Happy MLB playoffs! This thrilling time of year means that all 12 playoff teams have a genuine chance to claim the World Series title. While the ultimate goal is to win it all, soon-to-be free agents have even greater stakes, as their performance and injury status over the next few weeks can significantly impact their market value.
Every player on the verge of free agency aims to shine in the postseason, but these 11 individuals arguably have the most to prove this October. I’m eager to see how they perform.
1. Juan Soto, OF, Yankees
Juan Soto made a powerful impression during his inaugural year in the Bronx — just consider his stats: 41 home runs, 128 runs, 129 walks, 108 RBIs, 178 OPS+, and a 7.9 WAR (Baseball Reference). Many projections estimate his free-agent value between $500 million and $700 million. However, his performance in October could influence whether his contract starts with a 5 or a 6. Turning 26 in late October, he is a generational talent entering free agency at the peak of his career. If he can secure his second World Series title, I believe his next deal will indeed begin with a 6, not a 5.
2. Corbin Burnes, RHP, Orioles
Corbin Burnes delivered exactly what the Orioles sought this season, finishing with a record of 15-9 and a 2.92 ERA across 32 starts, earning his spot on the All-Star team for the fourth consecutive year. He will be the top starting pitcher available in free agency. Yet, his performance during high-pressure games will affect the offers from contending teams. Turning 30 later this month, Burnes faces more pressure than any other Oriole, as his contributions are crucial for their playoff progression.
3. Pete Alonso, 1B, Mets
With 34 homers, Pete Alonso recorded his lowest tally in the past four years, marking the first time he hasn’t reached at least 40 homers since 2021. The four-time All-Star is keen on having a strong postseason to secure the contract he desires this winter. While he wants to remain in New York and the fans want him back, his playoff performance may influence whether the Mets’ front office steps up to the plate.
4. Anthony Santander, OF, Orioles
Outside of Baltimore, Anthony Santander remains underrated, but that perception might shift following his outstanding year, which included 44 homers, 102 RBIs, and a 134 OPS+. The Nationals, Mariners, and Blue Jays are among the teams seeking corner outfield power this offseason. With an impressive average of 35 home runs per season over the last three years, evaluators will closely monitor Santander as he approaches free agency ahead of his 30th birthday.
5. Alex Bregman, 3B, Astros
Alex Bregman surely took note of the Giants’ six-year, $151 million extension awarded to their third baseman, Matt Chapman, and he’ll be determined to exceed that in free agency. His first preference is to re-sign with the Astros, but discussions around an extension have yet to materialize. Several clubs, including the Yankees (who might shift Jazz Chisholm Jr. to second), the Tigers (Bregman’s former manager is A.J. Hinch), the Royals, and the Mariners could all use a third base upgrade. After a slow start, the 30-year-old concluded the season with 26 homers and a 118 OPS+. Bregman has excelled in postseason play before, and another strong showing could enhance his market value.
6. Willy Adames, SS, Brewers
As the leading shortstop in the 2024-25 free-agent class, Willy Adames enters free agency with impressive stats from this season: 32 home runs, 33 doubles, and 112 RBIs, all career highs. He posted a solid slash line of .251/.331/.462 (118 OPS+). However, his postseason track record stands at .220 across 32 games with only two home runs. Teams seeking a shortstop this winter will be eager to see how the 29-year-old performs in the playoffs.
7. Michael Wacha, RHP, Royals
Michael Wacha has signed short-term contracts in the past three years, yet he has consistently maintained an ERA below 3.40, with 23 or more starts in each of those seasons. This year, he recorded a 13-8 record and a 3.35 ERA over 29 starts, totaling 166 2/3 innings. After signing a one-year, $16 million deal with the Royals, which includes a player option he is likely to exercise, Wacha could secure a longer contract if he performs well during the postseason and helps the Royals advance in the playoffs.
8. Jack Flaherty, RHP, Dodgers
At the trade deadline, the Tigers nearly traded Jack Flaherty to the Yankees, but the transaction fell through due to concerns regarding his back and medical history, despite him being a mere rental. Flaherty was subsequently traded to the Dodgers, where he delivered solid results, finishing the year with a 3.17 ERA, 194 strikeouts, and only 38 walks over 10 starts. However, the Yankees’ hesitations will prompt teams to monitor his back closely during the postseason. Flaherty will celebrate his 29th birthday in October.
9. Teoscar Hernández, OF, Dodgers
Making his second All-Star appearance this year, Teoscar Hernández achieved a batting line of .272/.339/.501 (137 OPS+) with 33 home runs and 99 RBIs, though his defensive performance in the outfield was below average. Given the scarcity of corner outfield power available in free agency—aside from Soto and Santander—multiple teams will be competing for Hernández’s services, who turns 32 this month.
10. Yusei Kikuchi, LHP, Astros
When the Astros acquired Yusei Kikuchi from the Blue Jays for Jake Bloss, Joey Loperfido, and Will Wagner, I expressed concern about the transaction. Nevertheless, the Astros won all but one of his 10 starts, suggesting they may have struck a good deal after all. Following a 4.75 ERA in Toronto over 22 starts, Kikuchi altered his approach with the Astros and posted a remarkable 2.70 ERA across 10 outings, striking out 70 in 60 innings. Teams interested in him during free agency will need to weigh his performances in Seattle (4.97 ERA in 70 starts) and Toronto (4.48 ERA in 80 appearances) against his impressive brief stint in Houston. His postseason performance could significantly influence the type of contracts offered to the 33-year-old lefty.
11. Gleyber Torres, 2B, Yankees
Gleyber Torres seems to be concluding his tenure with the Yankees, as all signs indicate the team will part ways with him this offseason once he becomes a free agent. This year, Torres has maintained a line of .257/.330/.378, with 15 home runs and 63 RBIs, marking his lowest OPS (.709) and home run total since 2021. Additionally, he has played below-average defense at second base. At the age of 27, Torres faces considerable pressure this postseason to elevate his value, requiring him to shine both offensively and defensively.
GO DEEPER
The top 50 potential MLB free agents: Juan Soto, Corbin Burnes to lead strong class
(Top photo of Juan Soto: Emma Corona / MLB Photos via Getty Images)
11 MLB Players Facing Crucial Free-Agent Decisions During the 2023 Playoffs
Introduction to Free Agency Decisions
The MLB playoffs not only spotlight the top performers of the season but also set the stage for critical free-agent decisions. As teams vie for a championship, several players find themselves in pivotal contract scenarios that could significantly affect their careers and teams’ future strategies. Here’s a look at 11 players whose decisions during this playoff season could reshape the landscape of Major League Baseball.
1. Shohei Ohtani – Los Angeles Angels
Shohei Ohtani, the two-way superstar, is anticipated to be one of the most coveted free agents this offseason. His extraordinary performance makes him a game-changing asset. Despite his injury, teams are still interested due to his unique skill set.
Key Factors
- Impact of his injury on long-term contracts
- Interest from multiple franchises, including the Yankees and Dodgers
- Marketability and cultural impact as a Japanese player
2. Cody Bellinger – Chicago Cubs
Cody Bellinger’s resurgence in 2023 has put him back on the radar after a few inconsistent seasons. His performance in the playoffs could determine whether the Cubs retain him or pursue a bigger market.
Key Factors
- Bellinger’s playoff performance as a measuring stick
- Interest from teams looking for a star outfielder
- Potential for a multi-year deal
3. Blake Snell – San Diego Padres
The 2023 Cy Young Award contender, Blake Snell, is poised to enter free agency after an impressive season. His playoff display will be crucial in securing a lucrative contract.
Key Factors
- Pitching performance under pressure
- Teams needing frontline starters
- His ability to command a high salary
4. Josh Hader – San Diego Padres
Another Padres star, Josh Hader, is also becoming a focal point for free agency talk. His dominance as a closer could lead to significant interest from various teams.
Key Factors
- Consistency in the postseason
- Demand for elite bullpen arms
- Potential for a record-breaking contract for a reliever
5. Marcus Stroman – Chicago Cubs
Stroman’s excellence on the mound has made him a notable name in free agency discussions. His playoff performance could solidify his standing with the Cubs or attract other suitors.
Key Factors
- Stability as a starting pitcher
- Public persona and leadership in the clubhouse
- Teams searching for veteran pitchers
6. Jordan Montgomery – Texas Rangers
Montgomery’s strong 2023 season has set him up for free agency. His showing in the playoffs will be critical to affirming his value as a reliable starting pitcher.
Key Factors
- Performance against top competition
- His role in a playoff-contending team
- Market interest from various franchises
7. Aroldis Chapman – Texas Rangers
Chapman’s return to form has reignited discussions around his free-agent status. His ability to perform in high-pressure games will weigh heavily on his potential contracts.
Key Factors
- Experience in playoff scenarios
- Desire for teams needing a veteran closer
- Potential for a short-term deal with a competing team
8. Cody Bellinger – Chicago Cubs
Once a player of immense promise, Bellinger’s 2023 season is pivotal for his career trajectory. A strong playoff run could lead to significant interest and a long-term deal.
Key Factors
- Impact of playoff performance on contract negotiations
- Interest from larger market teams
- Past struggles and current resurgence
9. J.D. Martinez – Los Angeles Dodgers
Martinez’s experience and offensive prowess make him a valuable asset heading into free agency. His playoff contributions could enhance his marketability.
Key Factors
- Experience in clutch situations
- Potential interest from teams seeking veteran hitters
- Impact of the playoff run on his contract value
10. Matt Chapman – Toronto Blue Jays
As one of the premier third basemen in the league, Chapman’s decision during the playoffs could significantly impact his value moving forward.
Key Factors
- Defensive skills and offensive contributions
- Market for top-tier third basemen
- Interest from teams seeking a franchise player
11. Kevin Gausman - Toronto Blue Jays
Gausman’s solid pitching performances will be crucial to the Blue Jays’ playoff aspirations and his free-agent decisions. His performance in high-stakes games could influence his next contract.
Key Factors
- His value as a starting pitcher in the market
- Performance in playoff environments
- Consideration for long-term commitment from the Blue Jays
Benefits of Monitoring Free-Agent Decisions
Understanding the dynamics of free agency helps fans and teams alike:
- Provides insights into team strategies and roster changes.
- Helps fans gauge their team’s competitive edge moving forward.
- Enhances engagement with the sport and its player narratives.
Practical Tips for Fans
To stay updated and engaged with the free-agent landscape:
- Follow reputable sports news outlets and MLB insiders.
- Engage in discussions on social media platforms to share insights.
- Utilize apps and websites that track player stats and developments.
Conclusion
The 2023 playoffs are not just about winning a championship; they are also a critical time for players making crucial career decisions. The outcomes of these free-agent scenarios will have lasting implications for the players involved and their respective teams.
