and Thunder may be more eager to secure a championship and, in some instances, possess stronger rosters than Denver. — Moody
Major fantasy dilemma: Joker or Wemby at No. 1?
This season, I’m opting not to select Joker as my No. 1 pick, despite his impressive track record and prospects. Instead, I’m taking a risk on the Alien. Wembanyama is poised to deliver a sophomore season of epic proportions. He has the capability to challenge for the league lead in scoring and rebounding, as well as ranking among centers in assists, steals, and 3-pointers. It’s almost certain he will top the league in blocked shots by a significant margin. In points-based leagues, I anticipate Jokic will generate a slightly higher fantasy points total than the conservative projections for Wemby, although the gap is narrow. Those same conservative estimates place Wemby prominently atop in projected category-based league value. while Jokic has a higher floor than Wemby, I’m willing to take a chance on the player with unlimited potential when holding the top pick. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 3
Chances to make playoffs: 99.6%
Projected wins: 51.5
Last time we saw them: The 76ers faced a tough six-game battle against the Knicks in the first round of the playoffs. Each team mounted incredible comebacks in Madison Square Garden, with New York ultimately concluding Philadelphia’s season on home turf. Former MVP Joel Embiid struggled to find his rhythm after missing the final two months of the season due to a knee injury, returning just in time for the playoffs.
Addressing their playoff performance, Philadelphia acquired Paul George through free agency, marking one of the most significant offseason moves since Kawhi Leonard paired up with George in Los Angeles five years ago. They’ve also secured Tyrese Maxey’s return, extended Embiid’s contract, and signed players like Andre Drummond, Eric Gordon, and Caleb Martin, in addition to re-signing Kelly Oubre Jr. and Kyle Lowry. They possess multiple first-round picks that can be leveraged in trades to enhance this season’s roster.
Major strength and weakness: Star power. The trio of Embiid, George, and Maxey, when healthy, ranks among the elite in the league as they enter this season. For Philadelphia to end its lengthy championship drought, it will depend on these stars performing at their peak in April, May, and June. However, the fragility of Embiid and George, both currently nursing injuries from the preseason, represents a significant vulnerability for the team. The franchise’s future rides on the chemistry these two superstars forge throughout the season; they simply need to be on the court for it to happen. — Bontemps
76ers in NBA Rank:
Joel Embiid (8)
Tyrese Maxey (19)
Paul George (21)
NBA Rank’s top 100 countdown
• Nos. 10-1: Jokic surpasses LeBron, KD, Curry
• Nos. 50-11: A significant rise for Wemby
• Nos. 100-51: Klay experiences a decline
• Roundtable: Which player is ranked too high?
• Reaction: Coaches and executives discuss the list
•
Edey, Flagg for the upcoming year?
Key statistic to monitor: Embiid’s health
The 76ers achieved a .795 win percentage with Embiid on the floor, contrasting sharply with a .372 win percentage without him.
Best bet:
Embiid to win MVP (+1800)
This bet is an intriguing “long shot” option, as Embiid secured the MVP title in the 2022-23 season and was the frontrunner for the following season before suffering an injury. If he maintains his health and competes in the NBA-required 65 games, Embiid would likely be a favorite for the MVP award. However, he has only played 65 games twice in his 10 seasons since being drafted, which explains the long shot odds. Nonetheless, given the 18-1 odds, it is a worthwhile gamble since the bet leans more towards “Will he play 65 games?” rather than “Is he deserving of the MVP?” — Snellings
Fantasy bold prediction: Andre Drummond will average a double-double
Now at age 31, Drummond hasn’t achieved this feat since the 2020-21 season, but his return to Philadelphia presents a significant opportunity. With Joel Embiid unlikely to play in every game—he participated in less than half of last season’s matches—Drummond’s potential increase in playing time is considerable. Last season, while starting 10 games for the Chicago Bulls, he averaged 14.1 points per game (PPG) and 17.9 rebounds per game (RPG), finishing with an overall average of 8.4 PPG and 9.0 RPG. If Drummond starts at least twice as often, or even more, he could become a strong asset in deeper leagues. — Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 4
Chances to make playoffs: 96.3%
Projected wins: 50.3
When we last saw them: After the trade deadline last season, the Mavericks transformed into championship contenders. GM Nico Harrison continued the aggressive reworking of the roster around stars Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving by adding two athletic role players: forward P.J. Washington and center Daniel Gafford. Dallas displayed the best defense in the league during the final stretch of the regular season and made a deep run to the NBA Finals. However, inconsistent 3-point shooting from their supporting cast hindered their upset chances against the Celtics. In an effort to address that issue, Harrison successfully recruited Klay Thompson, one of the most formidable catch-and-shoot players in the history of the NBA.
Biggest strength and weakness: The Mavericks possess all the necessary components to be a top-tier offensive team. They have the league’s most dynamic duo in Doncic and Irving, supplemented by gravitational players like Thompson, known for his long-range shooting, and the center duo of Dereck Lively II and Gafford, who excel as vertical spacers. Coach Jason Kidd mentioned they would figure out how to best integrate all the elements of their team over the course of the season—particularly harmonizing Thompson’s constant off-ball movement with Doncic’s preference for pick-and-roll and isolation plays. The key question remains whether the Mavericks can tighten their defense enough to get back to the Finals. Adding Thompson, 34, to fill the spot of the departed Derrick Jones Jr. leaves the Mavs lacking a primary perimeter defender in the starting lineup. “I want to dispel the notion that I’m not the defender I used to be,” Thompson stated. “I genuinely believe I still am, and I’m eager to demonstrate that I can still guard the elite talent in this league.” — MacMahon
Mavericks in NBA Rank:
Luka Doncic (2)
Kyrie Irving (25)
Dereck Lively II (56)
Klay Thompson (71)
Number to watch: Thompson’s contributions from beyond the arc
Last season, the Mavericks led the NBA in corner 3-point attempts but converted only 36% of those, ranking 28th in the league, according to Second Spectrum. In contrast, Thompson shot 41.4% on corner 3s with the Warriors last season, placing him 35th out of 74 players with at least 100 attempts.
Best bet: Doncic as first player to score 70+ points in a regular-season game (+1500)
It appears inevitable, especially considering that Doncic averaged an impressive number of points last season. He had two standout performances, scoring over 50 points in each. Last season, he recorded 50 points against the Suns on Christmas Day and followed that up with an astonishing 73 points against the Hawks on January 26. It wouldn’t be surprising if he reaches that milestone again.
surprise anyone if Doncic has a strong start to this season. — Moody
Fantasy make-or-break pick: Kyrie Irving
Over the last five seasons, Irving has posted remarkable per-game statistics: 26.7 PPG (49.3 FG%, 39.9 3P%, 91.2 FT%), 5.7 APG, 4.9 RPG, 3.0 3PG, 1.3 SPG, and 0.6 BPG, while averaging only 2.2 TO/G. Unfortunately, injuries and off-court issues have limited his appearances, resulting in an average of only 44.2 games per season during that time. Last year, he finished 22nd in the league for fantasy points per game but ranked 47th in total fantasy points. His availability in relation to his draft position could significantly impact fantasy basketball teams, whether positively or negatively. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 7
Chances to make playoffs: 82.8%
Projected wins: 46.5
When we last saw them: The Wolves recently wrapped up one of their most successful seasons in franchise history, reaching the Western Conference finals for only the second time. To build on last season’s impressive 56-win record, Minnesota executed a franchise-altering trade before training camp, sending four-time All-Star Karl-Anthony Towns to the Knicks in exchange for forward Julius Randle, guard Donte DiVincenzo, and a future first-round pick. This move aims to create a deeper roster around guard Anthony Edwards as he continues to emerge as a star.
Biggest strength and weakness: Last season, the Wolves excelled as the No. 1 defensive team in the NBA, aided by four-time Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert at the center, alongside Edwards and Jaden McDaniels on the perimeter. However, Edwards has expressed repeatedly that the team must enhance its crunch-time offense in close games, which revolves around his decision-making as the team’s primary scoring option. — Jamal Collier
Timberwolves in NBA Rank:
Anthony Edwards (10)
Rudy Gobert (34)
Julius Randle (48)
Donte DiVincenzo (75)
Jaden McDaniels (77)
Naz Reid (87)
Mike Conley (98)
Number to watch: Fourth-quarter offense.
At the start of last season, the Timberwolves ranked 27th in fourth-quarter offensive efficiency. However, from last February until the conclusion of the regular season, Minnesota soared to second place, trailing only the Mavericks.
Best bet: Edwards regular-season MVP (+1000)
Edwards stands as a legitimate contender for the MVP award, supported by impressive figures. He averaged 25.9 PPG, 5.1 APG, and 5.4 RPG last season, boasting a usage rate of 32.2% (the fifth highest in the league). Projections suggest this figure could rise to nearly 35% this year. Edwards is not only a capable defender but has also maintained relative health, averaging 75.5 games per season. His odds place him as a great value with the sixth-best chances of winning the award. — Moody
Bold fantasy prediction: Naz Reid will be a top-75 player
During the latter half of the 2023-24 season, Reid became a fantasy favorite, finishing among the top 120 players despite being behind Gobert and Towns, both of whom remained relatively healthy. He recorded a career-high average of 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, 0.8 steals, 0.9 assists, and 2.1 three-pointers per game, with even better numbers after the All-Star break: 16.0 points, 6.6 rebounds, 1.0 steals, 1.2 blocks, and 2.5 triples. With KAT now in New York, and while Randle (and Gobert) will still pose challenges, Randle is not the same player as KAT. Minnesota is well aware of Reid’s potential, and this season is set to showcase his talent. — Alexander
BPI’s overall ranking: 10
Chances to make playoffs: 55.5%
Projected wins:
When we last saw them: The Suns were eliminated in the first round by the Timberwolves, suffering a loss in all four games by a total of 60 points. After entering the season with the third-best odds for a championship, the team’s star trio of Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, and Kevin Durant failed to deliver. Starting off with a record of 4-6, they struggled to achieve consistency, primarily due to Beal missing 29 games and a shallow roster that could not compensate for his absence. Frank Vogel was held accountable for not meeting expectations and was dismissed after just one season in charge. Now, Mike Budenholzer, who led the Milwaukee Bucks to a championship over the Suns in 2021, must work to integrate the components effectively.
Biggest strength and weakness: The Suns ranked fifth in the league for team 3-point percentage at 38.2%, and they derived 11.3% of their scoring from midrange shots, the second-highest figure in the league. With Durant, Booker, and Beal on the roster, they possess an elite shooting team. However, their offensive strategy exposed a significant shortcoming last season; only 40.4% of their scoring came from the paint, placing them 27th in the NBA. — Dave McMenamin
Suns in NBA Rank:
Kevin Durant (9)
Devin Booker (15)
Bradley Beal (70)
Number to watch: Scoring with a healthy Booker, Beal, and Durant
Throughout the 2023-24 regular season, the Suns had their core trio available for exactly half the games. When all three players were on the court together, the Suns averaged 120.5 points per 100 possessions, a figure that matched the Pacers’ No. 2 offense.
Best bet: Western Conference No. 2 seed (+1600)
The Suns took significant steps to address their offseason concerns. They secured a point guard in Tyus Jones, allowing Booker and Beal to operate off the ball. Monte Morris adds valuable depth to the backcourt, while Mason Plumlee resolves their backup center dilemma. Additionally, rookie Ryan Dunn brings a strong defensive presence. The primary worry is keeping Booker, Durant, and Beal healthy for the playoffs. However, Budenholzer will take all necessary measures to ensure they’re prepared for critical games, which might lead to some players resting. — Moody
Fantasy make-or-break pick: Kevin Durant
Similar to LeBron, Durant is another veteran player who has faced injuries in recent seasons but experienced a resurgence in the past year. After appearing in only 137 out of 308 possible games from the end of the 2019 playoffs to the beginning of the 2023-24 season, Durant rebounded impressively and played 75 out of 82 games last season. If he can replicate that performance, he will be a valuable asset, likely available in the second or third rounds of fantasy drafts. However, as he turns 36 before the season starts and embarks on his 18th season, he poses a risk as an early-round pick. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 8
Chances to make playoffs: 93.4%
Projected wins: 46.0
When we last saw them: Milwaukee was eliminated in the first round of the playoffs for the second year in a row. An injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo late in the regular season prevented the Bucks from having him and Damian Lillard on the court together during the postseason. This offseason, Milwaukee bolstered its bench by adding key players such as Gary Trent, Taurean Prince, and Delon Wright to enhance their depth. They hope that maintaining continuity with their star players and coach Doc Rivers will aid the team in reaching its championship aspirations.
Biggest strength and weakness: Experience may serve as both an asset and a challenge for the Bucks this season. On one side, they maintain a championship-caliber core, with Antetokounmpo and Lillard leading the way possessing extensive playoff backgrounds—provided they can remain healthy. However, the challenges of having a veteran roster mean the Bucks must carefully manage the health of many key players, with four of their expected starters being over 30 years old this season. — Collier
Bucks in NBA Rank:
Giannis Antetokounmpo (3)
Damian Lillard (23)
Khris Middleton (63)
Brook Lopez (93)
Number to watch: The scoring of Dame and Giannis
Last season, both players each scored 30 points in eight games, setting a record for a duo in Bucks history and ranking as the second-highest scoring pair in the NBA overall. During the 1,756 minutes they spent on the court together, the Bucks posted a plus-10.2 net efficiency rating.
Best bet: Bobby Portis for Sixth Man of the Year (+1800)
Portis has firmly cemented his role as the sixth man for the Bucks, finishing third in the last two award races. The competition for last year’s award remained unpredictable, with various players emerging as favorites throughout the season. Portis’ averages of 13.8 points and 7.4 rebounds per game were impressive compared to the eventual winner, Naz Reid, who recorded 13.5 points and 5.2 rebounds. This gives Portis a far better chance than the 18-to-1 odds suggest. — Snellings
Fantasy: Definitely consider … Brook Lopez
What am I overlooking? Lopez ranked as a top-50 player in points leagues and placed 28th in roto/categories formats. His age or the method of scoring seems irrelevant, as he consistently exceeds his average draft position by a significant margin. If I had my way, he would headline this list every season. — Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 5
Chances to make playoffs: 96.3%
Projected wins: 47.5
When we last saw them: For the first time in three decades, a Cavaliers team devoid of LeBron James advanced past the first round of the playoffs. After defeating the Magic in seven games — highlighted by Donovan Mitchell’s incredible 50-point performance in Game 6 — they fell to the eventual-champion Celtics in five games, with Mitchell (calf) and Caris LeVert (knee) sidelined towards the end of the second-round series. The offseason was eventful, with the Cavaliers hiring Kenny Atkinson to replace Coach J.B. Bickerstaff and securing a three-year, $150.3 million contract extension for Mitchell, ensuring his stay in Cleveland through the 2028-29 season.
Strengths and weaknesses: Cleveland ranked eighth in the league for assists per game, averaging 28.0, thanks to the playmaking skills of Mitchell, LeVert, Darius Garland, and Max Strus. This effective passing resulted in quality shot opportunities, placing the Cavs 12th in overall field goal percentage at 47.9%. However, they struggled with turnovers, averaging 13.7 per game, which was a significant factor in their ranking of 24th in field goal attempts per game (87.2). It’s hard to register assists without taking shots. — McMenamin
Cavaliers in NBA Rank:
Donovan Mitchell (17)
Evan Mobley (47)
Darius Garland (57)
Jarrett Allen (73)
Number to watch: Team synergy.
Garland, Mitchell, Allen, and Mobley played together in 28 games and logged 392 minutes on the court last season, yet only outscored their opponents by 27 points during that time.
Best bet: Evan Mobley for Most Improved Player (+1400)
At 23 years old and entering his fourth NBA season, Mobley appears ready to make a significant leap. After finishing second in the Rookie of the Year voting, he played 79 games in his sophomore year, earning First Team All-Defense honors and ranking third in the Defensive Player of the Year voting. Last season, injuries sidelined him for 32 games and hampered his performance in the games he did play. Nevertheless, he achieved career highs with a shooting percentage of 58.0% (37.3% from three), along with averages of 9.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. Following the signing of a five-year maximum rookie contract extension this offseason, anticipate Mobley returning to All-Defense form while moving closer to 20 points per game. This combination would place him well in the Most Improved Player race, despite his long-shot odds. — Snell
ings
Fantasy middle-round target: Jarrett Allen
The Cavaliers have secured Allen with a three-year extension, making him a central figure in their future plans. He offers a captivating mix of points, rebounds, and shooting efficiency. Last season, he was among only two players to average at least 15 points per game (PPG) while shooting 60% or better. Moreover, he stands as one of just four players in the shot clock era to achieve an average of 15 PPG, 10 rebounds per game (RPG), and 60% shooting in multiple seasons. Allen is definitely one of my top center picks in this range. — Moody
BPI’s overall ranking: 11
Chances to make playoffs: 69.3%
Projected wins: 44.4
When we last saw them: The previous season was a nightmare for the Grizzlies, embodying Murphy’s Law. Almost everything that could go wrong in Memphis transpired, beginning with Ja Morant’s 25-game suspension at the season’s outset and compounded by a series of injuries, including Morant’s shoulder injury that ended his season. After three consecutive playoff appearances, including two seasons with over 50 wins, the Grizzlies finished with a disappointing record of 27-55, landing them in the lottery. Utilizing their ninth overall pick, they selected Zach Edey, a big man expected to play a significant role in Memphis as a rookie.
Biggest strength and weakness: The core trio of Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Desmond Bane has demonstrated they can secure home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Since their last playoff appearance in 2023, Memphis has made substantial changes to the supporting cast, acquiring Marcus Smart and Edey to replace Dillon Brooks and Steven Adams. The impact of the 7-foot-4 Edey as a rookie could significantly influence Memphis’ potential this season, provided the team avoids further injury setbacks. — MacMahon
Grizzlies in NBA Rank:
Ja Morant (20)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (55)
Desmond Bane (60)
Marcus Smart (83)
Number to watch: Injuries.
Last season, the Grizzlies struggled with injuries, missing a total of 577 player games—the highest in the NBA. They also had 33 players suit up for at least one game, setting an all-time record, and utilized 51 different starting lineups. Bane, Smart, and Morant shared just 130 minutes on the court together but managed to achieve a plus-22 differential during that time.
Best bet: Zach Edey Rookie of the Year (+300)
Typically, this award goes to players on rebuilding teams who can dominate usage rates, enabling them to accumulate impressive stats. Examples from past seasons include Victor Wembanyama and Paolo Banchero, both of whom won under similar circumstances. Edey is in an excellent position with the Grizzlies this year, and we project him to average 14.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, and 1.6 blocks per game (BPG). Although these figures may not be particularly eye-catching, they could suffice for Edey to clinch the award. — Moody
Fantasy sleepers: Marcus Smart and Vince Williams Jr.
It’s unusual for the fantasy community to overlook a former Defensive Player of the Year, yet here we are. Smart’s 2023-24 season was marred by injuries, which explains his slip in drafts. With strong passing skills to assist second units and elite defensive metrics for his position, Smart could prove to be a valuable late-round selection. Following the unfortunate injury to GG Jackson II, Williams is likely to assume a considerable role for Memphis at the start of the season. Reports suggest that Williams might rank among the team leaders in minutes played. Last season’s diminished roster allowed Williams a genuine opportunity to develop as both a playmaker and a secondary scorer—roles he’s expected to continue in the revamped Grizzlies lineup. — Jim McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 18
Chances to make playoffs: 69.0%
Projected wins: 41.1
When we last saw them: Indiana enjoyed a remarkable season last year, advancing to the conference finals for the first time in a decade and also competing in the inaugural in-season tournament championship game. The Pacers responded by
Locking in their core, the Pacers inked in-season acquisition Pascal Siakam to a substantial new contract, re-signed Obi Toppin, and extended the contracts of TJ McConnell and Andrew Nembhard.
Biggest strength and weakness: The most evident strength for the Pacers is their explosive offense, driven by All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton. Should Haliburton overcome the lower leg injuries that have troubled him throughout 2024, Indiana is likely to boast one of the top offenses in the league this season. On the other hand, the Pacers must enhance their defense to replicate last year’s success, and it is unclear who will step up in this regard. Nesmith stands out as the only above-average perimeter defender on the roster, increasing the burden on center Myles Turner to rectify any mistakes at the rim. — Bontemps
Pacers in NBA Rank:
Tyrese Haliburton (16)
Pascal Siakam (42)
Myles Turner (81)
Number to watch: Pacers’ passing
The Pacers recorded a historic offense in 2023-24, averaging 123.3 points per game, the highest for any team since the 1983-1984 Nuggets. They also averaged 30.8 assists during the regular season, marking the most by any team since the Lakers in 1984-85. Indiana led the NBA in passes per game and had the fastest average touch length as a team last season, according to Second Spectrum.
Best bet: Tyrese Haliburton over 10.5 assists per game (-130) and Tyrese Haliburton assists per game leader (+200)
In his initial 31 games last season, including the in-season tournament, Haliburton averaged 12.8 assists per game. However, after suffering a hamstring injury, he was noticeably not at his best for the remainder of the season. Given his time to recover and regain fitness during the offseason, Haliburton could surge ahead to lead the league in assists for a second consecutive season, likely closer to the 12.8 assists per game pace he established at the beginning of the previous season rather than the 10.9 he averaged by the end. — Snellings
Fantasy player to watch: Myles Turner
Turner became the Pacers’ all-time leading shot-blocker last season and starts this season with a total of 1,268 blocks in his career. His average of 1.9 blocks per game ranked ninth in the league last season. However, being a rim protector doesn’t necessarily equate to strong rebounding. The 6-foot-11 center has never recorded more than 7.5 rebounds per game in a season and holds a career average of just 6.8 rebounds per game. — Eric Moody
BPI’s overall ranking: 20
Chances to make playoffs: 46.9%
Projected wins: 38.7
When we last saw them: The Magic had a breakout season, making the playoffs for the first time in three years. Although they fell to the Cavaliers in seven games, it marked significant progress for a young, defensively-minded team under coach Jamahl Mosley. The team re-signed several core players (Wendell Carter Jr., Goga Bitadze, Moritz Wagner, and Jonathan Isaac), but their most notable move was the five-year, $224 million max extension for Franz Wagner. This solidifies Orlando’s frontcourt alongside All-Star big man Paolo Banchero, who is poised to further enhance his game.
Biggest strength and weakness: Orlando is the only team since 1999 to win 45 or more games with its top three scorers being 22 years old or younger, which includes Banchero, Wagner, and guard Jalen Suggs. However, the team must improve its ball security, having ranked 24th in the league for turnovers last season with an average of 14.7 per game, which resulted in 16.4 opponent points per game. This problem has persisted early in the current season, with the team averaging 20.0 turnovers during the preseason. — Kendra Andrews
Magic in NBA Rank:
Paolo Banchero (24)
Franz Wagner (52)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (62)
Jalen Suggs (95)
Number to watch: Franz Wagner’s shooting
Wagner shot 29
.2% on jumpers during last season’s regular season and playoffs represents the worst performance by any player attempting over 400 shots since the 2013-14 season, according to Second Spectrum. He also registered a 28% shooting rate on 3-pointers last season, marking the lowest figure in the NBA among qualified players. This was a decrease from his 36% shooting rate on three-pointers in the 2022-23 season.
Best bet: Magic to win Southeast Division (-140)
Two seasons ago, the Magic found themselves in the lottery, but last year they saw a 13-win improvement, capturing the Southeast Division title by a single game over the Heat. Both teams are again favored this season, but while the Heat’s star player, Jimmy Butler, is nearing the end of his career, Magic standout Paolo Banchero is ascending rapidly in his third season. The improving duo of Banchero and Franz Wagner offers the Magic greater potential than the Heat, enhancing their chances for a consecutive division title. — Snellings
Fantasy player to watch: Jonathan Isaac
True fantasy enthusiasts remember Isaac’s remarkable 34 games during the 2019-20 season. Or maybe that’s just me. Regardless, he exhibited exceptional defensive metrics reminiscent of a prime Andrei Kirilenko. Unfortunately, injuries have limited his time on the court since then, but we shouldn’t overlook the impressive performance he had last spring and throughout the playoffs. Isaac consistently surpassed 20 minutes in the series against the Cavaliers, showcasing his elite defensive potential. While it seems unlikely he will return to significant playing time, he still qualifies as a sleeper if he can replicate his playoff role for Orlando this season. — McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 16
Chances to make playoffs: 47.0%
Projected wins: 41.8
When we last saw them: The Golden State Warriors are coming off one of their longest offseasons in recent history after their exit in the first round of the play-in tournament against the Kings. Since that time, they have parted ways with Klay Thompson and veteran Chris Paul. However, Buddy Hield, De’Anthony Melton, and Kyle Anderson have joined the team, with expectations for significant development from fourth-year player Jonathan Kuminga, and sophomores Brandin Podziemski and Trayce Jackson-Davis. Throughout training camp, Golden State has emphasized its depth, believing they possess the right components to ascend in the Western Conference.
Biggest strength and weakness: If their preseason performance serves as any indicator, the Warriors are poised to be among the league’s top 3-point shooting teams. They averaged a 38.2% shooting rate from beyond the arc during the preseason. Whether this level of shooting can be maintained in the regular season remains uncertain, but the Warriors will continue to prioritize shooting and a fast-paced offensive strategy. However, they need to enhance their defense, especially in transition. Last season, Golden State allowed the sixth-most points in transition per game, while the 1.17 points per possession they conceded in transition ranked third in the NBA. They were positioned in the 17th percentile for transition defense, finishing with an overall ranking of 15th in the NBA in defensive performance. With their current roster, Golden State believes they have the ingredients to improve defensively. — Andrews
Warriors in NBA Rank:
Stephen Curry (6)
Draymond Green (66)
Brandin Podziemski (78)
Andrew Wiggins (90)
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Number to watch: Draymond Green’s availability
Last season, Green missed 27 games, with 21 of those due to suspensions and disciplinary issues, alongside a career-high of four ejections.
In the absence of Green, the Warriors had a record of 13-14, allowing an average of 119.1 points per game. During the 55 games Green played, they achieved a record of 33-22, giving up only 113.2 points per game.
Best bet: Stephen Curry as the top points scorer on Christmas Day (+1000)
Christmas Day NBA basketball is an unparalleled tradition. With Klay Thompson unavailable, Curry stands as the sole Splash Brother remaining. Even at 36, the Golden State Warriors will heavily depend on him this season. He has averaged 32.0 points per game over his last six encounters with the Lakers and is poised to deliver a standout performance on the national stage at home. — Moody
Fantasy sleepers: Brandin Podziemski and De’Anthony Melton
“Air Podz” averaged 5.8 rebounds in his rookie season, placing him in the 98th percentile among NBA guards. In addition to his impressive rebounding stats, Podziemski has the potential to emerge as a notable shooter and scorer following Klay Thompson’s exit from the rotation. Offseason chatter indicates that the team is eager to showcase the second-year guard. Steve Kerr’s offensive system, known for its shot volume, may favor Melton’s offensive capabilities, while the team is likely to utilize him proactively in the passing lanes on defense, reminiscent of how Donte DiVincenzo and Gary Payton II thrived in this system. It’s highly probable, if not certain, that Melton will average over two made 3-pointers and two combined blocks and steals in this fantasy-friendly environment. — Jim McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 14
Chances to make playoffs: 56.1%
Projected wins: 42.7
When we last saw them: This marks the second consecutive season in which the Lakers were ousted by the Nuggets during the playoffs. Although the series extended to five games — a slight improvement from the previous year’s sweep — it occurred in the first round instead of the conference finals. With their core roster firmly established and limited trade options available, L.A. opted for the classic move that franchises resort to in similar situations: they dismissed their coach, Darvin Ham. “You can’t buy a house that’s not for sale,” stated Lakers vice president of basketball operations and general manager, Rob Pelinka. First-year coach JJ Redick stepped in to fill the position, and the Lakers are pinning their hopes on a coaching change, coupled with improved luck regarding health, to reestablish their status as contenders alongside LeBron James and Anthony Davis.
Biggest strength and weakness: The Lakers boast a formidable starting five on offense. LeBron James, Anthony Davis, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura, and D’Angelo Russell played 389 minutes together last season, achieving an offensive efficiency of 116.0, as per ESPN Stats & Info. This performance ranked them 10th among the 21 five-man lineups that played over 300 minutes together last season. However, that same group gave up 1.36 points per possession in transition, placing them 19th among 20 five-man lineups that defended over 100 transition possessions. “Our transition defense was horrific,” James noted during training camp. “We must improve significantly in that area. While we performed well in the halfcourt, we need to make sure we get back on defense.” — McMenamin
Lakers in NBA Rank:
LeBron James (7)
Anthony Davis (13)
Austin Reaves (72)
Number to watch: The time James and Davis spend on the court together
Last season, James participated in 71 games, his highest total since the 2017-2018 season, while Davis played a career-best 76 games. Together, they played in 66 games, their most appearances together since Davis joined the Lakers in 2019-2020.
Best bet: Under 42.5 regular season wins (-115)
The Lakers are counting on a new coaching staff to revitalize their performance after winning last year’s in-season tournament but faltering in the playoffs. JJ Redick, who has no prior coaching experience, impressed the front office; however, the real concern lies in the health of LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Without both players, the team has struggled — recording a 50-72 record without James and 55-64 without Davis. Lacking a third star, it’s challenging to envision them finishing with 43 wins in the competitive Western Conference. — Moody
Fantasy rookie to monitor: Dalton Knecht
Knecht exhibits a level of maturity beyond that of a typical college player, showcasing the shooter/scorer skill set that the Lakers desperately need. While it remains uncertain whether he will begin the season in the primary rotation, he logged 34 minutes during his preseason debut, accumulating 13 points, eight rebounds, and four assists. Once he adjusts and secures his minutes, the No. 17 pick from Tennessee possesses the ability to make an immediate impact at the professional level. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 12
Chances of reaching the playoffs: 52.5%
Projected wins: 42.5
Latest performance: The New Orleans team experienced a swift end to its first playoff appearance since 2022, falling to the Thunder in a four-game sweep. This occurred with Zion Williamson sidelined due to injury, despite him playing a career-high 70 games during the regular season. In the offseason, the team addressed a significant weakness by acquiring point guard Dejounte Murray, a robust two-way player. His addition is expected to enhance vocal leadership and, crucially, provide playmaking and facilitating skills to enhance New Orleans’ efficiency in close games. While the trade did diminish some depth, the Pelicans now boast three former All-Stars on their roster: Murray, Williamson, and Brandon Ingram.
Key strengths and weaknesses: After serving as an off-ball guard with Atlanta, Murray will revert to a traditional point guard role, with an increased focus on defense. This is favorable for a player who earned a spot on the 2018 All-Defensive team and led the league in steals in 2022. The Pelicans’ starting lineup already includes a first-team All-Defensive player in Herbert Jones, along with another promising 3-and-D wing, Trey Murphy III. However, the center position poses a significant challenge for the team this season. At 6-foot-7, Jones is not ideally suited for the center position, yet he is projected to start there due to the loss of Jonas Valanciunas in free agency. — Michael Wright
Pelicans in NBA Rankings:
Zion Williamson (27)
Brandon Ingram (40)
Dejounte Murray (43)
CJ McCollum (84)
Herbert Jones (97)
Key focus: Rim protection
Last season, the Pelicans ranked sixth in defensive efficiency, yet allowed the 23rd highest field goal percentage at the rim. This follows three consecutive seasons where New Orleans was among the bottom two teams in rim protection.
Best bet: Willie Green for Coach of the Year (+1600)
Entering his fourth season with the Pelicans, Green faces high expectations. He managed to navigate injuries to pivotal players like Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, leading New Orleans to three successive winning seasons. With the addition of Dejounte Murray and a renewed commitment to defense, the Pelicans are well-positioned for success. Despite Green’s calm presence often escaping media attention, the Pelicans’ record could attract voters’ interest, especially considering that the last three award winners were first-timers. — Moody
Fantasy sleeper: Trey Murphy III
Regarded as one of the most efficient wing scorers in the league after just three professional seasons, Murphy has recorded an impressive 63.3% true shooting percentage since the start of the 2022-23 season. Although last season was interrupted due to recovery from surgery, Murphy now enters the new season fit and ready to elevate his 3-and-D production. In addition to his ability to stretch the floor, Murphy maintains a strong stealing average. During his 23 starts last season, he averaged 8.3 attempts from beyond the arc per game, leading to an impressive average of over 16 points per game, indicating that he is evolving into an elite specialist akin to Klay Thompson. With an average draft position well beyond 100, Murphy makes for an excellent mid-round selection this fall. — Jim McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 15
Chances of making the playoffs: 54.1%
Projected wins: 42.5
Latest performance: Following their first playoff appearance in 16 years, the Kings were eliminated in the second round.
Following their recent loss, Sacramento recognized the need for change, prompting them to acquire DeMar DeRozan while sending Harrison Barnes to San Antonio and Chris Duarte to Chicago. This marks the first major move for Sacramento since Mike Brown took over as head coach. Although they do not believe they regressed last season, they are aware that regaining the momentum they had in 2023 is crucial in a fiercely competitive Western Conference.
Biggest strength and weakness: The Kings are set to boast a dynamic offense. With DeRozan on the roster, the team gains an additional player capable of scoring 25 points per game and performing under pressure, alleviating some of the burden on De’Aaron Fox. Partnering DeRozan with Domantas Sabonis will enable them to continue implementing dribble handoffs, pick-and-roll plays, and scoring in transition—key components of their offensive strategy over the past two years, which they hope will facilitate DeRozan’s integration. However, one significant weakness for Sacramento is their lack of size. They have struggled against taller and stronger teams, and they did not address this issue during the offseason. If they intend to utilize players like DeRozan or Kevin Huerter at small forward, they will need to depend even more on their offense to outscore opponents. — Andrews
Kings in NBA Rank:
De’Aaron Fox (26)
Domantas Sabonis (29)
DeMar DeRozan (45)
Malik Monk (65)
Keegan Murray (94)
Number to watch: Late game performances
Sacramento has acquired one of the best late-game performers to play alongside De’Aaron Fox. Last season, DeMar DeRozan led the NBA in total points scored in the fourth quarter, with Fox coming in second. This marks the first occasion since play-by-play statistics began in 1996-97 that the top two scorers in total fourth-quarter points from the previous season are on the same team.
Best bet: Domantas Sabonis rebounds per game leader (+195).
Sabonis topped the NBA last season with 13.7 rebounds per game while averaging 35.7 minutes on the court. He is projected to maintain similar numbers this season. It’s essential to note that the Kings are focusing on offensive rebounding, having ranked in the middle tier last year. Sabonis’ durability enhances the attractiveness of this bet; he played all 82 games last season and 79 the year prior, positioning him well to again lead in rebounds. — Moody
Fantasy: Do not draft … Domantas Sabonis
Every time Sabonis steps onto the court, he presents a triple-double threat. However, I prefer my big men—particularly those I select early in drafts—to contribute with blocks, steals, and even a few three-pointers. While Sabonis excels in points, rebounds, and assists, he only converted 70.4% of his free throws last season and contributed minimal steals (0.9), blocks (0.6), and three-pointers (0.4). I believe early-round picks should accumulate steals, blocks, and threes, and considering his inconsistent free-throw shooting, I’m hesitant to draft him. The addition of DeMar DeRozan further complicates the scenario. – Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 9
Chances to make playoffs: 90.2%
Projected wins: 44.9
When we last saw them: After a surprising Finals appearance without guard Tyler Herro in 2023, the Heat were eliminated in the first round last season. With Jimmy Butler sidelined due to a sprained right MCL acquired during the play-in tournament and trade deadline acquisition Terry Rozier unable to play because of neck spasms, Miami fell to the eventual-champion Boston Celtics in five games. The Heat considered trading for Lauri Markkanen of the Utah Jazz, but the former All-Star ultimately chose to extend his contract to remain in Salt Lake City. Thus, one of the league’s most stable franchises is entering the season with a nearly unchanged roster—veteran guard Alec Burks being the most notable addition—hoping for improved health and another stellar season from gold medalist and All-Star center Bam Adebayo to regain their competitive edge.
Biggest strength and weakness: With Adebayo anchoring the team as a consistent candidate for Defensive Player of the Year, the Heat achieved the fifth-best defensive efficiency in the league last season, surrendering just 111.5 points per 100 possessions. However, their offense was so ineffective that it made opposing defenses appear equally strong. Miami ranked 21st in offensive efficiency, managing to score only 113.3 points per 100 possessions. — McMenamin
Heat in NBA Rank:
Bam Adebayo (18)
Jimmy Butler (28)
Tyler Herro (76)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (86)
Number to watch: Fourth quarter offense
In the previous season, they were rated 28th in fourth-quarter offensive efficiency and 29th in fourth-quarter net efficiency. Although they maintained a 22-20 record in clutch situations, the Heat were among the bottom five in offensive efficiency during those crucial moments.
Best bet: Bam Adebayo to win Defensive Player of the Year (+1000)
Adebayo has consistently been among the top five in Defensive Player of the Year voting for five consecutive seasons, culminating in a third-place finish and a spot on the All-Defense First Team last season. At 27 years old, he is just entering his prime years and will serve as the defensive cornerstone for what could be a more competitive Heat team this season. If they can stay mostly healthy, particularly with sophomore Jaime Jacquez Jr. expected to improve, this could be the most talented Heat squad in years. If Adebayo continues his strong defensive play on a winning team, his odds of finally claiming the award would be better than the current 10-1. – Snellings
Fantasy rookie to watch: Kel’el Ware
Ware was one of the standout rookies during the Las Vegas Summer League, earning a spot on the NBA 2K25 All Summer League first team. In his preseason debut, he shone, scoring 13 points, grabbing 5 rebounds, and recording 4 blocked shots in just 17 minutes. As the No. 15 pick out of Indiana, Ware is expected to start the season as Adebayo’s backup at center, but Adebayo’s versatility may allow him to play some minutes at the 4 should Ware prove his worth and necessitate more playing time. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 13
Chances to make playoffs: 49.6%
Projected wins: 42.1
When we last saw them: In Ime Udoka’s first year as head coach, Houston soared to a 13-2 record in March, leading many to speculate they might vie for a play-in spot. During this period, Jalen Green thrived, averaging 27.7 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 3.9 assists. The Rockets concluded the season at 41-41, marking a 19-win increase from the previous year, the highest jump of any team from 2022-23 to 2023-24. In the offseason, Houston remained relatively stable but used their No. 3 pick to draft sharpshooter Reed Sheppard, who is a serious contender for Rookie of the Year.
Biggest strength and weakness: Houston’s array of young talent positions the Rockets for potential success in the future, contingent upon players like Green, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, and Tari Eason advancing in their development. The team has skillfully mixed emerging players with experienced veterans, which is key to building a new culture under Udoka, founded on strong defense that ranked ninth last season. However, with the offense pegged at 20th, development in offensive skills is crucial for players like Smith, Thompson, and Eason, along with increased consistency from Green. — Wright
Rockets in NBA Rank:
Alperen Sengun (54)
Jalen Green (69)
Fred VanVleet (79)
Jabari Smith Jr. (92)
Number to watch: Continuity on defense
The Rockets ended last season ranked 10th in defensive efficiency, 8th in rim protection, and allowed the fewest fast break points per game.
Best bet: Over 43.5 regular season wins (-115)
The Rockets have a diverse roster, making this bet appealing. With seven former first-round picks and a defense that ranked 10th in defensive rating last season, the potential is evident. Houston finished last year with 41 wins, so adding three more seems feasible. While the Western Conference is highly competitive and some players are still adjusting to their roles, I am confident that Udoka will further enhance the team’s prospects. — Moody
Fantasy breakout candidate: Jalen Green
Green was selected as the No. 2 overall pick in the 2021 NBA draft and has demonstrated himself as a capable scorer, though he has struggled with consistency. When Ime Udoka became the head coach, he aimed to instill a level of professionalism that required Green to elevate his game to secure his playing time. Following a slower start, Green exploded, averaging 29.2 PPG from February 29 to March 29, as the Rockets made a strong push for the playoffs. This surge hints at what we can expect from him on a more consistent basis this season. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 17
Chances to make playoffs: 51.5%
Projected wins: 42.4
When we last saw them: The Clippers exited the playoffs unexpectedly with little resistance in their Game 6 loss to the Mavericks during the first round last season. Paul George and James Harden struggled, going 2-for-16 from beyond the arc, while Kawhi Leonard was sidelined with knee inflammation. This marked George’s final game as a Clipper, indicating a shift in the franchise’s approach from championship contention to remaining competitive while seeking a younger star in the future. The Clippers re-signed Harden but opted for youth, bringing in gritty, defense-oriented players like Derrick Jones Jr. in free agency. With Leonard out indefinitely this season due to knee rehabilitation, the Clippers’ playoff aspirations appear uncertain.
Biggest strength and weakness: The Clippers’ defensive capabilities will serve as a significant strength and keep them in contention during games. Besides adding defenders like Jones Jr., Nic Batum, and Kris Dunn through free agency, the team’s major addition this offseason was defensive coordinator Jeff Van Gundy. Conversely, with George gone and Leonard unavailable for an unspecified period, Harden will be tasked with carrying much of the offensive burden, particularly in playmaking for teammates such as Ivica Zubac. Outside of Harden and Zubac, the Clippers lack depth, relying mainly on Norman Powell and Kevin Porter Jr. – Youngmisuk
Clippers in NBA Rank:
Kawhi Leonard (22)
James Harden (41)
Number to watch: 3-point shooting
Last season, the Clippers managed only 180 catch-and-shoot 3-pointers, tying the Mavericks for the fewest in the league.
Best bet: James Harden assists per game leader (+900)
Despite facing statistical challenges last season, Harden has averaged 9.7 assists per game since the 2021-2022 season. The only players projected to surpass Harden’s 8.9 APG are Nikola Jokic (9.2), Luka Doncic (9.3), Trae Young (10.7), and Tyrese Haliburton (11.5). With Paul George and Russell Westbrook departed, and Leonard sidelined indefinitely due to a knee issue, Harden is set for a significant boost in his usage rate. — Moody
Fantasy: Do draft … James Harden
George’s exit from the Clippers greatly impacts Harden’s usage. Last season, he averaged “only” 16.6 PPG and 8.5 APG in his first year with the team, but it would not be surprising to see him rebound to a 20-and-10 level, especially with Leonard out for an extended period. Previously, I avoided drafting Harden in fantasy, as he was often going late in the first round, but now he represents an incredible value as a fourth- or fifth-round pick. — Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 28
Chances to make playoffs: 1.0%
Projected wins: 31.0
When we last saw them: Victor Wembanyama, the unanimous 2023-24 Rookie of the Year and No. 1 overall pick, was one of the bright spots for a team that began the season winning three of its first five games. However, they then experienced the longest losing streak in franchise history, with 18 consecutive losses from November 5 to December 13. This summer, San Antonio bolstered its roster by signing future Hall of Famer Chris Paul to provide leadership and a legitimate starter-level point guard, alongside veteran champion Harrison Barnes. Additionally, the Spurs selected Paul’s eventual successor, Stephon Castle, with the No. 4 pick in June’s draft.
Biggest strength and weakness: Wembanyama’s elite rim protection is a standout feature, as he recorded 254 blocks, the highest in a season since 2015-16 (Hassan Whiteside). He effectively erases mistakes, allowing San Antonio’s perimeter defenders to take calculated risks. Nevertheless, collective defensive improvement has been a significant focus for the Spurs during training camp and the preseason. The team also needs to enhance its outside shooting consistency. Although San Antonio set a franchise record last season for 3-pointers made (1,036), they still ranked only 16th in the NBA. — Wright
Spurs in NBA Rank:
Victor Wembanyama (11)
Chris Paul (99)
Number to watch: Wembanyama’s rim protection
Wembanyama dominated the league last season, averaging 3.6 blocks per game—over a block ahead of any other player. He also achieved a remarkable 10-block triple-double and finished the season with a total of 254 blocks, making him the sixth rookie to surpass 250 blocks since the statistic was recorded in 1973-74.
Best bet: Wembanyama to record 1+ blocks in every regular season game; minimum 40 games played (+2000)
We anticipate that Wembanyama will lead the league with an impressive 4.3 blocks per game in 33.4 minutes. Given those projections, this bet is definitely worth considering. — Moody
Potential fantasy bust: Keldon Johnson
While not the most exciting pick, Johnson, who usually goes a bit past the 100 mark in average draft position, will be expected to contribute significantly in fantasy leagues. However, trust in Johnson may be wavering; he actually saw a decrease in minutes, touches, and shots last season compared to his breakout performance in 2022-23. It appears that his scoring surge in his fourth season was primarily due to leading a lottery-bound team in offensive opportunities. The Spurs’ roster has changed dramatically, now featuring talented young players alongside seasoned veterans in a new configuration with coach Popovich focusing on Wembanyama. Johnson is unlikely to secure a starting role or a specialized position; instead, he is likely to transition into a complementary role, diminishing his previous scoring momentum. Given his subpar rebounding rates for a forward and lackluster defensive statistics, I would prefer to let someone else take a chance on Johnson’s limited upside. — McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 22
Chances to make playoffs: 34.1%
Projected wins: 36.9
When we last saw them: The play-in round had previously favored Atlanta, with the Hawks advancing to the playoffs in both 2022 and 2023. However, their luck ran out last season. The Hawks struggled on defense—finishing 27th in the league—allowing Coby White to score 42 points while the Bulls racked up a staggering 131 points, ultimately ending Atlanta’s season. In light of this, the sub-.500 Hawks decided to make significant changes by trading guard Dejounte Murray to the Pelicans in late June.
Biggest strength and weakness: With Murray traded, All-Star guard Trae Young can reclaim control of the offense, which aligns better with his playing style. Young has not developed into an effective off-ball player, making this transition more natural for the 26-year-old floor general.
Returning to a usage rate nearer to 35% is a safer strategy in many respects and could improve the offense.
With Jalen Johnson back to full health and players like Dyson Daniels and Larry Nance Jr. added to the roster, Atlanta is poised to make significant defensive improvements this year. However, even if newcomers like Zaccharie Risacher, the No. 1 overall pick, contribute on that front — especially given his length and wingspan as a 6-foot-9 forward from France — the Hawks are still anticipated to rank in the bottom half of the league defensively, potentially landing in the bottom 10 once more. — Chris Herring
Hawks in NBA Rank:
Trae Young (37)
Key metric: Overall defensive enhancement
Last season, the Hawks allowed at least 145 points in six games, marking the highest number recorded by any team since the Nuggets in the 1990-1991 season. They finished 27th in defensive efficiency, 24th in defending on-ball screens, 29th in transition defense, and 25th in rim protection.
Best bet: Jalen Johnson to win Most Improved Player (+1200)
Johnson made a significant leap last season, moving from a sophomore averaging 5.6 PPG in 15 minutes per game to a full-time starter with averages of 16.0 PPG and 8.7 RPG in his third season. Historically, the recipient of the Most Improved Player award often shows that kind of progress in the season leading up to their win, followed by another leap to near All-Star caliber play during the award season. Johnson has the potential to achieve this. He possesses legitimate 20-10-5 upside this year, and with Dejounte Murray’s departure, he should have increased usage and opportunities to achieve those statistics. If successful, he will be a leading contender for MIP. — Snellings
Fantasy breakout candidate: Jalen Johnson
Johnson appeared on the verge of a breakout season last year, but a controversial foul by Kyle Kuzma derailed those plans. He played in only 56 games due to a right ankle sprain and a left wrist injury sustained during a block attempt by Kuzma. With Dejounte Murray now gone, Johnson and Trae Young will shoulder most of the offensive responsibilities in Atlanta. If he can stay healthy, Johnson will be just 22 years old at the start of the season, turning 23 in December. — Steve Alexander
BPI’s overall ranking: 21
Playoff chances: 43.5%
Projected wins: 38.2
Last time we saw them: Following several years of stagnation and consecutive losses in the play-in tournament, the Bulls opted to revamp their roster this summer to focus on the future, making several moves to become younger. They acquired Josh Giddey from Oklahoma City to lead their offense and team him with Coby White and Patrick Williams to form a youthful core, while Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic, and Lonzo Ball remain as returning players.
Greatest strength and vulnerability: Chicago has expressed intentions to play at a fast pace for the past three seasons, but they may finally have the right personnel to realize that goal. Giddey should help spark a fast-break offense, and they envision him creating advantageous passing opportunities for teammates, similar to the contributions made by Ball during his first year in Chicago. However, defense will pose a challenge for the Bulls; none of their five starters are deemed above average defenders, though the team hopes Williams can step into that role. – Collier
Bulls in NBA Rank:
Coby White (58)
Zach LaVine (74)
Key metric: Assisted offense.
Last season, Oklahoma City converted 54% of shots off Josh Giddey’s passes, ranking second among players with over 500 assist opportunities, only behind LeBron James. Last year, the Bulls ranked 28th in effective field goal percentage when shooting directly off an assist and will aim to leverage Giddey’s skills to enhance this aspect of their offense.
Best bet: Bulls under 28.5 wins (-125)
The Bulls find themselves in a state of transition, caught between being a play-in team with 39-40 wins from previous seasons and a complete rebuild that seems imminent.
The horizon looks uncertain for the team after losing veterans DeMar DeRozan and Alex Caruso this offseason. They have brought in young talents like Josh Giddey, selected draft pick Matas Buzelis, and re-signed Patrick Williams to team up with Coby White as part of their new core. While veterans Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic remain with the squad, trade rumors persist, and Lonzo Ball is on the road to recovery from injury. The current roster holds enough talent to surpass 28 wins; however, issues related to team dynamics and focus lead me to believe they might struggle, leading to potential trades of their veteran players and ultimately finishing below the mark. Additionally, they owe the Spurs a top-10 protected 2025 draft pick, so it might be advantageous for them to lose enough games to avoid conveying that pick. — Snellings
Fantasy rookie to watch: Matas Buzelis
Selected as a highly regarded pick for the Bulls in this year’s lottery, Buzelis saw some decline in scoring efficiency but had several standout performances during the Las Vegas Summer League. He is expected to come off the bench for the current Bulls lineup, yet with the team pursuing a rebuild, there’s potential for him to earn significant playing time sooner rather than later. — Snellings
BPI’s overall ranking: 25
Chances to make playoffs: 13.9%
Projected wins: 33.9
When we last saw them: The Raptors have officially moved on from their 2019 NBA championship team by trading OG Anunoby and Pascal Siakam. Now, this is Scottie Barnes’ team. The third-year forward averaged at least 19 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists, a steal, and a block last season, alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo, making his first All-Star appearance as a result. In a midseason trade that sent Anunoby to the Knicks, Immanuel Quickley was signed to a five-year, $175 million contract. The Raptors also acquired intriguing prospects Ja’Kobe Walter and Jonathan Mogbo in the draft. Most significantly, Toronto awarded Barnes a five-year max contract extension, officially establishing him as the face of the franchise’s next generation.
Biggest strength and weakness: While undergoing a rebuild, the Raptors boast a plethora of young, athletic players that coach Darko Rajakovic can utilize, allowing the team to push the pace. This will likely be crucial, as the squad lacks the necessary firepower to excel beyond the arc. Transition points and capitalizing on turnovers will be essential, given that last season, the Raptors ranked 26th in three-pointers made. — Bontemps
Raptors in NBA Rank:
Scottie Barnes (35)
RJ Barrett (53)
Immanuel Quickley (64)
Number to watch: Pace
Last season, the Raptors led the NBA in fast-break points per game, ranking seventh in points per possession during transitions and second in transition possessions per game, according to Second Spectrum.
Best bet: Scottie Barnes to win Most Improved Player (+2500)
Recently, the Most Improved Player award has often recognized players in their early to mid-20s who have a few seasons of experience before making a significant leap. Barnes fits this profile perfectly as he enters his fourth season at age 23. He started to emerge last season, improving his overall numbers while earning his first All-Star selection. With the departures of Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby, Barnes has solidified his role as the franchise’s centerpiece, allowing him the opportunity to post superstar-caliber statistics this season. — Snellings
Fantasy breakout candidate: RJ Barrett
After being traded to Toronto, Barrett excelled, especially regarding efficiency. In 32 games with the Raptors, he averaged 21.8 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game while boasting an impressive shooting percentage of 55.3%. He played some of the finest basketball of his career. Originally drafted third overall by the Knicks in 2019, this season sets the stage for Barrett to achieve the best performance of his career. If he can sustain these averages throughout the entire season,
Barrett might find himself contending for the Most Improved Player Award. — Moody
BPI’s overall ranking: 23
Chances to make playoffs: 33.8%
Projected wins: 37.0
When we last saw them: In their final game of the previous season, Charlotte celebrated a victory, albeit under unusual circumstances that were reminiscent of tanking. The Cavaliers, seemingly hoping to face Orlando in the first round instead of the Sixers or Heat, opted to bench their star players and even used three centers during the final moments of the match. However, for the Hornets, the win held little significance since the franchise has suffered from years of disappointments, leaving them without enough victories to make the close of a season meaningful.
Biggest strength and weakness: Regardless of outcomes, Charlotte is set to witness the development of second-year wing Brandon Miller. From February to April last season, he posted impressive averages of nearly 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists, accompanied by shooting percentages of 45% overall and 37% from beyond the arc—signaling potential as a cornerstone player for the franchise.
Injuries have hindered Charlotte’s efforts to escape the league’s bottom tier. The health status of LaMelo Ball remains uncertain, along with that of center Mark Williams. According to Spotrac, the Hornets have been among the top 10 teams in salary spent on injured players over the last two seasons. The arrival of new coach Charles Lee and new executive vice president of basketball operations Jeff Peterson adds to the uncertainty. While immediate winning expectations aren’t in place, the team needs a solid stretch of health to make an accurate assessment. — Herring
Hornets in NBA Rank:
LaMelo Ball (50)
Brandon Miller (68)
Number to watch: Overall improvements on offense
Considering the extensive injuries, the Hornets finished 28th in offensive efficiency last season and faced difficulties in generating easy scoring opportunities. They ranked last in free throw attempt rate and were in the bottom five for both offensive rebounding percentage and points per possession in transition.
Best bet: LaMelo Ball 3-pointers made per game leader (+3300)
In the last three seasons, the average leaders in 3-pointers per game made 4.8, 4.4, and 4.5. In an injury-shortened season two years ago, Ball managed to average 4.0. He holds the ultimate green light for the Hornets, and this year he has teammates who should attract enough defensive attention to allow him numerous good shooting opportunities. Odds of 33-1 present a compelling option for a player who has already demonstrated the ability to shoot 3-pointers at a high volume. — Snellings
Fantasy: Do not draft … LaMelo Ball
It might seem focused on missed games, but this remains paramount. Ball is an outstanding player at just 23 years old, yet ongoing ankle issues have limited him to only 58 games over the last two seasons combined. Until he shows signs of durability, this scenario resembles that of Mike Trout, where the name gets selected simply because of his appeal. Fantasy managers in dire need of assists for long stretches with Mike Conley and Tre Jones should consider safer point guards in the early rounds. – Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 26
Chances to make playoffs: 2.7%
Projected wins: 33.1
When we last saw them: For the second consecutive season, the Jazz were competitive for the first 50 games before declining after trading away veterans at the deadline. The forecast suggests that the 2024-25 season will follow a traditional rebuilding path in Salt Lake City. Utah has made a significant investment in Lauri Markkanen, signing the 27-year-old forward to a maximum contract worth $238 million over five years—rendering him ineligible for trade this season. He stands out on a roster that has seen a youth movement, with seven players aged 23 or younger vying for rotation spots.
Biggest strength and weakness: Jazz fans may frequently find themselves checking lottery standings this season, hoping for an early selection in a deep draft class. Meanwhile, two pivotal questions remain: Which veterans could prove valuable in the upcoming season?
As the trade deadline approaches, the question arises: which young players will reassure fans that they can be integral to the Jazz’s core during this rebuilding phase? — MacMahon
Jazz in NBA Rank:
Lauri Markkanen (33)
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Key metrics to watch: Perimeter defense and turnovers.
Last season, the Jazz finished last in defensive efficiency, permitting a 39.5% 3-point shooting percentage by opponents—the lowest of any team since the 2010-2011 Cavaliers. The team also had the highest turnover percentage and ranked 29th in points allowed from turnovers. Consequently, Utah faced 18.2 transition possessions per game last season, marking the highest number recorded since player tracking began in 2013-2014.
Best bet: Jordan Clarkson to win Sixth Man of the Year (+2000)
Clarkson won the award in 2021 and has averaged 19.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 4.7 APG over the past two seasons. Projected to play 30.9 minutes per game, he is expected to be a crucial part of the Jazz’s rotation. Despite injury concerns, placing a few units on Clarkson as a long shot might be worthwhile. – Moody
Fantasy sleepers: Keyonte George and Taylor Hendricks
With numerous high-usage, heliocentric stars populating the league, finding assists in later rounds can be tough. As a rookie, George assisted nearly a quarter of all Jazz field goals while on the court, indicating a potential breakout could occur in Utah this fall. In addition to his pick-and-roll ability, George scored nearly 15 points on solid shooting from deep as a rookie. Another rookie from last season, Hendricks, showcased impressive defensive and positional flexibility for the Jazz. With abundant minutes available on the wing in Salt Lake City, Hendricks is likely to exceed his draft value. — McCormick
BPI’s overall ranking: 29
Chances to make playoffs: 2.1%
Projected wins: 29.3
Recent performance: Last season, the Pistons made NBA history with 28 consecutive losses, finishing with the league’s worst record for the second year in a row. In a bid to create change, the Pistons dismissed team president Troy Weaver and head coach Monty Williams during the offseason. They subsequently appointed Trajan Langdon as president of basketball operations and recruited J.B. Bickerstaff as head coach. To bolster their shooting, Detroit also signed forward Tobias Harris to play alongside Cade Cunningham.
Greatest strength and weakness: The Pistons’ frontcourt should improve with Harris complementing Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren, and Paul Reed—creating an effective rotation regardless of personnel. The key question for Detroit revolves around how their young players will integrate with this core and whether improved shooting can emerge from Jaden Ivey, Ausar Thompson, and their latest lottery pick, Ron Holland. Last season, the Pistons ranked last in the NBA in made 3-pointers. — Collier
Pistons in NBA Rank:
Cade Cunningham (67)
Key Metric: 3-point efficiency.
Last season, the Pistons achieved a 34% success rate on 3-pointers from passes provided directly by Cade Cunningham. This performance placed him at the bottom among 32 players who had a minimum of 400 assist opportunities on 3-pointers during the 2023-24 season, according to Second Spectrum.
Best Bet: Cade Cunningham to win Most Improved Player (+2500)
Cunningham exhibited notable progress as a scorer during the last season, increasing his points per game from 21.9 before the All-Star break to 24.5 afterward. If he can sustain or elevate this scoring level this season, he may continue the trend of winning the MIP award in a first All-Star campaign. The 25-1 odds present an enticing long-shot futures option. – Snellings
Potential Fantasy Bust: Tobias Harris
Harris is a capable scorer who might assume a more significant role with the Pistons than he had with the 76ers in recent years. However, he does not harmonize with the Pistons’ rebuilding strategy. The other four starters on the Pistons are 22, 22, 21, and 20 years old, while Harris is 32 and likely to be backed up by 19-year-old Ron Holland II, whom the Pistons selected at No. 5 this season. It seems probable that Harris’ playing time may be reduced on a team that should prioritize the development of its young stars. — Snellings
BPI Overall Ranking: 27
Playoff Chances: 12.6%
Projected Wins: 33.5
Recent Performance: The Brooklyn Nets wrapped up their season on a disheartening note, suffering a 21-point defeat in Philadelphia on the final night of the regular season. This loss sparked a summer focused on rebuilding for the future. The team was already in a transition phase, with interim coach Kevin Ollie stepping in for Jacque Vaughn towards the end of the season. In July, the Nets traded Mikal Bridges to the Knicks, acquiring five future first-round draft picks while also retrieving their first-round picks from Houston for 2025 and 2026.
Greatest Strength and Weakness: Regaining control of their 2025 and 2026 first-round picks brings a glimmer of hope for the franchise. This positions them in contention for next year’s No. 1 overall pick in what promises to be a strong draft class, led by Duke freshman Cooper Flagg. However, on the court, the Nets may struggle for identity during this transitional season, marked by an expiring Ben Simmons contract and new head coach Jordi Fernandez. This lack of identity was somewhat expected given the team’s previous season struggles. — Herring
Nets in NBA Rank:
None
Key Metric: Continued Development of Cam Thomas.
Thomas saw his scoring average rise by 11.9 points per game from 2022-23 to 2023-24, marking the highest increase in the NBA among players who played 50 or more games in each season. However, he faces challenges with his isolation game, averaging only 0.88 points per direct isolation last season and ranking 39th out of 40 players who conducted over 300 isolation plays, according to Second Spectrum.
Best Bet: Nicolas Claxton as Blocks Per Game Leader (+4000)
Claxton finished second and sixth in blocked shots over the last two seasons while averaging fewer than 30 minutes per game. Although Victor Wembanyama is a strong favorite to lead the league in blocks, the 40-1 odds offer good long-shot value for Claxton, who is only 25 years old. If he increases his playing time, he could have the potential to average three blocks per game. — Snellings
Fantasy Sleeper: Cam Thomas
Currently, Thomas is being drafted around pick 90 in ESPN leagues and has helped me secure a championship in a 30-team league last season. While he won’t be as cheap this year, the Nets’ struggles mean Thomas should receive ample minutes and shot opportunities. I’m not overly concerned about the possibility of a shutdown due to a tanking strategy, as he will turn 23 on opening night. Additionally, I’m not particularly worried about Ben Simmons negatively impacting his performance. Thomas possesses the complete skill set, and I anticipate significant improvements in his overall statistics this season. — Alexander
BPI’s overall ranking: 24
Chances to make playoffs: 2.7%
Projected wins: 33.1
When we last saw them: The Trail Blazers concluded the season with a disheartening record, losing 15 of their last 17 games in their first year without Damian Lillard. A series of injuries significantly impacted the team, sidelining several key players at various times. Robert Williams III was out for 76 games, while Malcolm Brogdon missed 43. Additionally, Jerami Grant and Deandre Ayton combined for 55 missed games. Scoot Henderson faced challenges during his transition as a rookie, a situation further complicated by the absence of backcourt teammates Anfernee Simons and Shaedon Sharpe, who together missed a total of 86 games. In total, 18 players started at least one game for Portland last season.
Biggest strength and weakness: The Blazers possess young and promising talents including Henderson, Sharpe, Simons, and new acquisition Deni Avdija, along with significant depth at center represented by Ayton, Williams, Duop Reath, and lottery pick Donovan Clingan. It’s possible that Portland could trade one of their veteran big men later in the season to a few teams in search of a center. While the youth of the team is beneficial for their ongoing rebuild, it also exposes them to the challenges of inexperience. Furthermore, injuries are already arising again, with Sharpe set to miss the beginning of the season due to a left labral tear. – Wright
Trail Blazers in NBA Rank:
Jerami Grant (80)
Anfernee Simons (100)
Number to watch: Scoot Henderson’s rim protection.
During his last 14 games of the season, Henderson posted averages of 18.9 points and 7.9 assists, and managed to shoot 40% from three-point range. However, throughout the season, Henderson struggled with finishes at the rim, converting only 43% of his layups and dunks, which ranks as the second-worst among players with at least 250 attempts since the 2013-14 season according to Second Spectrum.
Best bet: Anfernee Simons to win Most Improved Player (+5000)
Predicting this award can be challenging due to the lack of set criteria. Nonetheless, at only 25, Simons is a central figure for the Trail Blazers’ future. Although he faced health issues and missed substantial game time last season, he exhibited remarkable talent, highlighted by an average of 28.0 points per game and 5.4 assists in December. — Moody
Fantasy sleeper: Scoot Henderson
Drafting Henderson solely because he was the No. 3 pick in the 2023 draft is not advisable. Instead, consider him because he navigated a tough rookie season at just 19 years old and demonstrated significant improvement towards the end of the season, averaging 18.9 points, 7.9 assists, and 2.3 steals over his final 14 games. Henderson is poised to lead a vibrant, youthful offense, and he is expected to excel in his second year by taking better shots, making more successful passes with fewer turnovers, and addressing efficiency issues. — Karabell
BPI’s overall ranking: 30
Chances to make playoffs: 0%
Projected wins: 22.4
When we last saw them: The Wizards concluded their season with a six-game losing streak, capping off a troubling year. Their 15-67 regular-season record ultimately positioned them for the second overall pick in the NBA Draft lottery, which they used to select 7-foot French prospect Alex Sarr. However, the Wizards remain far from realizing the vision put forth by Michael Winger and Will Dawkins. In addition, Washington traded Deni Avdija as part of a deal that brought rookie Bub Carrington, the 14th overall pick in this year’s draft, along with Malcolm Brogdon, a 2029 first-round pick, and two second-round picks. The Wizards also moved up to the 24th pick in the draft to select Kyshawn George and added Jonas Valanciunas to strengthen their front line.
Biggest strength and weakness: While Sarr, the No. 2 overall pick, will garner most of the attention, the Wizards are optimistic about the potential of last year’s seventh overall pick, Bilal Coulibaly. The 20-year-old guard exceeded expectations last season, averaging 8.4 points and 4.1 rebounds while showing promising potential.
on defense. Although Coulibaly and other prospects like Carrington are expected to have ample opportunities this season to develop, this may indicate yet another challenging season for Washington. By the time the trade deadline approaches, the Wizards could attract interest from other teams in veterans such as Kyle Kuzma, Valanciunas, Corey Kispert, and Brogdon (currently sidelined due to thumb surgery). — Youngmisuk
Wizards in NBA Rank:
Jonas Valanciunas (91)
Number to watch: Jordan Poole at point guard.
With Tyus Jones now playing for the Suns and Malcolm Brogdon injured, Poole is expected to see increased minutes at point guard. According to Second Spectrum, last season the Wizards averaged 1.08 points per possession when Poole was the primary ball handler. This statistic ranked him as the second worst among 70 players who had over 1,000 possessions.
Best bet: Alex Sarr to win Rookie of the Year (+900)
Sarr was selected as the second overall pick in this year’s NBA draft, with many experts deeming him the most gifted player in the class. However, during the summer league, he converted only about one in five of his field goal attempts and could be absent from games for extended periods. Nonetheless, there are no obvious frontrunners for Rookie of the Year this season, and Sarr is likely to receive significant playtime as a starter for a rebuilding Wizards team. At 9-1, he presents some value in the race for top rookie. – Snellings
Fantasy rookie to watch: Alex Sarr
Sarr has shown promise with two impressive preseason games and appears to be the starting power forward for the Wizards. Even if his defensive skills outpace his offensive game, he has the potential to be a solid shot blocker, making him a worthy consideration for late-round picks or as a free agent in fantasy leagues. — Snellings
NBA 2024-25 Season Preview: A New Era of Parity and Potential Contenders
The NBA is gearing up for what promises to be an exhilarating 2024-25 season. With a landscape marked by emerging talent, shifting team dynamics, and a refreshing wave of parity, fans and analysts alike are buzzing with anticipation. In this preview, we’ll delve into the teams poised to make significant impacts, key players to watch, and the overall trends shaping the league as we enter this new era.
Understanding the New Era of Parity
For years, the NBA has been dominated by a few powerhouse teams that consistently vied for the championship. However, the 2024-25 season is different. The following factors contribute to this newfound parity:
- Increased Team Depth: Many franchises are investing in deeper rosters, making it difficult for any single team to dominate.
- Rising Stars: The influx of young, talented players is reshaping team dynamics and competitiveness.
- Player Movement: Free agency and trades have allowed for more balanced team compositions, reducing the gap between contenders and pretenders.
Top Contenders for the 2024-25 Season
As the season approaches, several teams emerge as potential contenders. Here’s a closer look at the top five teams to watch:
1. Milwaukee Bucks
With Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the charge, the Bucks remain a formidable force. The addition of key role players and a revamped bench has fortified their chances.
2. Denver Nuggets
The reigning champions boast a well-rounded roster with Nikola Jokić at the helm. Their ability to maintain health throughout the season will be crucial for another deep playoff run.
3. Boston Celtics
The Celtics have a balanced attack, featuring Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. With strong defensive capabilities, they are positioned to challenge for the Eastern Conference title.
4. Phoenix Suns
With a star-studded lineup including Kevin Durant and Devin Booker, the Suns are looking to capitalize on their offensive firepower. Their success will hinge on bench production and defensive consistency.
5. Miami Heat
The Heat’s grit and determination under Erik Spoelstra make them perennial contenders. With Jimmy Butler leading the way, expect them to be a tough matchup in the playoffs.
Key Players to Watch
The 2024-25 season will showcase an exciting array of talent. Here are some key players who could shape the outcomes of their teams:
| Player | Position | Team | 2023 Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Forward | Milwaukee Bucks | 29.9 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 5.8 APG |
| Nikola Jokić | Center | Denver Nuggets | 24.5 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 9.8 APG |
| Jayson Tatum | Forward | Boston Celtics | 26.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.3 APG |
| Kevin Durant | Forward | Phoenix Suns | 27.0 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 4.5 APG |
| Jimmy Butler | Guard/Forward | Miami Heat | 21.4 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 5.0 APG |
Trends to Watch in the 2024-25 NBA Season
As we look forward to the upcoming season, several trends are emerging that could influence games and team strategies:
1. The Three-Point Revolution
Three-point shooting continues to dominate the NBA landscape. Teams are increasingly relying on perimeter shooting, changing defensive strategies across the league.
2. Emphasis on Player Health
Injury management has become a priority. Teams are investing in sports science and analytics to ensure player longevity and performance, particularly in a long season.
3. Small-Ball Lineups
The rise of small-ball lineups allows teams to increase pace and space on the floor. This trend is reshaping traditional positional play and creating mismatches.
Benefits of Following the 2024-25 NBA Season
Being engaged in the NBA 2024-25 season offers numerous benefits:
- Engagement: Fans can enjoy a season filled with competitive games and unexpected outcomes.
- Connection: Following your favorite teams and players fosters a sense of community among fans.
- Insight: Understanding player dynamics and team strategies enhances appreciation for the game.
Case Studies: Teams to Watch Closely
Examining a few teams that have undergone significant changes can offer insight into the upcoming season:
Atlanta Hawks
With the addition of a new head coach, the Hawks are looking to leverage their young talent, including Trae Young. Their ability to adapt to a new system will be critical.
Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers have revamped their roster, focusing on defensive skills and depth. With LeBron James still at the forefront, they could surprise many if they find their rhythm early.
Practical Tips for Fans
As the season unfolds, here are practical tips for fans to enhance their viewing experience:
- Stay Updated: Follow team news, injury reports, and player performances to keep a pulse on your favorite teams.
- Engage Online: Join fan forums and social media groups to discuss games and strategies with other enthusiasts.
- Watch Games Live: Experience the excitement of live games, whether in person or via streaming services.
First-Hand Experience: Following the Action
Many fans find that actively following the NBA enhances their enjoyment of the sport. Attending games, engaging in discussions, and participating in fantasy leagues are just some ways to immerse oneself in the action. Whether you’re rooting for a top contender or an underdog, the thrill of the NBA season is something every basketball fan can appreciate.
Conclusion
With the 2024-25 NBA season on the horizon, anticipation is high. The convergence of young talent, strategic innovations, and a spirit of competition promises a thrilling season. As teams vie for supremacy, fans can look forward to witnessing the emergence of new stars and the continued evolution of basketball. Embrace this new era of parity and prepare for an unforgettable season!
